Predictions
Confident picks
Today
Predictions / magic vs EYEBALLERS · match preview
magic vs EYEBALLERS: CS2 match prediction · 1win Private Club Season 1
magic
World #17 · 45-23
VS
2026-09-25 15:00 UTC
1win Private Club Season 1 · Best of 3 · ★
EYEBALLERS
World #49 · 31-30
1win Private Club Season 1 · Best of 3 · ★
78%22%
72%
1.33.29Market · 16 books
28%The call · high confidence
magic are favoured: our model gives them 78% against EYEBALLERS. Bookmakers lean magic at 72%. Strength clearly favours magic, record slightly favours magic, form clearly favours magic, firepower slightly favours magic, head-to-head clearly favours magic.
Likely mapsAncient · Mirage · Inferno
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
magicpullEYEBALLERS
Team strength1661
153575/25 MAG
Track record45–23
31–3064/36 MAG
Recent formLWWLL
LLLLW75/25 MAG
Roster rating1.13
1.0668/32 MAG
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 MAG
Bookmakers imply 72% for magic (1.3 / 3.29); we land 6 points higher at 78%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 97% our own signal (160 maps of magic, 136 of EYEBALLERS). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: magic leads 1–0.
Bottom line: magic to beat EYEBALLERS, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsmagic · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
EYEBALLERS · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
magic
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
FUT#71-22-0
magic vs FUT
Aug 19LAncient13-9Anubis7-13Mirage8-13EYEBALLERS vs FUT
Jan 22WAnubis13-10Dust213-5
FaZe#134-23-5
9z#144-21-0
EYEBALLERS vs 9z
Jul 1WAncient13-10
The MongolZ#150-30-2
EYEBALLERS vs The MongolZ
Apr 5LOverpass7-13Mirage7-13
Alliance#210-25-5
magic vs Alliance
Sep 10LAncient13-16Inferno7-13EYEBALLERS vs Alliance
May 24LInferno20-22Overpass13-5Ancient9-13May 23WNuke13-8Dust213-5Mar 28LInferno6-13Dust29-13+1 earlier meeting
3DMAX#235-21-0
magic vs 3DMAX
Aug 15WDust213-6Ancient13-7Jul 24LCache13-7Ancient14-16Dust26-13May 27WAncient13-9Inferno19-15EYEBALLERS vs 3DMAX
Jul 2WInferno13-5
Inner Circle#240-20-2
magic vs Inner Circle
Jul 10LDust24-13Ancient6-13EYEBALLERS vs Inner Circle
Mar 1LAncient6-13Anubis5-13
Ninjas in Pyjamas#295-21-0
magic vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 26WAncient13-9Anubis13-11May 30LAnubis11-13Ancient13-6Mirage11-13May 29WAncient13-9Mirage13-2EYEBALLERS vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 12WMirage13-5Map lab
magic68%to win the Bo3 · most likely magic 2-1
If the veto goes
magic 68%how the series ends32% EYEBALLERS
32%2-018%
35%2-114%
magic62%27-14vsEYEBALLERS38%14-12
66%Win54%
50%CT61%
57%T42%
46%Pistol48%
84%Conv76%
magic52%20-17vsEYEBALLERS48%16-15
54%Win52%
59%CT61%
45%T46%
51%Pistol48%
76%Conv77%
magic71%11-6vsEYEBALLERS29%8-12
65%Win40%
56%CT50%
44%T45%
50%Pistol48%
94%Conv84%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
magicAncientEYEBALLERS
50%CT side61%
57%T side42%
46%Pistol48%
84%After win76%
25%After loss4%
magicMirageEYEBALLERS
59%CT side61%
45%T side46%
51%Pistol48%
76%After win77%
28%After loss13%
magicInfernoEYEBALLERS
56%CT side50%
44%T side45%
50%Pistol48%
94%After win84%
24%After loss24%
Pistol rounds49% · 48% · level, no edge
After a won pistol83% · 78% · magic keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol26% · 13% · magic fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, magic vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMAGEYE
NukeMAG bann/a0g62%8-5
magic on Nuke
no recent maps
Dust2EYE ban57%17-1338%5-8
AncientMAG pick66%27-1454%14-12
MirageEYE pick54%20-1752%16-15
AnubisMAG ban67%10-547%8-9
CacheEYE ban86%6-10%0-5
Infernodecider65%11-640%8-12
Each team's usual first ban: magic Nuke · EYEBALLERS Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
magic
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i37/100 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 100 maps they won, 37 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs Gentle MatesMiragefrom 9 downvs EACAncientfrom 8 downvs Gentle MatesMiragefrom 8 downvs ECSTATICMiragefrom 7 downvs Nuclear TigeRESMiragefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/60 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 60 maps they lost, 17 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BetBoomMirageled 7 · lost 12-16vs The MongolZMirageled 7 · lost 23-25vs BIGOverpassled 6 · lost 11-13vs ECSTATICOverpassled 5 · lost 8-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasMirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Gentle MatesMiragefrom 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BetBoomMirageled 7 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 26Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 26 went to overtime.vs Fingers CrossedDust220-22vs BetBoomMirage12-16vs WHITEBIRDAncient16-14vs ECSTATICMirage16-13vs ECSTATICAncient14-16
EYEBALLERS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/64 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 64 maps they won, 19 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs FUTAnubisfrom 8 downvs BetclicAnubisfrom 6 downvs FOKUSInfernofrom 6 downvs NemesisInfernofrom 6 downvs AllianceInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/71 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 71 maps they lost, 22 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 7 · lost 13-16vs AstralisAncientled 7 · lost 14-16vs BetclicAnubisled 6 · lost 9-13vs CYBERSHOKEDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs 1winInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FUTAnubisfrom 8 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 7 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs NemesisInferno22-18vs UrsaMirage14-16vs VitalityAnubis16-19vs BET-MDust213-16vs TrickedOverpass14-16