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Predictions / SportsBetExpert vs FarmVille · match preview
SportsBetExpert vs FarmVille: CS2 match prediction · NSTLGA League Season 2
SportsBetExpert
World #80 · 28-14
VS
2026-09-11 01:00 UTC
NSTLGA League Season 2 · Best of 3
FarmVille
World #211 · 20-19
78%22%
The call · high confidence
SportsBetExpert are favoured: our model gives them 78% against FarmVille. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours SportsBetExpert, record slightly favours SportsBetExpert, firepower clearly favours SportsBetExpert.
Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
SportsBetExpertpullFarmVille
Team strength1648
150678/22 SPO
Track record28–14
20–1963/37 SPO
Recent formWWWLW
WWLWL54/46 SPO
Roster rating1.19
1.1195/5 SPO
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 96% our own signal (93 maps of SportsBetExpert, 88 of FarmVille).
Bottom line: SportsBetExpert to beat FarmVille, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
SportsBetExpert
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Voca#812-30-2
FarmVille vs Voca
Aug 27LMirage9-13Cache11-13
LAG#888-80-6
SportsBetExpert vs LAG
Aug 31LAnubis13-16Nuke13-6Mirage13-7Dust22-13Aug 1WInferno13-6Dust29-13Nuke13-4May 31WNuke12-16Anubis13-11Inferno13-9+2 earlier meetings
Marsborne#1084-40-1
SportsBetExpert vs Marsborne
Aug 2WNuke13-6Anubis13-4May 31LInferno9-13Mirage8-13May 24WInferno13-10Anubis13-2+1 earlier meeting
FarmVille vs Marsborne
Sep 4Lseries6-13
regain#1302-05-4
SportsBetExpert vs regain
Feb 5WInferno13-7Dust213-7FarmVille vs regain
Sep 5WMirage13-10May 1LInferno13-6Ancient5-13Dust214-16Apr 9LInferno19-16Ancient10-13Anubis10-13+1 earlier meeting
Villainous#1662-02-1
SportsBetExpert vs Villainous
Jul 12WAnubis16-14Mirage13-7FarmVille vs Villainous
Sep 6WCache13-8Inferno9-13Mirage13-10
Chicken Coop#1747-72-1
SportsBetExpert vs Chicken Coop
Jul 29WDust25-13Nuke13-9Inferno13-5May 30LOverpass10-13Inferno5-13Mar 28LNuke10-13Mirage10-13+3 earlier meetings
FarmVille vs Chicken Coop
Feb 16WOverpass6-13Inferno13-9Dust213-11
EMPIRE#1901-22-1
SportsBetExpert vs EMPIRE
Mar 15LNuke10-13Mirage13-8Anubis11-13FarmVille vs EMPIRE
Apr 8WDust213-6Anubis13-2Inferno16-19
Zomblers#1961-25-4
SportsBetExpert vs Zomblers
Feb 7LAncient7-13Inferno13-7Dust210-13FarmVille vs Zomblers
Aug 28LDust211-13Inferno11-13Apr 14LAncient13-5Dust210-13Overpass5-13Apr 10WMirage13-8Dust213-8+1 earlier meeting
Firepower
roster ratingsSportsBetExpert · avg 1.19 · top +0.09
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, SportsBetExpert vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
FarmVille habitually bans Nuke, SportsBetExpert's strongest maps (Inferno, Mirage, Ancient, Nuke, Anubis, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Nuke 31/39), not an opponent read, so expect SportsBetExpert to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapSPOFAR
AncientSPO ban60%3-247%7-8
SportsBetExpert on Ancient
W
ex-Aether13–114mo agoWChicken Coop13–66mo agoWLAG13–46mo agoLVoca3–137mo agoLZomblers7–137mo ago
NukeFAR ban71%10-4n/a0g
SportsBetExpert on Nuke
WLAG13–67d agoWFor Fun13–58d agoWElusive13–38d agoL
NRG7–131mo agoWMarsborne13–61mo agoWLAG13–41mo agoWVoca13–41mo agoWChicken Coop13–91mo agoFarmVille on Nuke
no recent maps
MirageSPO pick73%11-458%7-5
Dust2FAR pick53%9-867%14-7
AnubisSPO ban70%7-350%3-3
InfernoFAR ban68%15-743%9-12
Cachedecider60%3-250%1-1
SportsBetExpert on Cache
W
Iowa Stormboar13–71d agoW
DETONATE13–108d agoLNRG5–131mo agoWVoca13–71mo agoLNRG6–132mo agoEach team's usual first ban: SportsBetExpert Ancient · FarmVille Nuke.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
SportsBetExpert52%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: SportsBetExpert 64% · Dust2: FarmVille 63% · Cache: SportsBetExpert 52% toss-upWhySportsBetExpert hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesSportsBetExpert 52%: 2-1 28%, 2-0 24% · FarmVille 48%: 2-1 26%, 2-0 22%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
SportsBetExpert 52%It’s nearly a coin-flip. SportsBetExpert only lead because their Mirage is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.48% FarmVille
Mirage
SportsBetExpert64%FarmVille36%
11-4record7-5
73%win58%
67%CT win61%
53%T win44%
70%pistol38%
81%convert78%
Dust2
SportsBetExpert37%FarmVille63%
9-8record14-7
53%win67%
48%CT win55%
58%T win53%
47%pistol52%
80%convert91%
Cache
SportsBetExpert52%FarmVille48%
3-2record1-1
60%win50%
46%CT win71%
41%T win38%
40%pistol50%
75%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
SPOct
SPOt
FARct
FARt
SPOpistol
SPOconv
SPOeco
FARpistol
FARconv
FAReco
Miragepool
67%103/154
53%74/140
61%81/132
44%56/127
70%21/30
81%17/21
22%2/9
38%9/24
78%7/9
20%3/15
Dust2pool
48%72/151
58%104/180
55%113/204
53%120/227
47%16/34
80%12/15
17%3/18
52%22/42
91%20/22
25%5/20
Cachepool
46%27/59
41%17/41
71%15/21
38%9/24
40%4/10
75%3/4
0%0/6
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
Ancientban
51%25/49
51%24/47
57%90/159
49%82/169
70%7/10
100%7/7
33%1/3
57%17/30
82%14/17
15%2/13
Nukeban
61%85/139
59%84/142
n/a
n/a
68%19/28
79%15/19
0%0/9
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
63%64/101
54%60/111
49%35/71
63%35/56
60%12/20
83%10/12
38%3/8
75%9/12
100%9/9
33%1/3
Infernoban
59%119/201
55%119/218
52%115/223
48%110/227
68%30/44
80%24/30
36%5/14
52%22/42
77%17/22
30%6/20
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
SportsBetExpert wins more pistol rounds: 55% vs 47%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → FarmVille usually win the next round too (88% vs 80%). Lose the pistol → FarmVille fight back to win the next round more often (22% vs 15%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
SportsBetExpert
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i16/59 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 59 maps they won, 16 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs MarsborneAnubisfrom 9 downvs Without a RoofMiragefrom 7 downvs Reign AboveDust2from 6 downvs BOSSMiragefrom 5 downvs VillainousAnubisfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i9/33 (27%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 33 maps they lost, 9 (27%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Chicken CoopOverpassled 5 · lost 10-13vs For FunAnubisled 5 · lost 11-13vs NRGDust2led 4 · lost 14-16vs ZomblersDust2led 3 · lost 10-13vs LAGInfernoled 3 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MarsborneAnubisfrom 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Chicken CoopOverpassled 5 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini6.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi24% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT24% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs LAGNuke12-16vs VillainousAnubis16-14vs NRGDust214-16vs LAGAnubis13-16
FarmVille
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/43 (40%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 43 maps they won, 17 (40%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 40% of their wins were comebacks, not 40% of all games.vs Club 333Dust2from 8 downvs regainInfernofrom 5 downvs Reign AboveAnubisfrom 5 downvs ZomblersInfernofrom 4 downvs Fisher CollegeAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/40 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 40 maps they lost, 18 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs regainDust2led 10 · lost 14-16vs Fisher CollegeMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs regainAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs AetherInfernoled 5 · lost 16-19vs LAGInfernoled 5 · lost 16-19
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Club 333Dust2from 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs regainDust2led 10 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini4.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi48% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT48% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs SakuraAncient14-16vs AetherInferno16-19vs LAGInferno16-19vs Outfit 49Inferno13-16vs F5Overpass17-19