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Predictions / M80 vs GamerLegion · match preview
M80 vs GamerLegion: CS2 match prediction · Logitech G Play Connect 2026
M80
World #26 · 38-25
VS
2026-09-17 11:00 UTC
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
GamerLegion
World #20 · 32-25
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
54%46%
49%
1.921.83Market · 2 books
51%The call
M80 are favoured: our model gives them 54% against GamerLegion. Bookmakers lean GamerLegion at 51%. Strength slightly favours M80, form clearly favours M80, firepower slightly favours M80, head-to-head clearly favours GamerLegion.
Likely mapsInferno · Cache · Mirage
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
M80pullGamerLegion
Team strength1608
156160/40 M80
Track record38–25
32–2556/44 M80
Recent formWWLWW
LLLLW82/18 M80
Roster rating1.12
1.0266/34 M80
Head-to-head0 maps
2 maps75/25 GAM
Bookmakers imply 49% for M80 (1.92 / 1.83); we land 5 points higher at 54%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 96% our own signal (133 maps of M80, 121 of GamerLegion). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: GamerLegion leads 1–0.
Bottom line: M80 to beat GamerLegion, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsM80 · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
GamerLegion · avg 1.02 · star gap +0.16iStar gap: the best player rates 0.16 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
M80
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
MOUZ#31-21-2
M80 vs MOUZ
May 21LOverpass3-13Inferno13-10Mirage2-13GamerLegion vs MOUZ
Aug 19LMirage11-13Ancient22-19Nuke11-13
FURIA#40-23-3
M80 vs FURIA
Aug 28LCache13-16Dust25-13
Legacy#60-42-1
GamerLegion vs Legacy
May 16WAncient13-9Mirage3-13Inferno13-6
G2#81-40-2
GamerLegion vs G2
Apr 3LInferno14-16Ancient7-13
Aurora#92-52-3
Natus Vincere#102-11-7
M80 vs Natus Vincere
Aug 26WAnubis4-13Mirage13-6Inferno13-6GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere
May 17LMirage3-13Anubis9-13Nuke13-16May 12LInferno4-13Ancient13-1Mirage11-13May 1LMirage10-13Ancient4-13
B8#161-21-2
GamerLegion vs B8
Jun 7LInferno11-13Mirage13-8Nuke11-13
Alliance#212-10-2
M80 vs Alliance
Apr 2WAnubis11-13Inferno13-2Overpass13-5GamerLegion vs Alliance
Mar 27LAnubis14-16Inferno7-13Map lab
M8053%to win the Bo3 · most likely M80 2-1
If the veto goes
M80 53%how the series ends47% GamerLegion
21%2-029%
32%2-118%
M8043%18-14vsGamerLegion57%16-9
56%Win64%
50%CT52%
56%T50%
50%Pistol38%
81%Conv74%
M8050%5-1vsGamerLegion50%2-0
83%Win100%
65%CT35%
60%T83%
83%Pistol50%
100%Conv100%
M8063%21-11vsGamerLegion37%15-14
66%Win52%
56%CT53%
50%T47%
44%Pistol48%
82%Conv75%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
M80InfernoGamerLegion
50%CT side52%
56%T side50%
50%Pistol38%
81%After win74%
25%After loss26%
M80CacheGamerLegion
65%CT side35%
60%T side83%
83%Pistol50%
100%After win100%
50%After loss0%
M80MirageGamerLegion
56%CT side53%
50%T side47%
44%Pistol48%
82%After win75%
14%After loss20%
Pistol rounds50% · 44% · M80 win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol84% · 76% · M80 keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol20% · 22% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, M80 vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapM80GAM
NukeM80 bann/a0g50%11-11
M80 on Nuke
no recent maps
Dust2GAM ban58%15-1110%1-9
InfernoM80 pick56%18-1464%16-9
CacheGAM pick83%5-1100%2-0
AncientM80 ban50%10-1062%13-8
AnubisGAM ban50%4-425%1-3
Miragedecider66%21-1152%15-14
Each team's usual first ban: M80 Nuke · GamerLegion Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
M80
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/79 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 79 maps they won, 22 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs VocaAnubisfrom 6 downvs Passion UAMiragefrom 5 downvs AuroraAnubisfrom 5 downvs WildcardDust2from 5 downvs NRGInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/54 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 54 maps they lost, 18 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FalconsInfernoled 6 · lost 15-19vs VocaMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs LiquidMirageled 5 · lost 13-16vs FalconsAncientled 5 · lost 11-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasAncientled 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs VocaAnubisfrom 6 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FalconsInfernoled 6 · lost 15-19
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs LiquidMirage13-16vs WildcardDust216-14vs FalconsInferno15-19vs B8Inferno20-22vs LegacyInferno13-16
GamerLegion
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/64 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 64 maps they won, 19 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs AstralisInfernofrom 8 downvs JiJieHaoAncientfrom 7 downvs BC.GameInfernofrom 5 downvs VenomNukefrom 4 downvs AuroraInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/57 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 57 maps they lost, 18 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MOUZNukeled 8 · lost 11-13vs B8Nukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs AcendMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs VitalityDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs G2Infernoled 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AstralisInfernofrom 8 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MOUZNukeled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs VenomTrain16-14vs AuroraInferno16-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasMirage16-12vs AvantiAncient16-12vs SINNERSMirage16-19