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Predictions / BOJONG vs LFO 7 · match preview
BOJONG vs LFO 7: CS2 match prediction · ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe
BOJLFO
BOJONG
World #– · 0-6
VS
2026-09-09 17:30 UTC
ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · Best of 3
LFO 7
World #– · 1-1
44%56%
The call
LFO 7 are favoured: our model gives them 56% against BOJONG. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours LFO 7, record clearly favours LFO 7, form clearly favours LFO 7, firepower clearly favours LFO 7.
Likely mapsAncient · Inferno · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
BOJONGpullLFO 7
Team strength1439
149261/39 LFO
Track record0–6
1–179/21 LFO
Recent formLLLLL
LW75/25 LFO
Roster rating0.94
1.0793/7 LFO
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 59% our own signal (10 maps of BOJONG, 5 of LFO 7; thin sample, treat it as a lean, not a lock).
Bottom line: LFO 7 to beat BOJONG, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsNo prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Firepower
roster ratingsBOJONG · avg 0.94 · top +0.15
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BOJONG vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBOJLFO
Dust2BOJ bann/a0g100%1-0
BOJONG on Dust2
no recent maps
LFO 7 on Dust2
WAnteiku13–429d agoAnubisLFO ban0%0-1n/a0g
BOJONG on Anubis
L
Fire Flux10–132d agoLFO 7 on Anubis
no recent maps
AncientBOJ pick100%1-0n/a0g
BOJONG on Ancient
WFire Flux13–82d agoLFO 7 on Ancient
no recent maps
InfernoLFO pick0%0-20%0-2
CacheBOJ ban0%0-1n/a0g
BOJONG on Cache
L
SINQU5–131mo agoLFO 7 on Cache
no recent maps
MirageLFO ban0%0-350%1-1
Nukedecider0%0-2n/a0g
LFO 7 on Nuke
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: BOJONG Dust2 · LFO 7 Anubis.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
BOJONG50%to win the seriesiMap edgesAncient: BOJONG 50% toss-up · Inferno: BOJONG 50% toss-up · Nuke: BOJONG 50% toss-upWhyBOJONG hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesBOJONG 50%: 2-0 25%, 2-1 25% · LFO 7 50%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
BOJONG 50%It’s nearly a coin-flip. BOJONG only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.50% LFO 7
Ancient
BOJONG50%LFO 750%
thin sample, read with caution
1-0record0-0
100%win–
78%CT win–
50%T win–
50%pistol–
100%convert–
Inferno
BOJONG50%LFO 750%
0-2record0-2
0%win0%
58%CT win50%
32%T win25%
25%pistol50%
100%convert100%
Nuke
BOJONG50%LFO 750%
thin sample, read with caution
0-2record0-0
0%win–
47%CT win–
25%T win–
0%pistol–
–convert–
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
BOJct
BOJt
LFOct
LFOt
BOJpistol
BOJconv
BOJeco
LFOpistol
LFOconv
LFOeco
Ancientpool
78%7/9
50%6/12
n/a
n/a
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
n/a
n/a
n/a
Infernopool
58%14/24
32%7/22
50%8/16
25%6/24
25%1/4
100%1/1
0%0/3
50%2/4
100%2/2
50%1/2
Nukepool
47%7/15
25%6/24
n/a
n/a
0%0/4
n/a
25%1/4
n/a
n/a
n/a
Dust2ban
n/a
n/a
100%5/5
67%8/12
n/a
n/a
n/a
100%2/2
100%2/2
n/a
Anubisban
36%4/11
50%6/12
n/a
n/a
100%2/2
100%2/2
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Cacheban
17%1/6
33%4/12
n/a
n/a
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mirageban
53%19/36
28%8/29
42%10/24
65%15/23
67%4/6
75%3/4
0%0/2
50%2/4
100%2/2
50%1/2
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
LFO 7 wins more pistol rounds: 50% vs 20%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (100% vs 100%). Lose the pistol → LFO 7 fight back to win the next round more often (50% vs 13%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
BOJONG
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/1 (100%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 1 maps they won, 1 (100%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 100% of their wins were comebacks, not 100% of all games.vs Fire FluxAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i3/9 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 9 maps they lost, 3 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Fire FluxAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13vs CSDIILITMirageled 4 · lost 10-13vs KUUSAMOMirageled 3 · lost 5-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Fire FluxAncientfrom 5 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Fire FluxAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs ENCEMirage12-16vs Fire FluxInferno13-16
LFO 7
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/2 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 1 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs AnteikuMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/3 (67%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 3 maps they lost, 2 (67%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs B8 AcademyMirageled 5 · lost 14-16vs AnteikuInfernoled 3 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AnteikuMiragefrom 5 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs B8 AcademyMirageled 5 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs B8 AcademyMirage14-16