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Predictions / Lavked vs NAVI Junior · match preview
Lavked vs NAVI Junior: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9
LAV
Lavked
World #105 · 57-47
VS
2026-09-21 17:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
NAVI Junior
World #114 · 16-18
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
53%47%
60%
1.532.29Market · 2 books
40%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 53–47. Bookmakers lean Lavked at 60%. Form slightly favours NAVI Junior, firepower slightly favours Lavked.
Likely mapsMirage · Anubis · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
LavkedpullNAVI Junior
Team strength1481
150054/46 NAV
Track record57–47
16–1856/44 LAV
Recent formLLLWL
LWLLW64/36 NAV
Roster rating1.08
1.0457/43 LAV
Bookmakers imply 60% for Lavked (1.53 / 2.29); we land 7 points lower at 53%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 95% our own signal (249 maps of Lavked, 78 of NAVI Junior).
Bottom line: Lavked to beat NAVI Junior, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsLavked · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.03iStar gap: the best player rates 0.03 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| xm1nd★ | 1.17 | 72.4 | 72.4% | 37% | 1.11 |
| azukay | 1.01 | 73.2 | 72.9% | 59% | 1.1 |
| k4nfuz | 1 | 68.8 | 73% | 65% | 1.09 |
| 1NVISIBLEE | 0.91 | 80.4 | 68.2% | 58% | 1.07 |
| sol | 0.91 | 67.3 | 71.8% | 52% | 1.01 |
NAVI Junior · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Lavked
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
ex-RUSTEC#672-11-2
Lavked vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 23WDust25-13Mirage13-9Anubis13-7NAVI Junior vs ex-RUSTEC
Sep 18LMirage13-4Dust24-13Nuke7-13
Bushido Wildcats#761-22-5
Lavked vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 22LNuke8-13Mirage13-10Dust24-13NAVI Junior vs Bushido Wildcats
Sep 14WDust26-13Mirage16-13Anubis13-11Sep 12LDust219-22Mirage17-19Sep 8LMirage4-13Dust26-13
ASTRAL#794-00-2
NAVI Junior vs ASTRAL
Jul 28LAncient7-13Nuke15-19
UNiTY#922-30-2
NAVI Junior vs UNiTY
Aug 7LAnubis5-13Ancient10-13
QUAZAR#1020-20-2
Lavked vs QUAZAR
Mar 30LOverpass3-13Nuke12-16NAVI Junior vs QUAZAR
Sep 18LDust23-13Nuke5-13
Leo#1224-11-2
NAVI Junior vs Leo
Sep 19LNuke11-13Mirage13-10Dust211-13JUSJust Players#1262-32-1
NAVI Junior vs Just Players
Sep 16WAncient5-13Mirage25-22Dust213-10
MOUZ NXT#1364-21-0
NAVI Junior vs MOUZ NXT
Jul 27Wseries13-5Map lab
Lavked51%to win the Bo3 · most likely Lavked 2-1
If the veto goes
Lavked 51%how the series ends49% NAVI Junior
12%2-038%
39%2-111%
Lavked24%39-29vsNAVI Junior76%16-3
57%Win84%
56%CT66%
47%T51%
48%Pistol61%
77%Conv91%
Lavked50%9-11vsNAVI Junior50%4-5
45%Win44%
44%CT50%
47%T50%
55%Pistol56%
68%Conv80%
Lavked78%22-14vsNAVI Junior22%3-8
61%Win27%
54%CT41%
54%T47%
54%Pistol36%
85%Conv75%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
LavkedMirageNAVI Junior
56%CT side66%
47%T side51%
48%Pistol61%
77%After win91%
14%After loss27%
LavkedAnubisNAVI Junior
44%CT side50%
47%T side50%
55%Pistol56%
68%After win80%
11%After loss38%
LavkedAncientNAVI Junior
54%CT side41%
54%T side47%
54%Pistol36%
85%After win75%
21%After loss14%
Pistol rounds51% · 53% · level, no edge
After a won pistol78% · 85% · NAVI Junior keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol16% · 24% · NAVI Junior fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Lavked vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapLAVNAV
InfernoLAV ban24%4-1329%2-5
CacheNAV ban0%0-10%0-2
Lavked on Cache
L
megoshort14–162mo agoMirageLAV pick57%39-2984%16-3
AnubisNAV pick45%9-1144%4-5
Dust2LAV ban52%24-2236%5-9
NukeNAV ban59%30-2127%3-8
Ancientdecider61%22-1427%3-8
Each team's usual first ban: Lavked Inferno · NAVI Junior Cache.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Lavked
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i48/131 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 131 maps they won, 48 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs ASTRALDust2from 8 downvs Black PhoenixMiragefrom 8 downvs ex-RUBYNukefrom 7 downvs OLDBOYS PLMiragefrom 7 downvs UNiTYMiragefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i31/116 (27%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 116 maps they lost, 31 (27%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16vs ARCREDMirageled 8 · lost 10-13vs UNiTYMirageled 8 · lost 7-13vs SPARTAInfernoled 6 · lost 12-16vs fnaticMirageled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ASTRALDust2from 8 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 31Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 31 went to overtime.vs ex-RUBYAncient16-14vs ESCAncient13-16vs PhantomMirage16-14vs K27Dust212-16vs QUAZARNuke12-16
NAVI Junior
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/33 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 33 maps they won, 13 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs OLDBOYS PLNukefrom 6 downvs LPHInfernofrom 5 downvs GamersLabNukefrom 5 downvs Falcons ForceNukefrom 5 downvs Just PlayersMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i10/42 (24%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 42 maps they lost, 10 (24%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs QUAZARDust2led 10 · lost 3-13vs ex-RUSTECDust2led 10 · lost 4-13vs QUAZARNukeled 8 · lost 5-13vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 6 · lost 19-22vs JamAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs OLDBOYS PLNukefrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs QUAZARDust2led 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs ASTRALNuke15-19vs GamersLabDust212-16vs GamersLabMirage16-12vs eSubaInferno14-16vs JamNuke14-16