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Predictions / INOX Division vs PCIFIC · match preview
INOX Division vs PCIFIC: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 8
INOX Division
World #62 · 52-21
VS
2026-09-07 11:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · Best of 3
PCIFIC
World #185 · 12-12
77%23%
76%
1.223.76Market · 2 books
24%The call · high confidence
INOX Division are favoured: our model gives them 77% against PCIFIC. Bookmakers lean INOX Division at 76%. Strength clearly favours INOX Division, record slightly favours INOX Division, firepower slightly favours INOX Division.
Likely mapsInferno · Dust2 · Anubis
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
INOX DivisionpullPCIFIC
Team strength1692
152182/18 INO
Track record52–21
12–1266/34 INO
Recent formWWLWW
WWWWL53/47 PCI
Roster rating1.16
1.0562/38 INO
The market agrees: bookmakers imply 76% for INOX Division (1.22 / 3.76) and we land at 77%, the same read. This read is 93% our own signal (176 maps of INOX Division, 58 of PCIFIC).
Bottom line: INOX Division to beat PCIFIC, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
INOX Division
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
HOTU#281-20-2
INOX Division vs HOTU
May 12LNuke13-10Dust222-25Ancient6-13PCIFIC vs HOTU
May 29LAnubis3-13Dust28-13
BRUTE#724-02-1
PCIFIC vs BRUTE
Sep 1WDust213-11Nuke13-10Anubis8-13JUSJust Players#974-10-2
PCIFIC vs Just Players
Aug 18LMirage6-13Dust29-13
Atreides#1472-01-2
INOX Division vs Atreides
Jul 27WInferno13-7Nuke13-2PCIFIC vs Atreides
Aug 30LMirage14-16Dust213-8Inferno11-13
MOUZ NXT#1564-04-1
BEBBebop#1982-02-0
INOX Division vs Bebop
Apr 27WNuke13-3Inferno13-6PCIFIC vs Bebop
Aug 22WNuke13-10Dust213-6
SPARTA6-30-2
INOX Division vs SPARTA
Aug 26WDust213-11Inferno7-13Nuke13-5Jun 17WNuke10-13Overpass13-7Dust213-3May 1WNuke20-22Dust213-10Overpass13-10PCIFIC vs SPARTA
Aug 19LDust210-13Inferno6-13Firepower
roster ratingsINOX Division · avg 1.16 · top +0.14
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, INOX Division vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
PCIFIC habitually bans Ancient, INOX Division's strongest maps (Dust2, Ancient, Inferno, Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 23/24), not an opponent read, so expect INOX Division to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapINOPCI
MirageINO bann/a0g50%4-4
INOX Division on Mirage
no recent maps
AncientPCI ban63%17-10n/a0g
INOX Division on Ancient
W
UNiTY13–115d agoL
1win11–136d agoLJust Players5–1311d agoW
Butterfly13–914d agoW
Honvéd13–416d agoWLavked13–722d agoL
BASEMENT BOYS12–1622d agoW
ex-MANA13–424d agoPCIFIC on Ancient
no recent maps
InfernoINO pick67%26-1344%4-5
Dust2PCI pick74%26-958%11-8
CacheINO ban50%5-575%3-1
NukePCI ban73%27-1044%4-5
Anubisdecider57%8-614%1-6
Each team's usual first ban: INOX Division Mirage · PCIFIC Ancient.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
INOX Division82%to win the seriesiMap edgesInferno: INOX Division 70% clear · Dust2: INOX Division 67% clear · Anubis: INOX Division 82% clearWhyINOX Division hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesINOX Division 82%: 2-0 47%, 2-1 35% · PCIFIC 18%: 2-0 10%, 2-1 8%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
INOX Division 82%INOX Division are the clearer side here: the most likely result is INOX Division 2-0.18% PCIFIC
Inferno
INOX Division70%PCIFIC30%
26-13record4-5
67%win44%
56%CT win57%
54%T win41%
49%pistol50%
76%convert78%
Dust2
INOX Division67%PCIFIC33%
26-9record11-8
74%win58%
65%CT win57%
52%T win50%
57%pistol55%
88%convert76%
Anubis
INOX Division82%PCIFIC18%
8-6record1-6
57%win14%
50%CT win35%
54%T win48%
43%pistol36%
100%convert40%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
INOct
INOt
PCIct
PCIt
INOpistol
INOconv
INOeco
PCIpistol
PCIconv
PCIeco
Infernopool
56%211/380
54%241/446
57%51/90
41%39/95
49%38/78
76%29/38
35%14/40
50%9/18
78%7/9
33%3/9
Dust2pool
65%255/394
52%158/306
57%98/173
50%108/218
57%40/70
88%35/40
27%8/30
55%21/38
76%16/21
6%1/17
Anubispool
50%75/149
54%77/142
35%25/72
48%33/69
43%12/28
100%12/12
31%5/16
36%5/14
40%2/5
11%1/9
Mirageban
n/a
n/a
55%53/96
39%26/67
n/a
n/a
n/a
31%5/16
100%5/5
9%1/11
Ancientban
59%179/304
51%122/237
n/a
n/a
61%33/54
70%23/33
19%4/21
n/a
n/a
n/a
Cacheban
48%58/120
49%46/94
35%17/48
71%30/42
60%12/20
83%10/12
0%0/8
25%2/8
100%2/2
33%2/6
Nukeban
63%207/329
55%235/427
51%52/101
38%35/91
49%36/74
78%28/36
37%14/38
33%6/18
50%3/6
17%2/12
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (INOX Division 51%, PCIFIC 50%). Nobody has an edge.
Win the pistol → INOX Division usually win the next round too (84% vs 71%). Lose the pistol → INOX Division fight back to win the next round more often (31% vs 14%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
INOX Division
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i28/117 (24%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 117 maps they won, 28 (24%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 24% of their wins were comebacks, not 24% of all games.vs SPARTAOverpassfrom 8 downvs MANANukefrom 7 downvs OmegaOverpassfrom 6 downvs HYPERSPIRITInfernofrom 6 downvs MOUZ NXTDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/59 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 59 maps they lost, 22 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-RUBYNukeled 7 · lost 19-22vs MANANukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs NemesisInfernoled 6 · lost 12-16vs LavkedDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs NemigaOverpassled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs SPARTAOverpassfrom 8 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-RUBYNukeled 7 · lost 19-22
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs TDKOverpass13-16vs WalczakiDust216-13vs ex-RUBYNuke19-22vs HOTUDust222-25vs SPARTANuke20-22
PCIFIC
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/27 (48%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 27 maps they won, 13 (48%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 48% of their wins were comebacks, not 48% of all games.vs MOUZ NXTDust2from 8 downvs DEPODust2from 6 downvs MOUZ NXTCachefrom 5 downvs KUUSAMODust2from 5 downvs KUUSAMOCachefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/29 (17%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 29 maps they lost, 5 (17%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Fire FluxDust2led 7 · lost 13-16vs MetizportNukeled 5 · lost 9-13vs 9INEInfernoled 4 · lost 10-13vs AtreidesMirageled 4 · lost 14-16vs 9INEDust2led 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MOUZ NXTDust2from 8 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Fire FluxDust2led 7 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs Rune EatersInferno22-19vs Fire FluxDust213-16vs AtreidesMirage14-16