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Predictions / Nemiga vs Just Players · match preview
Nemiga vs Just Players: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9
Nemiga
World #36 · 78-31
VS
2026-09-24 08:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3 · ★
Just Players
World #112 · 43-40
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3 · ★
88%12%
85%
1.086.3Market · 8 books
15%The call · high confidence
Nemiga are favoured: our model gives them 88% against Just Players. Bookmakers lean Nemiga at 85%. Strength clearly favours Nemiga, record slightly favours Nemiga, form slightly favours Nemiga, firepower clearly favours Nemiga, head-to-head clearly favours Nemiga.
Likely mapsAnubis · Mirage · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
NemigapullJust Players
Team strength1773
153190/10 NEM
Track record78–31
43–4064/36 NEM
Recent formWWWWW
WLLLW68/32 NEM
Roster rating1.15
1.187/13 NEM
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 NEM
Bookmakers imply 85% for Nemiga (1.08 / 6.3); we land 3 points higher at 88%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 98% our own signal (266 maps of Nemiga, 201 of Just Players). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: Nemiga leads 1–0.
Bottom line: Nemiga to beat Just Players, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsNemiga · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Just Players · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sstiNiX★ | 1.11 | 81.8 | 72% | 63% | 1.2 |
| bl1x1 | 1.13 | 76 | 71.9% | 63% | 1.19 |
| sm3t | 1.02 | 77.4 | 70.2% | 58% | 1.09 |
| h1te | 1.06 | 69.7 | 70.3% | 35% | 1.05 |
| Temny Prince | 0.84 | 69.1 | 69.3% | 66% | 0.98 |
Recent form
Nemiga
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
K27#393-72-1
Nemiga vs K27
Sep 10LAnubis10-13Mirage13-9Nuke10-13Sep 3Lseries0-2Mar 26WOverpass13-7Nuke4-13Anubis13-7+1 earlier meeting
Just Players vs K27
Jul 31WNuke13-9Mirage8-13Ancient13-6
1win#406-61-2
Nemiga vs 1win
Sep 11WAnubis13-6Dust213-7Aug 25LAnubis14-16Dust26-13Mar 21LMirage10-13Ancient13-4Dust26-13+2 earlier meetings
Just Players vs 1win
Jul 22LMirage13-6Dust26-13Ancient7-13
GenOne#532-20-4
Nuclear TigeRES#563-70-2
Nemiga vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 28LNuke10-13Ancient14-16May 20LAncient7-13Dust211-13Mar 6LDust211-13Ancient16-13Anubis5-13+1 earlier meeting
Just Players vs Nuclear TigeRES
Aug 4LDust211-13Anubis9-13
Acend#574-02-0
Just Players vs Acend
May 28WDust213-11Overpass13-11
BET-M#668-40-2
Nemiga vs BET-M
Sep 15WNuke13-7Ancient10-13Anubis25-23Apr 3WAnubis19-16Nuke4-13Ancient13-5Mar 11WAnubis3-13Nuke16-13Ancient16-14+1 earlier meeting
Just Players vs BET-M
Sep 18LAncient11-13Nuke5-13
INOX Division#702-11-4
Nemiga vs INOX Division
May 9WNuke13-7Anubis8-13Overpass13-11
Bushido Wildcats#720-22-2
Nemiga vs Bushido Wildcats
Jun 4Lseries0-2Map lab
Nemiga62%to win the Bo3 · most likely Nemiga 2-0
If the veto goes
Nemiga 62%how the series ends38% Just Players
37%2-015%
25%2-123%
Nemiga65%32-11vsJust Players35%8-5
74%Win62%
61%CT48%
54%T54%
58%Pistol58%
82%Conv73%
Nemiga57%25-12vsJust Players43%34-22
68%Win61%
56%CT59%
51%T47%
59%Pistol49%
86%Conv84%
Nemiga52%35-22vsJust Players48%25-17
61%Win60%
54%CT56%
53%T52%
48%Pistol44%
80%Conv89%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
NemigaAnubisJust Players
61%CT side48%
54%T side54%
58%Pistol58%
82%After win73%
14%After loss9%
NemigaMirageJust Players
56%CT side59%
51%T side47%
59%Pistol49%
86%After win84%
13%After loss19%
NemigaAncientJust Players
54%CT side56%
53%T side52%
48%Pistol44%
80%After win89%
20%After loss30%
Pistol rounds54% · 48% · Nemiga win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol82% · 84% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol17% · 23% · Just Players fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Nemiga vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Just Players habitually bans Inferno, Nemiga's strongest maps (Ancient, Nuke, Mirage, Overpass, Anubis, Inferno, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 73/85), not an opponent read, so expect Nemiga to fight the veto for Anubis.
MapNEMJUS
InfernoNEM ban100%2-0n/a0g
Just Players on Inferno
no recent maps
CacheJUS ban67%6-333%3-6
AnubisNEM pick74%32-1162%8-5
MirageJUS pick68%25-1261%34-22
Dust2NEM ban57%27-2039%15-23
NukeJUS ban61%23-1534%11-21
Ancientdecider61%35-2260%25-17
Each team's usual first ban: Nemiga Inferno · Just Players Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Nemiga
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i52/171 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 171 maps they won, 52 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs OramondOverpassfrom 10 downvs HOTUCachefrom 9 downvs MetizportMiragefrom 8 downvs BET-MAnubisfrom 7 downvs ex-RUBYAncientfrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i25/89 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 89 maps they lost, 25 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HOTUCacheled 8 · lost 9-13vs 1winMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs HOTUAncientled 6 · lost 14-16vs ARCREDAncientled 5 · lost 12-16vs WWDust2led 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs OramondOverpassfrom 10 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HOTUCacheled 8 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 35Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 35 went to overtime.vs KOLESIEDust216-14vs ARCREDAncient12-16vs K27Anubis12-16vs mix52Nuke20-22vs GoodGame ClubOverpass16-14
Just Players
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i43/100 (43%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 100 maps they won, 43 (43%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 43% of their wins were comebacks, not 43% of all games.vs NEW VISIONAncientfrom 11 downvs Black PhoenixMiragefrom 8 downvs Spirit AcademyMiragefrom 8 downvs SAWAnubisfrom 7 downvs Endless JourneyMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i31/97 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 97 maps they lost, 31 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs eLITenergyOverpassled 7 · lost 11-13vs LavkedAncientled 7 · lost 11-13vs Lazer CatsAncientled 5 · lost 9-13vs NAVI JuniorMirageled 5 · lost 22-25vs eLITenergyAncientled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NEW VISIONAncientfrom 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs eLITenergyOverpassled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs yngodsAnubis16-14vs OlyBetAncient14-16vs SPARTAOverpass22-20vs TrickedMirage16-13vs TrickedNuke13-16