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Predictions / Betclic vs ASTRAL · match preview
Betclic vs ASTRAL: CS2 match prediction · Stake Pulse Beat II
Betclic
World #48 · 37-36
VS
2026-09-24 10:00 UTC
Stake Pulse Beat II · Best of 3
ASTRAL
World #79 · 56-55
Stake Pulse Beat II · Best of 3
70%30%
63%
1.492.52Market · 13 books
37%The call · high confidence
Betclic are favoured: our model gives them 70% against ASTRAL. Bookmakers lean Betclic at 63%. Strength slightly favours Betclic, firepower clearly favours Betclic.
Likely mapsNuke · Ancient · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
BetclicpullASTRAL
Team strength1576
153459/41 BET
Track record37–36
56–5551/49 BET
Recent formLLLWWLLWLL50/50
Roster rating1.1
1.0997/3 BET
Head-to-head2 maps2 maps50/50
Bookmakers imply 63% for Betclic (1.49 / 2.52); we land 7 points higher at 70%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 97% our own signal (164 maps of Betclic, 238 of ASTRAL). Head-to-head they've met 2 times: split 1–1.
Bottom line: Betclic to beat ASTRAL, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsBetclic · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.19iStar gap: the best player rates 0.19 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
ASTRAL · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Betclic
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents3mo ago
Betclic2 : 0
ASTRAL!7mo ago Betclic0 : 2 ASTRAL!
Betclic2 : 0 ASTRAL!⚠ Different lineup
Betclic
outDr3nquu, eskyy, hades
inQlocuu, ex1st, ultimate
Betclic0 : 2 ASTRAL!⚠ Different lineup
Betclic
outDr3nquu, eskyy, hades
inQlocuu, ex1st, ultimate
ASTRAL
outASTR, r1ch
ingxx-, swiz
Inner Circle#242-10-2
Betclic vs Inner Circle
Feb 2WDust24-13Mirage13-11Overpass13-5ASTRAL vs Inner Circle
Aug 7LAncient6-13Mirage6-13
1win#380-20-2
Betclic vs 1win
Jun 5LDust210-13Anubis4-13ASTRAL vs 1win
Sep 6LDust23-13Cache9-13
Nemiga#390-11-2
Betclic vs Nemiga
Sep 4LAnubis11-13ASTRAL vs Nemiga
Sep 4LAncient6-13Nuke13-3Dust23-13
FOKUS#431-01-0
Betclic vs FOKUS
Mar 8WNuke13-7ASTRAL vs FOKUS
Sep 6WNuke13-10
Eternal Fire#511-20-2
Betclic vs Eternal Fire
May 28LAncient5-13Anubis13-11Mirage11-13ASTRAL vs Eternal Fire
May 21LDust28-13Nuke14-16
Sashi#550-20-2
Betclic vs Sashi
Aug 9LNuke8-13Anubis12-16ASTRAL vs Sashi
Sep 3LAncient8-13Nuke3-13
GenOne#563-21-2
ASTRAL vs GenOne
May 26LAncient13-6Dust26-13Nuke6-13
Metizport#681-02-1
Betclic vs Metizport
May 21WNuke13-2ASTRAL vs Metizport
Aug 31WCache13-9Nuke8-13Anubis13-10Map lab
Betclic58%to win the Bo3 · most likely Betclic 2-1
If the veto goes
Betclic 58%how the series ends42% ASTRAL
25%2-022%
32%2-120%
Betclic63%21-16vsASTRAL37%20-27
57%Win43%
56%CT54%
49%T43%
54%Pistol46%
75%Conv91%
Betclic40%12-14vsASTRAL60%29-22
46%Win57%
51%CT58%
45%T45%
50%Pistol54%
72%Conv73%
Betclic62%3-2vsASTRAL38%2-3
60%Win40%
61%CT46%
45%T57%
70%Pistol60%
86%Conv83%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
BetclicNukeASTRAL
56%CT side54%
49%T side43%
54%Pistol46%
75%After win91%
18%After loss20%
BetclicAncientASTRAL
51%CT side58%
45%T side45%
50%Pistol54%
72%After win73%
19%After loss13%
BetclicCacheASTRAL
61%CT side46%
45%T side57%
70%Pistol60%
86%After win83%
0%After loss0%
Pistol rounds54% · 50% · Betclic win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol75% · 81% · ASTRAL keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol17% · 16% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Betclic vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBETAST
InfernoBET ban0%0-439%11-17
MirageAST ban45%9-1147%14-16
NukeBET pick57%21-1643%20-27
AncientAST pick46%12-1457%29-22
Dust2BET ban55%11-952%24-22
AnubisAST ban64%21-1255%17-14
Cachedecider60%3-240%2-3
Each team's usual first ban: Betclic Inferno · ASTRAL Overpass.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Betclic
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/81 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 81 maps they won, 21 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs EYEBALLERSAnubisfrom 6 downvs AMNukefrom 6 downvs GenOneNukefrom 5 downvs MINLATENukefrom 5 downvs AMDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/82 (24%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 82 maps they lost, 20 (24%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs EYEBALLERSAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13vs The Last ResortCacheled 6 · lost 11-13vs BIGAncientled 5 · lost 8-13vs illwillMirageled 5 · lost 12-16vs illwillAnubisled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EYEBALLERSAnubisfrom 6 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs EYEBALLERSAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs Fingers CrossedNuke12-16vs Fingers CrossedDust216-12vs GenOneNuke19-17vs UNiTYMirage14-16vs MOUZ NXTMirage16-13
ASTRAL
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i37/117 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 117 maps they won, 37 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs SangalDust2from 8 downvs HEROIC AcademyNukefrom 7 downvs CYBERSHOKEDust2from 7 downvs BRUTEAnubisfrom 6 downvs WalczakiMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i37/121 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 121 maps they lost, 37 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs LavkedDust2led 8 · lost 15-19vs UrsaDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs ex-Zero TenacityAnubisled 5 · lost 14-16vs AMInfernoled 5 · lost 9-13vs LeoDust2led 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs SangalDust2from 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs LavkedDust2led 8 · lost 15-19
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 24Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 24 went to overtime.vs AaBAncient16-14vs BRUTEMirage16-19vs HYPERSPIRITMirage16-14vs ex-Zero TenacityAnubis14-16vs OmegaDust215-19