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Predictions / GamerLegion vs K27 · match preview
GamerLegion vs K27: CS2 match prediction · 1win Private Club Season 1
GamerLegion
World #20 · 32-25
VS
2026-09-25 18:00 UTC
1win Private Club Season 1 · Best of 3 · ★
K27
World #41 · 63-39
1win Private Club Season 1 · Best of 3 · ★
34%66%
50%
1.851.85Market · 23 books
50%The call
K27 are favoured: our model gives them 66% against GamerLegion. Bookmakers lean GamerLegion at 50%. Strength slightly favours K27, form clearly favours K27, firepower clearly favours K27, head-to-head slightly favours K27.
Likely mapsCache · Mirage · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
GamerLegionpullK27
Team strength1561
163666/34 K27
Track record32–25
63–3954/46 K27
Recent formLLLLW
LWLWW75/25 K27
Roster rating1.02
1.1394/6 K27
Head-to-head1 maps
2 maps60/40 K27
Bookmakers imply 50% for GamerLegion (1.85 / 1.85); we land 16 points lower at 34%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 96% our own signal (121 maps of GamerLegion, 248 of K27). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: K27 leads 1–0.
Bottom line: K27 to beat GamerLegion, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsGamerLegion · avg 1.02 · star gap +0.16iStar gap: the best player rates 0.16 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
K27 · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Aurora#92-31-2
K27 vs Aurora
Jul 22LMirage13-11Anubis8-13Nuke3-13
BIG#252-03-3
GamerLegion vs BIG
Jun 4WOverpass16-14Ancient13-11
HOTU#280-20-2
GamerLegion vs HOTU
Jul 22LDust211-13Ancient8-13K27 vs HOTU
Aug 26LDust210-13Cache6-13
Ninjas in Pyjamas#293-32-3
GamerLegion vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 2WNuke6-13Mirage13-11Ancient13-11Feb 8LNuke10-13Mirage16-12Ancient10-13
HEROIC#322-01-5
GamerLegion vs HEROIC
Jan 30WOverpass13-7Mirage13-8
SINNERS#454-22-2
GamerLegion vs SINNERS
May 12WMirage10-13Inferno13-9Nuke13-8Feb 24WNuke13-7Inferno16-14Feb 22LMirage16-19
Sashi#552-02-0
GamerLegion vs Sashi
Feb 23WOverpass13-1Mirage13-10K27 vs Sashi
Mar 9WNuke13-5Mirage13-9
Acend#581-22-0
GamerLegion vs Acend
Jun 23LMirage10-13Ancient13-5Inferno10-13K27 vs Acend
Jun 20WMirage13-11Ancient13-11Map lab
K2755%to win the Bo3 · most likely K27 2-0
If the veto goes
GamerLegion 45%how the series ends55% K27
19%2-028%
26%2-127%
GamerLegion59%2-0vsK2741%9-10
100%Win47%
35%CT53%
83%T49%
50%Pistol58%
100%Conv86%
GamerLegion33%15-14vsK2767%32-14
52%Win70%
53%CT60%
47%T51%
48%Pistol63%
75%Conv79%
GamerLegion49%11-11vsK2751%23-22
50%Win51%
58%CT57%
45%T42%
55%Pistol53%
79%Conv79%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
GamerLegionCacheK27
35%CT side53%
83%T side49%
50%Pistol58%
100%After win86%
0%After loss31%
GamerLegionMirageK27
53%CT side60%
47%T side51%
48%Pistol63%
75%After win79%
20%After loss35%
GamerLegionNukeK27
58%CT side57%
45%T side42%
55%Pistol53%
79%After win79%
10%After loss19%
Pistol rounds51% · 58% · K27 win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol78% · 80% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol15% · 27% · K27 fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, GamerLegion vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
K27 habitually bans Inferno, GamerLegion's strongest maps (Inferno, Ancient, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 100/102), not an opponent read, so expect GamerLegion to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapGAMK27
Dust2GAM ban10%1-956%28-22
InfernoK27 ban64%16-9n/a0g
GamerLegion on Inferno
LAcend10–133mo agoL
B811–133mo agoW
FlyQuest13–114mo agoW
NRG13–104mo agoW
Legacy13–64mo agoW
paiN13–84mo agoL
Natus Vincere4–134mo agoWSINNERS13–94mo agoK27 on Inferno
no recent maps
CacheGAM pick100%2-047%9-10
MirageK27 pick52%15-1470%32-14
AnubisGAM ban25%1-361%14-9
AncientK27 ban62%13-861%25-16
Nukedecider50%11-1151%23-22
Each team's usual first ban: GamerLegion Dust2 · K27 Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
GamerLegion
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/64 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 64 maps they won, 19 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs AstralisInfernofrom 8 downvs JiJieHaoAncientfrom 7 downvs BC.GameInfernofrom 5 downvs VenomNukefrom 4 downvs AuroraInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/57 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 57 maps they lost, 18 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MOUZNukeled 8 · lost 11-13vs B8Nukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs AcendMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs VitalityDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs G2Infernoled 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AstralisInfernofrom 8 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MOUZNukeled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs VenomTrain16-14vs AuroraInferno16-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasMirage16-12vs AvantiAncient16-12vs SINNERSMirage16-19
K27
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i46/139 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 139 maps they won, 46 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs ARCREDDust2from 9 downvs WildcardDust2from 7 downvs WHITEBIRDNukefrom 6 downvs Inner CircleAnubisfrom 6 downvs AcendAncientfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i40/107 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 107 maps they lost, 40 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-RUBYDust2led 8 · lost 10-13vs WWMirageled 8 · lost 11-13vs Eternal FireAncientled 8 · lost 10-13vs 1winOverpassled 7 · lost 11-13vs INFINITENukeled 7 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ARCREDDust2from 9 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-RUBYDust2led 8 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 26Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 26 went to overtime.vs 9INEAncient16-12vs WATERMELONAncient22-20vs ARCREDDust216-13vs NemigaAnubis16-12vs MOUZ NXTAnubis31-29