Astralis vs Sangal: CS2 match prediction · Stake Pulse Beat II

One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.

Bookmakers imply 76% for Astralis (1.22 / 3.87); we land 20 points lower at 56%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 96% our own signal (134 maps of Astralis, 91 of Sangal).

Bottom line: Astralis to beat Sangal, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.