Predictions
Confident picks
Today
Predictions / EYEBALLERS vs Liquid · match preview
EYEBALLERS vs Liquid: CS2 match prediction · Logitech G Play Connect 2026
EYEBALLERS
World #49 · 31-30
VS
2026-09-18 11:00 UTC
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3
Liquid
World #22 · 26-27
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3
30%70%
39%
2.351.53Market · 2 books
61%The call · high confidence
Liquid are favoured: our model gives them 70% against EYEBALLERS. Bookmakers lean Liquid at 61%. Strength slightly favours Liquid, form clearly favours Liquid, firepower clearly favours Liquid, head-to-head clearly favours Liquid.
Likely mapsMirage · Anubis · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
EYEBALLERSpullLiquid
Team strength1535
161366/34 LIQ
Track record31–3026–2750/50
Recent formLLLLW
WWLWW82/18 LIQ
Roster rating1.06
1.1194/6 LIQ
Head-to-head0 maps
2 maps75/25 LIQ
Bookmakers imply 39% for EYEBALLERS (2.35 / 1.53); we land 9 points lower at 30%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 96% our own signal (136 maps of EYEBALLERS, 119 of Liquid). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: Liquid leads 1–0.
Bottom line: Liquid to beat EYEBALLERS, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsEYEBALLERS · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Liquid · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.03iStar gap: the best player rates 0.03 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Vitality#50-22-0
EYEBALLERS vs Vitality
Jan 18LAnubis16-19Overpass8-13Liquid vs Vitality
Jul 24WAnubis13-10Nuke13-9
FUT#72-00-2
EYEBALLERS vs FUT
Jan 22WAnubis13-10Dust213-5Liquid vs FUT
Jan 30LAncient4-13Nuke9-13
Astralis#111-20-2
EYEBALLERS vs Astralis
Apr 9LMirage13-8Ancient14-16Inferno2-13Liquid vs Astralis
May 12LDust24-13Ancient11-13
The MongolZ#150-21-4
EYEBALLERS vs The MongolZ
Apr 5LOverpass7-13Mirage7-13
MIBR#180-40-1
Liquid vs MIBR
Jun 3LMirage10-13
Alliance#215-51-2
EYEBALLERS vs Alliance
May 24LInferno20-22Overpass13-5Ancient9-13May 23WNuke13-8Dust213-5Mar 28LInferno6-13Dust29-13+1 earlier meeting
Liquid vs Alliance
Mar 15LInferno13-6Nuke10-13
3DMAX#231-02-5
EYEBALLERS vs 3DMAX
Jul 2WInferno13-5
Inner Circle#240-22-0
EYEBALLERS vs Inner Circle
Mar 1LAncient6-13Anubis5-13Liquid vs Inner Circle
Mar 30WMirage16-13Ancient13-2Map lab
Liquid74%to win the Bo3 · most likely Liquid 2-1
If the veto goes
EYEBALLERS 26%how the series ends74% Liquid
18%2-033%
8%2-141%
EYEBALLERS44%16-15vsLiquid56%10-7
52%Win59%
61%CT57%
46%T44%
48%Pistol53%
77%Conv78%
EYEBALLERS41%8-9vsLiquid59%8-6
47%Win57%
45%CT50%
50%T58%
59%Pistol46%
80%Conv77%
EYEBALLERS16%0-5vsLiquid84%4-2
0%Win67%
36%CT56%
20%T57%
40%Pistol58%
75%Conv86%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
EYEBALLERSMirageLiquid
61%CT side57%
46%T side44%
48%Pistol53%
77%After win78%
13%After loss6%
EYEBALLERSAnubisLiquid
45%CT side50%
50%T side58%
59%Pistol46%
80%After win77%
21%After loss13%
EYEBALLERSCacheLiquid
36%CT side56%
20%T side57%
40%Pistol58%
75%After win86%
0%After loss20%
Pistol rounds51% · 51% · level, no edge
After a won pistol78% · 79% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol13% · 11% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, EYEBALLERS vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapEYELIQ
Dust2EYE ban38%5-830%6-14
AncientLIQ ban54%14-1231%5-11
MirageEYE pick52%16-1559%10-7
AnubisLIQ pick47%8-957%8-6
NukeEYE ban62%8-552%14-13
InfernoLIQ ban40%8-1259%10-7
Cachedecider0%0-567%4-2
Each team's usual first ban: EYEBALLERS Nuke · Liquid Overpass.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
EYEBALLERS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/64 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 64 maps they won, 19 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs FUTAnubisfrom 8 downvs BetclicAnubisfrom 6 downvs FOKUSInfernofrom 6 downvs NemesisInfernofrom 6 downvs AllianceInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/71 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 71 maps they lost, 22 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 7 · lost 13-16vs AstralisAncientled 7 · lost 14-16vs BetclicAnubisled 6 · lost 9-13vs CYBERSHOKEDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs 1winInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FUTAnubisfrom 8 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 7 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs NemesisInferno22-18vs UrsaMirage14-16vs VitalityAnubis16-19vs BET-MDust213-16vs TrickedOverpass14-16
Liquid
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/57 (23%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 57 maps they won, 13 (23%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 23% of their wins were comebacks, not 23% of all games.vs The MongolZMiragefrom 6 downvs M80Miragefrom 5 downvs Ninjas in PyjamasMiragefrom 4 downvs Inner CircleMiragefrom 4 downvs VitalityAnubisfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/60 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 60 maps they lost, 15 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs OGAncientled 7 · lost 8-13vs 3DMAXNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs SashiNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs PARIVISIONDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs G2Mirageled 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The MongolZMiragefrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs OGAncientled 7 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs Ninjas in PyjamasAncient16-13vs FalconsNuke14-16vs G2Anubis14-16vs Passion UANuke15-19vs M80Mirage16-13