Matches / Upcoming / SINNERS vs ex-RUBY
SINNERS vs ex-RUBY: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier
SINNERS
World #47 · 45-35
VS
2026-09-25 15:00 UTC
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
ex-RUBY
World #115 · 83-54
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
54%46%
64%
1.462.6Market · 23 books
36%The call
SINNERS are favoured: our model gives them 54% against ex-RUBY. Bookmakers lean SINNERS at 64%. Every factor is level between the two sides.
Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Cache
Firepower
roster ratingsSINNERS · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
ex-RUBY · avg 1.03 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| relaxxie★ | 1.07 | 82.1 | 70.6% | 52% | 1.13 |
| sowalio | 1.09 | 77 | 71.2% | 57% | 1.11 |
| sh1nejezzz | 1.06 | 69.5 | 74.5% | 62% | 1.1 |
| 1eeR | 0.9 | 71.7 | 72.1% | 51% | 1.03 |
| tommy | 0.72 | 55.6 | 67.7% | 32% | 0.78 |
Recent form
SINNERS
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
magic#181-22-0
SINNERS vs magic
Feb 3LAncient10-13Mirage13-7Dust28-13ex-RUBY vs magic
Feb 3WMirage13-4Dust213-3
GamerLegion#202-41-2
SINNERS vs GamerLegion
May 12LMirage13-10Inferno9-13Nuke8-13Feb 24LNuke7-13Inferno14-16Feb 22WMirage19-16ex-RUBY vs GamerLegion
Feb 6LDust213-11Mirage7-13Ancient3-13
Nemiga#363-46-8
SINNERS vs Nemiga
Sep 13LCache10-13Mirage10-13Sep 10LNuke17-19Dust213-11Ancient2-13Jan 30WAncient13-11Nuke13-10ex-RUBY vs Nemiga
Aug 27WNuke4-13Dust213-6Ancient13-8May 29LOverpass12-16Mirage2-13May 13LOverpass8-13Mirage13-2Ancient13-16+2 earlier meetings
K27#392-25-4
1win#402-13-4
GenOne#531-27-3
SINNERS vs GenOne
Feb 3LInferno13-6Nuke14-16Dust210-13ex-RUBY vs GenOne
Aug 28WDust213-10Cache13-11Jul 29LDust210-13Cache13-9Ancient10-13May 23WDust211-13Nuke13-7Ancient13-6+1 earlier meeting
Nuclear TigeRES#566-43-2
SINNERS vs Nuclear TigeRES
Sep 11LDust27-13Inferno10-13Sep 10WInferno6-13Dust213-8Cache16-13Feb 10WAncient6-13Dust213-2Nuke13-10+1 earlier meeting
Acend#572-04-1
SINNERS vs Acend
Feb 19WAncient16-14Mirage13-2Map lab
ex-RUBY55%to win the Bo3 · most likely ex-RUBY 2-0
If the veto goes
SINNERS 45%how the series ends55% ex-RUBY
22%2-028%
24%2-126%
SINNERS48%21-14vsex-RUBY52%50-31
60%Win62%
55%CT55%
53%T51%
56%Pistol49%
79%Conv86%
SINNERS46%21-15vsex-RUBY54%50-30
58%Win63%
51%CT54%
54%T51%
50%Pistol53%
78%Conv75%
SINNERS47%5-7vsex-RUBY53%4-5
42%Win44%
50%CT48%
46%T51%
54%Pistol56%
62%Conv80%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
SINNERSMirageex-RUBY
55%CT side55%
53%T side51%
56%Pistol49%
79%After win86%
19%After loss17%
SINNERSDust2ex-RUBY
51%CT side54%
54%T side51%
50%Pistol53%
78%After win75%
20%After loss20%
SINNERSCacheex-RUBY
50%CT side48%
46%T side51%
54%Pistol56%
62%After win80%
18%After loss38%
Pistol rounds53% · 51% · level, no edge
After a won pistol76% · 80% · ex-RUBY keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol19% · 19% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, SINNERS vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapSINEX-
AnubisSIN bann/a0g57%8-6
SINNERS on Anubis
no recent maps
InfernoEX- ban43%9-120%0-1
MirageSIN pick60%21-1462%50-31
Dust2EX- pick58%21-1563%50-30
NukeSIN ban39%9-1458%37-27
AncientEX- ban55%17-1452%32-29
Each team's usual first ban: SINNERS Anubis · ex-RUBY Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
SINNERS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/93 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 93 maps they won, 29 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs The Last ResortDust2from 11 downvs 1winDust2from 6 downvs ECSTATICMiragefrom 6 downvs Rune EatersDust2from 6 downvs Johnny SpeedsMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/79 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 79 maps they lost, 23 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 8 · lost 17-19vs TrickedMirageled 6 · lost 13-16vs FOKUSAncientled 6 · lost 13-16vs Ninjas in PyjamasNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs SpiritMirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The Last ResortDust2from 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 8 · lost 17-19
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs GenOneNuke14-16vs AcendAncient16-14vs GamerLegionMirage19-16vs GamerLegionInferno14-16vs ECSTATICAncient22-20
ex-RUBY
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i56/200 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 200 maps they won, 56 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs Nuclear TigeRESMiragefrom 10 downvs los kogutosOverpassfrom 9 downvs K27Dust2from 8 downvs AMAncientfrom 7 downvs STATEAnubisfrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i47/142 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 142 maps they lost, 47 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs RUSTECOverpassled 8 · lost 13-16vs LavkedNukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs WalczakiAncientled 7 · lost 8-13vs NemigaAncientled 7 · lost 13-16vs INFINITEAncientled 7 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Nuclear TigeRESMiragefrom 10 down · won 19-16
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs RUSTECOverpassled 8 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 49Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 49 went to overtime.vs AMMirage16-13vs KOLESIENuke19-17vs Johnny SpeedsOverpass19-17vs FORZE ReloadAncient16-12vs MASONICMirage16-12
SINNERS vs ex-RUBY FAQ
Who is favored to win SINNERS vs ex-RUBY?
SINNERS are favored with a 54% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for SINNERS vs ex-RUBY?
Bookmakers price SINNERS at 1.46 and ex-RUBY at 2.6 (implied 64% vs 36%).
When do SINNERS and ex-RUBY play?
SINNERS vs ex-RUBY is scheduled for 2026-09-25 15:00 UTC at Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier.