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Predictions / A Great Chaos vs WBT Academy · match preview
A Great Chaos vs WBT Academy: CS2 match prediction · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 6
A Great Chaos
World #– · 4-5
VS
2026-09-07 13:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 6 · Best of 3
WBT Academy
World #– · 1-2
40%60%
31%
2.981.33Market · 2 books
69%The call
WBT Academy are favoured: our model gives them 60% against A Great Chaos. Bookmakers lean WBT Academy at 69%. Record slightly favours A Great Chaos, firepower clearly favours WBT Academy.
Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
A Great ChaospullWBT Academy
Team strength1473
147951/49 WBT
Track record4–5
1–260/40 A G
Recent formLWLWL
WLL53/47 A G
Roster rating1.01
1.1393/7 WBT
Bookmakers imply 31% for A Great Chaos (2.98 / 1.33); we land 9 points higher at 40%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 66% our own signal (19 maps of A Great Chaos, 7 of WBT Academy; thin sample, treat it as a lean, not a lock).
Bottom line: WBT Academy to beat A Great Chaos, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
WBT Academy
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Permitta#1120-20-2
A Great Chaos vs Permitta
Sep 6LMirage9-13Nuke2-13WBT Academy vs Permitta
Sep 6LNuke11-13Anubis13-16GOTGothic2-02-1
A Great Chaos vs Gothic
Sep 6WMirage13-11Anubis16-12WBT Academy vs Gothic
Sep 6WAncient11-13Dust213-10Mirage13-3Firepower
roster ratingsA Great Chaos · avg 1.01 · top +0.12
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, A Great Chaos vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapA GWBT
InfernoA G bann/a0gn/a0g
A Great Chaos on Inferno
no recent maps
WBT Academy on Inferno
no recent maps
CacheWBT bann/a0gn/a0g
A Great Chaos on Cache
no recent maps
WBT Academy on Cache
no recent maps
MirageA G pick43%3-4100%1-0
A Great Chaos on Mirage
LPermitta9–131d agoWGothic13–111d agoW
Nyxon13–74mo agoL
Honvéd8–134mo agoL
BASEMENT BOYS4–134mo agoW
Linx Legacy13–74mo agoL
100 Thieves7–134mo agoWBT Academy on Mirage
WGothic13–31d agoDust2WBT pick33%1-2100%1-0
WBT Academy on Dust2
WGothic13–101d agoAncientA G ban0%0-10%0-1
A Great Chaos on Ancient
L100 Thieves6–134mo agoWBT Academy on Ancient
LGothic11–131d agoAnubisWBT ban100%2-00%0-2
Nukedecider40%2-30%0-2
Each team's usual first ban: A Great Chaos Inferno · WBT Academy Inferno.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
WBT Academy51%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: WBT Academy 54% toss-up · Dust2: WBT Academy 54% toss-up · Nuke: A Great Chaos 56%WhyWBT Academy hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesA Great Chaos 49%: 2-1 28%, 2-0 21% · WBT Academy 51%: 2-0 29%, 2-1 22%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
A Great Chaos 49%It’s nearly a coin-flip. WBT Academy only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.51% WBT Academy
Mirage
A Great Chaos46%WBT Academy54%
3-4record1-0
43%win100%
60%CT win100%
36%T win75%
43%pistol50%
67%convert100%
Dust2
A Great Chaos46%WBT Academy54%
1-2record1-0
33%win100%
50%CT win50%
39%T win64%
17%pistol50%
100%convert100%
Nuke
A Great Chaos56%WBT Academy44%
2-3record0-2
40%win0%
47%CT win46%
43%T win38%
20%pistol75%
100%convert67%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
A Gct
A Gt
WBTct
WBTt
A Gpistol
A Gconv
A Geco
WBTpistol
WBTconv
WBTeco
Miragepool
60%38/63
36%29/81
100%4/4
75%9/12
43%6/14
67%4/6
25%2/8
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Dust2pool
50%12/24
39%14/36
50%6/12
64%7/11
17%1/6
100%1/1
0%0/5
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Nukepool
47%26/55
43%19/44
46%11/24
38%8/21
20%2/10
100%2/2
25%2/8
75%3/4
67%2/3
0%0/1
Infernoban
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Cacheban
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Ancientban
50%6/12
0%0/7
42%5/12
50%6/12
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
0%0/2
n/a
50%1/2
Anubisban
54%13/24
50%12/24
21%5/24
79%19/24
50%2/4
50%1/2
50%1/2
75%3/4
67%2/3
0%0/1
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
WBT Academy wins more pistol rounds: 63% vs 30%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (78% vs 80%). Lose the pistol → A Great Chaos fight back to win the next round more often (19% vs 0%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
A Great Chaos
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/8 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 8 maps they won, 3 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs GothicAnubisfrom 5 downvs GothicMiragefrom 4 downvs Linx LegacyNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/11 (9%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 11 maps they lost, 1 (9%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MASONICNukeled 3 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GothicAnubisfrom 5 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni3 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MASONICNukeled 3 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi21% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT21% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs GothicAnubis16-12
WBT Academy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/2 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 1 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs GothicDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/5 (20%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 5 maps they lost, 1 (20%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs OLDBOYS PLNukeled 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GothicDust2from 5 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs OLDBOYS PLNukeled 5 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini3.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi71% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT71% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs OLDBOYS PLAnubis17-19vs PermittaAnubis13-16