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Predictions / WBT Academy vs eSuba · match preview
WBT Academy vs eSuba: CS2 match prediction · ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe
WBT Academy
World #– · 1-2
VS
2026-09-09 17:30 UTC
ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · Best of 3
eSuba
World #– · 4-7
66%34%
71%
1.33.12Market · 1 books
29%The call
WBT Academy are favoured: our model gives them 66% against eSuba. Bookmakers lean WBT Academy at 71%. Form slightly favours WBT Academy, firepower clearly favours WBT Academy.
Likely mapsDust2 · Ancient · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
WBT AcademypulleSuba
Team strength1479
146753/47 WBT
Track record1–2
4–756/44 ESU
Recent formWLL
LLWLL58/42 WBT
Roster rating1.13
0.9893/7 WBT
Bookmakers imply 71% for WBT Academy (1.3 / 3.12); we land 5 points lower at 66%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 66% our own signal (7 maps of WBT Academy, 21 of eSuba; thin sample, treat it as a lean, not a lock).
Bottom line: WBT Academy to beat eSuba, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
WBT Academy
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsNo prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Firepower
roster ratingsWBT Academy · avg 1.13 · top +0.29
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, WBT Academy vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapWBTESU
InfernoWBT bann/a0g60%3-2
WBT Academy on Inferno
no recent maps
MirageESU ban100%1-0100%1-0
WBT Academy on Mirage
WGothic13–31d agoeSuba on Mirage
WDEFEATERS13–52mo agoDust2WBT pick100%1-00%0-3
WBT Academy on Dust2
WGothic13–101d agoAncientESU pick0%0-150%2-2
WBT Academy on Ancient
LGothic11–131d agoCacheWBT bann/a0gn/a0g
WBT Academy on Cache
no recent maps
eSuba on Cache
no recent maps
AnubisESU ban0%0-220%1-4
Nukedecider0%0-233%1-2
Each team's usual first ban: WBT Academy Inferno · eSuba Mirage.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
eSuba51%to win the seriesiMap edgesDust2: WBT Academy 56% · Ancient: eSuba 53% toss-up · Nuke: eSuba 56% toss-upWhyeSuba hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesWBT Academy 49%: 2-0 27%, 2-1 22% · eSuba 51%: 2-1 28%, 2-0 23%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
WBT Academy 49%It’s nearly a coin-flip. eSuba only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.51% eSuba
Dust2
WBT Academy56%eSuba44%
1-0record0-3
100%win0%
50%CT win28%
64%T win38%
50%pistol33%
100%convert100%
Ancient
WBT Academy47%eSuba53%
0-1record2-2
0%win50%
42%CT win46%
50%T win40%
0%pistol63%
–convert80%
Nuke
WBT Academy44%eSuba56%
0-2record1-2
0%win33%
46%CT win39%
38%T win32%
75%pistol50%
67%convert33%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
WBTct
WBTt
ESUct
ESUt
WBTpistol
WBTconv
WBTeco
ESUpistol
ESUconv
ESUeco
Dust2pool
50%6/12
64%7/11
28%8/29
38%11/29
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
33%2/6
100%2/2
25%1/4
Ancientpool
42%5/12
50%6/12
46%17/37
40%14/35
0%0/2
n/a
50%1/2
63%5/8
80%4/5
0%0/3
Nukepool
46%11/24
38%8/21
39%11/28
32%8/25
75%3/4
67%2/3
0%0/1
50%3/6
33%1/3
0%0/3
Infernoban
n/a
n/a
51%25/49
46%25/54
n/a
n/a
n/a
60%6/10
50%3/6
0%0/4
Mirageban
100%4/4
75%9/12
67%8/12
83%5/6
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
100%2/2
100%2/2
n/a
Cacheban
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
21%5/24
79%19/24
47%21/45
35%20/57
75%3/4
67%2/3
0%0/1
30%3/10
100%3/3
0%0/7
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (WBT Academy 50%, eSuba 50%). Nobody has an edge.
Win the pistol → WBT Academy usually win the next round too (75% vs 70%). Lose the pistol → WBT Academy fight back to win the next round more often (25% vs 10%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
WBT Academy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/2 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 1 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs GothicDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/5 (20%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 5 maps they lost, 1 (20%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs OLDBOYS PLNukeled 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GothicDust2from 5 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs OLDBOYS PLNukeled 5 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini3.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi71% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT71% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs OLDBOYS PLAnubis17-19vs PermittaAnubis13-16
eSuba
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/8 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 8 maps they won, 3 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs GamersLabNukefrom 3 downvs GamersLabAncientfrom 3 downvs NAVI JuniorInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i3/13 (23%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 13 maps they lost, 3 (23%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs KOLESIEDust2led 4 · lost 7-13vs JamAnubisled 4 · lost 9-13vs BRUTEAnubisled 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 3 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GamersLabNukefrom 3 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs KOLESIEDust2led 4 · lost 7-13
Avg map margini6.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi5% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT5% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs NAVI JuniorInferno16-14