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Predictions / Metizport vs GamerLegion · match preview
Metizport vs GamerLegion: CS2 match prediction · Logitech G Play Connect 2026
Metizport
World #68 · 43-33
VS
2026-09-17 14:00 UTC
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
GamerLegion
World #20 · 32-25
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
62%38%
35%
2.621.44Market · 2 books
65%The call
Metizport are favoured: our model gives them 62% against GamerLegion. Bookmakers lean GamerLegion at 65%. Strength slightly favours Metizport, form clearly favours Metizport, firepower clearly favours Metizport, head-to-head clearly favours GamerLegion.
Likely mapsNuke · Inferno · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
MetizportpullGamerLegion
Team strength1649
156168/32 MET
Track record43–33
32–2554/46 MET
Recent formLWWWW
LLLLW80/20 MET
Roster rating1.1
1.0283/17 MET
Head-to-head0 maps
2 maps75/25 GAM
Bookmakers imply 35% for Metizport (2.62 / 1.44); we land 27 points higher at 62%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 96% our own signal (172 maps of Metizport, 121 of GamerLegion). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: GamerLegion leads 1–0.
Bottom line: Metizport to beat GamerLegion, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsMetizport · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
GamerLegion · avg 1.02 · star gap +0.16iStar gap: the best player rates 0.16 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Metizport
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Alliance#211-60-2
Metizport vs Alliance
Jun 14LNuke15-19Anubis13-5Inferno11-13Feb 19LDust24-13Overpass8-13Jan 24LNuke17-19Ancient4-13GamerLegion vs Alliance
Mar 27LAnubis14-16Inferno7-13
Liquid#220-22-0
Metizport vs Liquid
Aug 8LCache9-13Inferno10-13GamerLegion vs Liquid
May 13WMirage13-9Nuke13-6
JiJieHao#301-22-0
Metizport vs JiJieHao
Mar 3LInferno5-13Ancient13-11Dust27-13GamerLegion vs JiJieHao
Aug 13WDust213-3Ancient13-8
K27#411-21-2
Metizport vs K27
Mar 10LNuke9-13Dust213-11Ancient5-13GamerLegion vs K27
Sep 2LCache13-4Nuke5-13Mirage8-13
Sashi#552-02-0
Metizport vs Sashi
Sep 4WInferno16-13Cache16-13GamerLegion vs Sashi
Feb 23WOverpass13-1Mirage13-10
Acend#581-41-2
GamerLegion vs Acend
Jun 23LMirage10-13Ancient13-5Inferno10-13
9INE#652-02-2
Metizport vs 9INE
Sep 5WNuke25-23Ancient13-11
Phantom#722-01-0
Metizport vs Phantom
Apr 14WNuke13-9Overpass13-9GamerLegion vs Phantom
Feb 22WAncient16-13Map lab
GamerLegion50%to win the Bo3 · most likely GamerLegion 2-1
If the veto goes
Metizport 50%how the series ends50% GamerLegion
28%2-022%
22%2-128%
Metizport58%24-17vsGamerLegion42%11-11
59%Win50%
52%CT58%
50%T45%
41%Pistol55%
85%Conv79%
Metizport48%21-13vsGamerLegion52%16-9
62%Win64%
54%CT52%
51%T50%
47%Pistol38%
84%Conv74%
Metizport44%3-2vsGamerLegion56%2-0
60%Win100%
58%CT35%
41%T83%
60%Pistol50%
100%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
MetizportNukeGamerLegion
52%CT side58%
50%T side45%
41%Pistol55%
85%After win79%
27%After loss10%
MetizportInfernoGamerLegion
54%CT side52%
51%T side50%
47%Pistol38%
84%After win74%
23%After loss26%
MetizportCacheGamerLegion
58%CT side35%
41%T side83%
60%Pistol50%
100%After win100%
0%After loss0%
Pistol rounds45% · 46% · level, no edge
After a won pistol86% · 78% · Metizport keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol24% · 19% · Metizport fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Metizport vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
GamerLegion habitually bans Anubis, Metizport's strongest maps (Inferno, Anubis, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Anubis 33/57), not an opponent read, so expect Metizport to fight the veto for Nuke.
MapMETGAM
Dust2MET ban36%5-910%1-9
AnubisGAM ban71%5-225%1-3
NukeMET pick59%24-1750%11-11
InfernoGAM pick62%21-1364%16-9
MirageMET ban55%12-1052%15-14
AncientGAM ban59%13-962%13-8
Cachedecider60%3-2100%2-0
Each team's usual first ban: Metizport Anubis · GamerLegion Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Metizport
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i34/97 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 97 maps they won, 34 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs PrestigeAncientfrom 11 downvs OGInfernofrom 9 downvs SIXSEVENDust2from 7 downvs ALGOMiragefrom 7 downvs ENCE AcademyOverpassfrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/74 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 74 maps they lost, 22 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NemigaMirageled 8 · lost 14-16vs ex-Zero TenacityNukeled 6 · lost 14-16vs FAVBETNukeled 5 · lost 17-19vs AcendDust2led 4 · lost 9-13vs FAVBETInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PrestigeAncientfrom 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NemigaMirageled 8 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs BebopMirage20-22vs SIXSEVENDust216-14vs AllianceNuke17-19vs Lazer CatsInferno16-13vs AaBOverpass16-13
GamerLegion
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/64 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 64 maps they won, 19 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs AstralisInfernofrom 8 downvs JiJieHaoAncientfrom 7 downvs BC.GameInfernofrom 5 downvs VenomNukefrom 4 downvs AuroraInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/57 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 57 maps they lost, 18 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MOUZNukeled 8 · lost 11-13vs B8Nukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs AcendMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs VitalityDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs G2Infernoled 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AstralisInfernofrom 8 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MOUZNukeled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs VenomTrain16-14vs AuroraInferno16-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasMirage16-12vs AvantiAncient16-12vs SINNERSMirage16-19