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Predictions / ENCE vs Entropy · match preview
ENCE vs Entropy: CS2 match prediction · NODWIN Clutch Series 12 Closed Qualifier
ENCE
World #125 · 29-26
VS
2026-09-07 14:00 UTC
NODWIN Clutch Series 12 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
Entropy
World #139 · 30-27
46%54%
The call
Entropy are favoured: our model gives them 54% against ENCE. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Entropy, form clearly favours Entropy, firepower clearly favours Entropy, head-to-head slightly favours ENCE.
Likely mapsMirage · Cache · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
ENCEpullEntropy
Team strength1505
154959/41 ENT
Track record29–26
30–2751/49 ENC
Recent formLLWWL
WWWWW71/29 ENT
Roster rating1.09
1.1787/13 ENT
Head-to-head2 maps
1 maps60/40 ENC
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 96% our own signal (119 maps of ENCE, 138 of Entropy). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: ENCE leads 1–0.
Bottom line: Entropy to beat ENCE, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
ENCE
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Entropy
JiJieHao#270-20-2
ENCE vs JiJieHao
Apr 24LOverpass11-13Dust25-13Entropy vs JiJieHao
Jul 30LAncient26-28Cache8-13JUSJust Players#972-12-0
ENCE vs Just Players
Aug 14WNuke13-7Ancient9-13Anubis22-20Entropy vs Just Players
Jul 13WCache13-4Mirage16-14
UNiTY#1052-02-0
ENCE vs UNiTY
May 30WMirage13-0Anubis13-11Entropy vs UNiTY
Jul 29WInferno13-7Cache13-8
Enjoy#1441-20-2
ENCE vs Enjoy
Aug 13LCache10-13Inferno13-6Mirage11-13Entropy vs Enjoy
Jul 26LCache14-16Dust24-13
Atreides#1471-42-0
Entropy vs Atreides
Jul 12WCache13-11Mirage13-11
Noir Verse#1491-21-2
ENCE vs Noir Verse
Aug 19LNuke13-9Mirage6-13Anubis2-13Entropy vs Noir Verse
Jun 13LDust211-13Ancient13-5Mirage2-13
MOUZ NXT#1561-22-1
ENCE vs MOUZ NXT
Aug 15LCache13-10Mirage9-13Nuke7-13Entropy vs MOUZ NXT
Aug 30WCache9-13Mirage13-8Ancient13-11
Lilmix#1954-02-0
Entropy vs Lilmix
Jul 17WAncient13-6Cache13-7Firepower
roster ratingsENCE · avg 1.09 · top +0.03
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, ENCE vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Entropy habitually bans Nuke, ENCE's strongest maps (Nuke, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Nuke 51/58), not an opponent read, so expect ENCE to fight the veto for Nuke.
MapENCENT
Dust2ENC ban33%3-629%5-12
NukeENT ban65%15-850%2-2
MirageENC pick52%15-1457%20-15
CacheENT pick60%3-256%9-7
InfernoENC ban56%5-450%6-6
AnubisENT ban59%10-753%9-8
Each team's usual first ban: ENCE Inferno · Entropy Nuke.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Entropy60%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: Entropy 55% toss-up · Cache: ENCE 51% toss-up · Ancient: Entropy 66% clearWhyEntropy hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesENCE 40%: 2-0 23%, 2-1 17% · Entropy 60%: 2-1 33%, 2-0 27%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
ENCE 40%Entropy are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Entropy 2-1.60% Entropy
Mirage
ENCE45%Entropy55%
15-14record20-15
52%win57%
51%CT win59%
52%T win44%
52%pistol49%
89%convert91%
Cache
ENCE51%Entropy49%
3-2record9-7
60%win56%
53%CT win53%
48%T win49%
40%pistol31%
100%convert90%
Ancient
ENCE34%Entropy66%
7-11record13-10
39%win57%
52%CT win56%
44%T win48%
47%pistol37%
82%convert76%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
ENCct
ENCt
ENTct
ENTt
ENCpistol
ENCconv
ENCeco
ENTpistol
ENTconv
ENTeco
Miragepool
51%148/288
52%153/297
59%198/338
44%171/385
52%30/58
89%25/28
7%2/28
49%34/70
91%31/34
17%6/36
Cachepool
53%32/60
48%25/52
53%80/150
49%91/185
40%4/10
100%4/4
0%0/6
31%10/32
90%9/10
14%3/22
Ancientpool
52%107/204
44%81/186
56%139/249
48%119/246
47%17/36
82%14/17
11%2/19
37%17/46
76%13/17
28%8/29
Dust2ban
49%52/106
35%24/69
43%81/190
46%73/159
50%9/18
78%7/9
22%2/9
50%17/34
76%13/17
6%1/17
Nukeban
59%131/223
54%136/252
50%24/48
45%18/40
46%21/46
90%19/21
20%5/25
50%4/8
75%3/4
0%0/4
Infernoban
43%41/95
55%50/91
43%59/137
54%69/127
61%11/18
82%9/11
14%1/7
46%11/24
82%9/11
31%4/13
Anubisban
52%94/182
52%90/172
60%102/170
44%75/172
44%15/34
80%12/15
5%1/19
41%14/34
86%12/14
35%7/20
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
ENCE wins more pistol rounds: 49% vs 41%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (88% vs 87%). Lose the pistol → Entropy fight back to win the next round more often (20% vs 8%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
ENCE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/62 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 62 maps they won, 21 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs EntropyAncientfrom 7 downvs eLITenergyNukefrom 5 downvs fnaticAncientfrom 5 downvs 100 ThievesAnubisfrom 5 downvs AllianceOverpassfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/57 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 57 maps they lost, 21 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs fnaticOverpassled 10 · lost 14-16vs WBTNukeled 8 · lost 8-13vs illwillMirageled 7 · lost 13-16vs illwillAnubisled 6 · lost 9-13vs JiJieHaoOverpassled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EntropyAncientfrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs fnaticOverpassled 10 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 12Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 12 went to overtime.vs PARIVISIONAnubis20-22vs fnaticAncient19-17vs illwillMirage13-16vs CYBERSHOKEDust213-16vs fnaticOverpass14-16
Entropy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/66 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 66 maps they won, 22 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs HonvédMiragefrom 10 downvs MisaCachefrom 9 downvs MisaCachefrom 8 downvs WAZABIAncientfrom 6 downvs Endless JourneyInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/64 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 64 maps they lost, 19 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ENCEAncientled 7 · lost 14-16vs HOTUDust2led 7 · lost 13-16vs Sashi AcademyAncientled 6 · lost 8-13vs OramondMirageled 6 · lost 9-13vs Project 91Mirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs HonvédMiragefrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ENCEAncientled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs Sashi AcademyInferno16-14vs WAZABIAncient16-14vs ENCEInferno13-16vs ENCEMirage16-12vs ENCEAncient14-16