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Predictions / PCIFIC vs Bebop · match preview
PCIFIC vs Bebop: CS2 match prediction · European Pro League Series 9
PCIFIC
World #131 · 15-19
VS
2026-09-25 08:00 UTC
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
Bebop
World #172 · 49-50
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
73%27%
52%
1.751.93Market · 2 books
48%The call · high confidence
PCIFIC are favoured: our model gives them 73% against Bebop. Bookmakers lean PCIFIC at 52%. Strength slightly favours PCIFIC, form clearly favours Bebop, firepower clearly favours PCIFIC, head-to-head clearly favours PCIFIC.
Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
PCIFICpullBebop
Team strength1496
142665/35 PCI
Track record15–19
49–5052/48 BEB
Recent formLLLLL
LWWLL82/18 BEB
Roster rating1.05
1.2475/25 PCI
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 PCI
Bookmakers imply 52% for PCIFIC (1.75 / 1.93); we land 21 points higher at 73%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 95% our own signal (83 maps of PCIFIC, 247 of Bebop). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: PCIFIC leads 1–0.
Bottom line: PCIFIC to beat Bebop, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsPCIFIC · avg 1.05 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Bebop · avg 1.24 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
PCIFIC
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
HOTU#320-22-1
PCIFIC vs HOTU
May 29LAnubis3-13Dust28-13Bebop vs HOTU
Mar 17WDust213-6Mirage7-13Ancient28-26
Metizport#601-45-3
INOX Division#702-10-2
PCIFIC vs INOX Division
Sep 7WAnubis5-13Nuke13-11Dust213-11Bebop vs INOX Division
Apr 27LNuke3-13Inferno6-13
Bushido Wildcats#721-22-1
PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 24LDust213-6Mirage6-13Nuke5-13Bebop vs Bushido Wildcats
Jan 12WMirage19-15Dust28-13Nuke13-4
BRUTE#742-11-2
PCIFIC vs BRUTE
Sep 1WDust213-11Nuke13-10Anubis8-13Bebop vs BRUTE
Feb 9LDust213-16Ancient13-11Anubis17-19
ex-Zero Tenacity#831-22-1
PCIFIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Sep 19LInferno13-5Dust27-13Nuke7-13Bebop vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Mar 28WMirage13-7Dust27-13Nuke13-4
Rune Eaters#1093-35-3
WBT Academy#1161-22-3
PCIFIC vs WBT Academy
Sep 7LDust216-19Anubis13-9Nuke14-16Map lab
Bebop51%to win the Bo3 · most likely Bebop 2-1
If the veto goes
PCIFIC 49%how the series ends51% Bebop
29%2-021%
19%2-130%
PCIFIC56%14-12vsBebop44%23-26
54%Win47%
54%CT52%
51%T48%
56%Pistol57%
76%Conv84%
PCIFIC52%6-4vsBebop48%40-31
60%Win56%
59%CT51%
44%T50%
40%Pistol57%
100%Conv79%
PCIFIC39%6-10vsBebop61%26-26
38%Win50%
49%CT55%
41%T46%
34%Pistol54%
64%Conv82%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
PCIFICDust2Bebop
54%CT side52%
51%T side48%
56%Pistol57%
76%After win84%
9%After loss7%
PCIFICMirageBebop
59%CT side51%
44%T side50%
40%Pistol57%
100%After win79%
17%After loss10%
PCIFICNukeBebop
49%CT side55%
41%T side46%
34%Pistol54%
64%After win82%
14%After loss8%
Pistol rounds46% · 56% · Bebop win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol77% · 81% · Bebop keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol13% · 9% · PCIFIC fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, PCIFIC vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapPCIBEB
AncientPCI bann/a0g39%9-14
PCIFIC on Ancient
no recent maps
InfernoBEB ban46%6-746%11-13
Dust2PCI pick54%14-1247%23-26
MirageBEB pick60%6-456%40-31
AnubisPCI ban18%2-943%6-8
CacheBEB ban60%3-240%2-3
Each team's usual first ban: PCIFIC Ancient · Bebop Overpass.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
PCIFIC
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/37 (46%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 37 maps they won, 17 (46%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 46% of their wins were comebacks, not 46% of all games.vs MOUZ NXTDust2from 8 downvs ex-Zero TenacityInfernofrom 8 downvs DEPODust2from 6 downvs MOUZ NXTCachefrom 5 downvs KUUSAMODust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i9/44 (20%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 44 maps they lost, 9 (20%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Fire FluxDust2led 7 · lost 13-16vs MetizportNukeled 5 · lost 9-13vs ex-RUSTECAnubisled 5 · lost 16-19vs 9INEInfernoled 4 · lost 10-13vs AtreidesMirageled 4 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MOUZ NXTDust2from 8 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Fire FluxDust2led 7 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs Rune EatersInferno22-19vs Fire FluxDust213-16vs AtreidesMirage14-16vs WBT AcademyDust216-19vs WBT AcademyNuke14-16
Bebop
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i36/121 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 121 maps they won, 36 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs Rune EatersMiragefrom 8 downvs HEROIC AcademyMiragefrom 7 downvs HonvédCachefrom 7 downvs HashirasAncientfrom 6 downvs AcendMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i40/126 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 126 maps they lost, 40 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HashirasAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13vs G2 AresDust2led 7 · lost 8-13vs ex-RUBYDust2led 6 · lost 12-16vs UrsaDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs UrsaInfernoled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Rune EatersMiragefrom 8 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HashirasAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 34Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 34 went to overtime.vs ALLINNERSMirage16-14vs MetizportMirage22-20vs Bushido WildcatsMirage19-15vs AcendOverpass12-16vs AcendMirage16-14