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Predictions / GamerLegion vs Ninjas in Pyjamas · match preview
GamerLegion vs Ninjas in Pyjamas: CS2 match prediction · Logitech G Play Connect 2026
GamerLegion
World #20 · 32-25
VS
2026-09-17 13:00 UTC
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
Ninjas in Pyjamas
World #29 · 32-33
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
49%51%
51%
1.831.92Market · 2 books
49%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 49–51. Bookmakers lean GamerLegion at 51%. Strength slightly favours Ninjas in Pyjamas, form slightly favours Ninjas in Pyjamas.
Likely mapsCache · Nuke · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
GamerLegionpullNinjas in Pyjamas
Team strength1561
160760/40 NIN
Track record32–25
32–3351/49 GAM
Recent formLLLLW
LWLLL67/33 NIN
Roster rating1.02
1.0855/45 GAM
Head-to-head3 maps3 maps50/50
The market agrees: bookmakers imply 51% for GamerLegion (1.83 / 1.92) and we land at 49%, the same read. This read is 96% our own signal (121 maps of GamerLegion, 155 of Ninjas in Pyjamas). Head-to-head they've met 2 times: split 1–1.
Bottom line: Ninjas in Pyjamas to beat GamerLegion, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsGamerLegion · avg 1.02 · star gap +0.16iStar gap: the best player rates 0.16 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Ninjas in Pyjamas · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| xKacpersky★ | 1.06 | 82.2 | 72.4% | 54% | 1.18 |
| stavn | 1.2 | 74.3 | 71.7% | 32% | 1.12 |
| sjuush | 0.98 | 70.1 | 70.5% | 56% | 1.06 |
| n0te | 0.94 | 70.5 | 70.2% | 57% | 1.04 |
| Krimbo | 0.96 | 67 | 68.5% | 58% | 1 |
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents6mo ago
GamerLegion2 : 1
Ninjas in Pyjamas!7mo ago GamerLegion1 : 2 Ninjas in Pyjamas!
GamerLegion2 : 1 Ninjas in Pyjamas!⚠ Different lineup
GamerLegion
outPR, Snax
inFL4MUS, Grashog
Ninjas in Pyjamas
outSnappi, cairne, r1nkle
inKrimbo, n0te, stavn
GamerLegion1 : 2 Ninjas in Pyjamas!⚠ Different lineup
GamerLegion
outPR, Snax
inFL4MUS, Grashog
Ninjas in Pyjamas
outSnappi, cairne, r1nkle
inKrimbo, n0te, stavn
Legacy#62-11-3
GamerLegion vs Legacy
May 16WAncient13-9Mirage3-13Inferno13-6
G2#80-20-2
GamerLegion vs G2
Apr 3LInferno14-16Ancient7-13Ninjas in Pyjamas vs G2
Mar 5LAnubis10-13Dust213-16
Astralis#114-31-2
GamerLegion vs Astralis
Jun 6LAncient4-13May 14WMirage13-3Ancient13-8May 2WOverpass13-8Inferno16-14+1 earlier meeting
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Astralis
Aug 16LNuke3-13Inferno13-10Cache7-13
B8#161-20-1
GamerLegion vs B8
Jun 7LInferno11-13Mirage13-8Nuke11-13Ninjas in Pyjamas vs B8
May 20LAncient9-13
Alliance#210-22-1
GamerLegion vs Alliance
Mar 27LAnubis14-16Inferno7-13
Liquid#222-02-6
GamerLegion vs Liquid
May 13WMirage13-9Nuke13-6Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Liquid
Mar 21LNuke13-3Mirage17-19Ancient9-13Jan 28LNuke6-13Mirage8-13Jan 15LNuke10-13Mirage13-8Ancient13-16
BIG#252-03-3
GamerLegion vs BIG
Jun 4WOverpass16-14Ancient13-11Ninjas in Pyjamas vs BIG
Jul 4LAnubis11-13Inferno13-9Ancient6-13Apr 25WAncient13-5Mirage11-13Anubis13-5
M80#262-03-2
GamerLegion vs M80
Jan 5WMirage13-9Inferno13-11Map lab
GamerLegion51%to win the Bo3 · most likely GamerLegion 2-1
If the veto goes
GamerLegion 51%how the series ends49% Ninjas in Pyjamas
17%2-026%
34%2-123%
GamerLegion65%2-0vsNinjas in Pyjamas35%0-6
100%Win0%
35%CT35%
83%T41%
50%Pistol33%
100%Conv75%
GamerLegion26%11-11vsNinjas in Pyjamas74%30-10
50%Win75%
58%CT64%
45%T52%
55%Pistol46%
79%Conv78%
GamerLegion60%13-8vsNinjas in Pyjamas40%17-16
62%Win52%
56%CT53%
48%T49%
52%Pistol52%
86%Conv85%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
GamerLegionCacheNinjas in Pyjamas
35%CT side35%
83%T side41%
50%Pistol33%
100%After win75%
0%After loss13%
GamerLegionNukeNinjas in Pyjamas
58%CT side64%
45%T side52%
55%Pistol46%
79%After win78%
10%After loss47%
GamerLegionAncientNinjas in Pyjamas
56%CT side53%
48%T side49%
52%Pistol52%
86%After win85%
25%After loss13%
Pistol rounds53% · 47% · GamerLegion win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol83% · 81% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol17% · 30% · Ninjas in Pyjamas fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, GamerLegion vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Ninjas in Pyjamas habitually bans Inferno, GamerLegion's strongest maps (Inferno, Ancient, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 45/64), not an opponent read, so expect GamerLegion to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapGAMNIN
Dust2GAM ban10%1-937%7-12
InfernoNIN ban64%16-957%4-3
CacheGAM pick100%2-00%0-6
NukeNIN pick50%11-1175%30-10
AnubisGAM ban25%1-350%8-8
MirageNIN ban52%15-1441%11-16
Ancientdecider62%13-852%17-16
Each team's usual first ban: GamerLegion Dust2 · Ninjas in Pyjamas Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
GamerLegion
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/64 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 64 maps they won, 19 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs AstralisInfernofrom 8 downvs JiJieHaoAncientfrom 7 downvs BC.GameInfernofrom 5 downvs VenomNukefrom 4 downvs AuroraInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/57 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 57 maps they lost, 18 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MOUZNukeled 8 · lost 11-13vs B8Nukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs AcendMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs VitalityDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs G2Infernoled 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AstralisInfernofrom 8 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MOUZNukeled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs VenomTrain16-14vs AuroraInferno16-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasMirage16-12vs AvantiAncient16-12vs SINNERSMirage16-19
Ninjas in Pyjamas
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i27/79 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 79 maps they won, 27 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs EchoNukefrom 7 downvs M1X KSDust2from 6 downvs MonteNukefrom 6 downvs fnaticMiragefrom 6 downvs SINNERSNukefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/75 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 75 maps they lost, 26 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HEROICMirageled 8 · lost 12-16vs MonteAnubisled 6 · lost 14-16vs LegacyAncientled 5 · lost 13-16vs BIGMirageled 5 · lost 11-13vs paiNMirageled 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EchoNukefrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HEROICMirageled 8 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs LiquidAncient13-16vs BC.GameDust214-16vs M1X KSOverpass13-16vs GamerLegionMirage12-16vs 100 ThievesAncient12-16