Matches / Upcoming / Astralis vs Sangal
Astralis vs Sangal: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Stake Pulse Beat II
Astralis
World #11 · 31-26
VS
2026-09-21 10:00 UTC
Stake Pulse Beat II · Best of 3 · ★
Sangal
World #106 · 20-21
Stake Pulse Beat II · Best of 3 · ★
56%44%
76%
1.223.87Market · 2 books
24%The call
Astralis are favoured: our model gives them 56% against Sangal. Bookmakers lean Astralis at 76%. Strength slightly favours Astralis, form slightly favours Sangal, firepower clearly favours Sangal.
Likely mapsAncient · Mirage · Cache
Firepower
roster ratingsAstralis · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.12iStar gap: the best player rates 0.12 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Sangal · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.12iStar gap: the best player rates 0.12 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
HOTU#282-31-2
Sangal vs HOTU
Jan 21LMirage13-10Overpass14-16Ancient5-13
Ninjas in Pyjamas#292-11-2
Astralis vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Aug 16WNuke13-3Inferno10-13Cache13-7Sangal vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Sep 3LCache13-10Ancient8-13Nuke12-16
Nemesis#442-11-2
Astralis vs Nemesis
Jul 21WNuke11-13Ancient13-10Cache13-7Sangal vs Nemesis
Feb 22LMirage13-7Ancient7-13Nuke14-16Map lab
Astralis53%to win the Bo3 · most likely Sangal 2-1
If the veto goes
Astralis 53%how the series ends47% Sangal
27%2-013%
26%2-134%
Astralis80%21-8vsSangal20%5-9
72%Win36%
64%CT41%
52%T49%
57%Pistol54%
82%Conv67%
Astralis34%8-13vsSangal66%13-10
38%Win57%
48%CT54%
45%T48%
40%Pistol52%
88%Conv96%
Astralis44%3-2vsSangal56%2-0
60%Win100%
68%CT87%
50%T43%
70%Pistol100%
100%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
AstralisAncientSangal
64%CT side41%
52%T side49%
57%Pistol54%
82%After win67%
4%After loss8%
AstralisMirageSangal
48%CT side54%
45%T side48%
40%Pistol52%
88%After win96%
12%After loss18%
AstralisCacheSangal
68%CT side87%
50%T side43%
70%Pistol100%
100%After win100%
33%After loss–
Pistol rounds52% · 55% · Sangal win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol86% · 86% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol9% · 14% · Sangal fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Astralis vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapASTSAN
AnubisAST ban0%0-143%3-4
Dust2SAN ban25%6-1825%3-9
AncientAST pick72%21-836%5-9
MirageSAN pick38%8-1357%13-10
NukeAST ban47%9-1059%13-9
InfernoSAN ban57%8-663%5-3
Cachedecider60%3-2100%2-0
Each team's usual first ban: Astralis Anubis · Sangal Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Astralis
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i15/68 (22%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 68 maps they won, 15 (22%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 22% of their wins were comebacks, not 22% of all games.vs MOUZAncientfrom 7 downvs EYEBALLERSAncientfrom 7 downvs The MongolZAncientfrom 6 downvs FUTNukefrom 6 downvs G2Ancientfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/66 (23%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 66 maps they lost, 15 (23%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AuroraDust2led 8 · lost 11-13vs GamerLegionInfernoled 8 · lost 14-16vs PARIVISIONDust2led 6 · lost 13-16vs BETBOOMAnubisled 5 · lost 8-13vs SpiritOverpassled 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MOUZAncientfrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AuroraDust2led 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs fnaticMirage12-16vs NRGMirage14-16vs SpiritDust213-16vs PARIVISIONDust213-16vs HEROICDust216-13
Sangal
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/45 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 45 maps they won, 14 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs FORZE ReloadAncientfrom 5 downvs FAVBETOverpassfrom 5 downvs zajezdzaczeNukefrom 5 downvs ex-Zero TenacityMiragefrom 5 downvs los kogutosMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/46 (39%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 46 maps they lost, 18 (39%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ASTRALDust2led 8 · lost 11-13vs illwillNukeled 7 · lost 17-19vs illwillMirageled 6 · lost 9-13vs NemigaNukeled 5 · lost 7-13vs FAVBETDust2led 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FORZE ReloadAncientfrom 5 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ASTRALDust2led 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs HOTUOverpass14-16vs illwillNuke17-19vs NemesisNuke14-16vs DziuseppeAncient16-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasNuke12-16
Astralis vs Sangal FAQ
Who is favored to win Astralis vs Sangal?
Astralis are favored with a 56% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Astralis vs Sangal?
Bookmakers price Astralis at 1.22 and Sangal at 3.87 (implied 76% vs 24%).
When do Astralis and Sangal play?
Astralis vs Sangal is scheduled for 2026-09-21 10:00 UTC at Stake Pulse Beat II.