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Predictions / BBL vs INFINITE · match preview
BBL vs INFINITE: CS2 match prediction · Logitech G Play Connect 2026
BBL
World #54 · 4-4
VS
2026-09-18 10:00 UTC
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3
INFINITE
World #64 · 33-27
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3
52%48%
49%
1.911.81Market · 2 books
51%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 52–48. Bookmakers lean INFINITE at 51%. Form slightly favours BBL, firepower slightly favours BBL.
Likely mapsNuke · Mirage · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
BBLpullINFINITE
Team strength1545
155853/47 INF
Track record4–4
33–2751/49 INF
Recent formLWWWL
LLLWW69/31 BBL
Roster rating1.04
0.9958/42 BBL
Bookmakers imply 49% for BBL (1.91 / 1.81); we land 3 points higher at 52%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 81% our own signal (18 maps of BBL, 115 of INFINITE).
Bottom line: BBL to beat INFINITE, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsBBL · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
INFINITE · avg 0.99 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
3DMAX#232-10-2
BBL vs 3DMAX
Sep 10WCache16-13Nuke3-13Inferno13-7INFINITE vs 3DMAX
Sep 3LNuke7-13Cache16-19
HOTU#281-20-2
BBL vs HOTU
Sep 13LAnubis13-16Nuke13-7Cache7-13INFINITE vs HOTU
Jul 25LMirage9-13Anubis5-13
100 Thieves#352-10-2
BBL vs 100 Thieves
Sep 9WAncient13-5Inferno6-13Nuke13-5INFINITE vs 100 Thieves
Aug 9LNuke5-13Dust28-13
fnatic#421-20-2
BBL vs fnatic
Sep 5LCache11-13Inferno13-9Ancient11-13INFINITE vs fnatic
Mar 30LAncient9-13Mirage10-13
Black Phoenix#890-22-0
BBL vs Black Phoenix
Aug 31LInferno13-16Nuke10-13INFINITE vs Black Phoenix
Sep 2WDust213-11Mirage13-10Map lab
BBL56%to win the Bo3 · most likely BBL 2-0
If the veto goes
BBL 56%how the series ends44% INFINITE
33%2-017%
22%2-127%
BBL65%3-3vsINFINITE35%5-10
50%Win33%
56%CT53%
41%T34%
42%Pistol30%
80%Conv67%
BBL52%1-0vsINFINITE48%18-13
100%Win58%
75%CT61%
33%T43%
50%Pistol47%
0%Conv90%
BBL45%1-2vsINFINITE55%2-2
33%Win50%
47%CT67%
42%T47%
17%Pistol50%
100%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
BBLNukeINFINITE
56%CT side53%
41%T side34%
42%Pistol30%
80%After win67%
0%After loss24%
BBLMirageINFINITE
75%CT side61%
33%T side43%
50%Pistol47%
0%After win90%
0%After loss18%
BBLCacheINFINITE
47%CT side67%
42%T side47%
17%Pistol50%
100%After win100%
0%After loss50%
Pistol rounds35% · 42% · INFINITE win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol71% · 86% · INFINITE keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol0% · 22% · INFINITE fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BBL vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBBLINF
Dust2BBL bann/a0g55%12-10
AnubisINF ban0%0-133%1-2
BBL on Anubis
LHOTU13–163d ago
NukeBBL pick50%3-333%5-10
MirageINF pick100%1-058%18-13
AncientBBL ban50%1-155%11-9
InfernoINF ban60%3-254%7-6
Cachedecider33%1-250%2-2
Each team's usual first ban: BBL Dust2 · INFINITE Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
BBL
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/9 (56%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 9 maps they won, 5 (56%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 56% of their wins were comebacks, not 56% of all games.vs UPGRADEMiragefrom 7 downvs fnaticInfernofrom 4 downvs 3DMAXCachefrom 4 downvs WildcardInfernofrom 4 downvs HOTUNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/9 (22%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 9 maps they lost, 2 (22%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HOTUAnubisled 4 · lost 13-16vs 100 ThievesInfernoled 3 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs UPGRADEMiragefrom 7 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HOTUAnubisled 4 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi44% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT44% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs Black PhoenixInferno13-16vs 3DMAXCache16-13vs WildcardInferno16-12vs HOTUAnubis13-16
INFINITE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i27/58 (47%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 58 maps they won, 27 (47%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 47% of their wins were comebacks, not 47% of all games.vs FOKUSMiragefrom 8 downvs HAVUInfernofrom 7 downvs ex-RUBYAncientfrom 7 downvs K27Nukefrom 7 downvs K27Miragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/56 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 56 maps they lost, 18 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs RebelsNukeled 9 · lost 14-16vs 3DMAXCacheled 8 · lost 16-19vs 1winDust2led 6 · lost 9-13vs aimclubMirageled 5 · lost 7-13vs zajezdzaczeMirageled 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FOKUSMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs RebelsNukeled 9 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs PrestigeOverpass19-17vs zajezdzaczeMirage14-16vs RebelsNuke14-16vs SPARTADust213-16vs K27Nuke16-14