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Predictions / The Last Resort vs Ryvex · match preview
The Last Resort vs Ryvex: CS2 match prediction · UKIC Masters Fall 2026 Finals
The Last Resort
World #134 · 38-31
VS
2026-09-19 15:00 UTC
UKIC Masters Fall 2026 Finals · Best of 3
Ryvex
World #175 · 2-0
UKIC Masters Fall 2026 Finals · Best of 3
44%56%
The call
Ryvex are favoured: our model gives them 56% against The Last Resort. No odds yet. Record slightly favours Ryvex, firepower clearly favours Ryvex.
Likely mapsNuke · Mirage · Inferno
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
The Last ResortpullRyvex
Team strength1522
151651/49 THE
Track record38–31
2–069/31 RYV
Recent formLWWWLWW50/50
Roster rating1.07
1.2199/1 RYV
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 59% our own signal (163 maps of The Last Resort, 5 of Ryvex; thin sample, treat it as a lean, not a lock).
Bottom line: Ryvex to beat The Last Resort, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsThe Last Resort · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Ryvex · avg 1.21 · star gap +0.2iStar gap: the best player rates 0.2 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
The Last Resort
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Privateer#2216-02-1
The Last Resort vs Privateer
Aug 20WNuke16-14Dust213-9Jul 19WNuke13-10Dust213-3Jul 18WNuke13-10Ancient7-13Cache13-6Ryvex vs Privateer
Aug 25WDust225-22Nuke8-13Mirage13-11Map lab
Ryvex52%to win the Bo3 · most likely Ryvex 2-0
If the veto goes
The Last Resort 48%how the series ends52% Ryvex
23%2-027%
25%2-125%
The Last Resort51%20-17vsRyvex49%1-1
54%Win50%
60%CT44%
44%T67%
55%Pistol0%
80%Conv–
The Last Resort45%5-12vsRyvex55%1-0
29%Win100%
45%CT58%
41%T50%
47%Pistol0%
75%Conv–
The Last Resort50%13-9thinRyvex50%0-0
59%Win–
56%CT–
50%T–
59%Pistol–
77%Conv–
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
The Last ResortNukeRyvex
60%CT side44%
44%T side67%
55%Pistol0%
80%After win–
18%After loss50%
The Last ResortMirageRyvex
45%CT side58%
41%T side50%
47%Pistol0%
75%After win–
11%After loss0%
The Last ResortInfernoRyvex
56%CT side–
50%T side–
59%Pistol–
77%After win–
39%After loss–
Pistol rounds55% · 0% · The Last Resort win more of them, a small head start
After a lost pistol22% · 33% · Ryvex fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, The Last Resort vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapTHERYV
Dust2THE ban36%4-7100%1-0
CacheRYV ban71%5-2n/a0g
The Last Resort on Cache
W
INOX Division16–147d agoW
G2 Ares19–1712d agoW
Betclic13–112mo agoWPrivateer13–62mo agoL
QUAZAR4–132mo agoL
fnatic9–132mo agoWQUAZAR13–112mo agoRyvex on Cache
no recent maps
NukeTHE pick54%20-1750%1-1
MirageRYV pick29%5-12100%1-0
AncientTHE ban56%18-14100%1-0
AnubisRYV ban63%10-6n/a0g
The Last Resort on Anubis
W
MOUZ NXT13–119d agoW
Strael Bora13–829d agoWBetclic19–172mo agoLBetclic6–132mo agoLQUAZAR10–132mo agoWM1X KS13–75mo agoW
AaB13–115mo agoW
MANA13–105mo agoRyvex on Anubis
no recent maps
Infernodecider59%13-9n/a0g
The Last Resort on Inferno
L
SINNERS6–135d agoWINOX Division16–137d agoWG2 Ares13–912d agoL
Honvéd11–131mo agoL
HYPERSPIRIT11–131mo agoW
CTRL13–102mo agoWPsychoFace13–102mo agoW
Dripmen13–73mo agoRyvex on Inferno
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: The Last Resort Dust2 · Ryvex Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
The Last Resort
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i28/86 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 86 maps they won, 28 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs CTRLAncientfrom 9 downvs QUAZARNukefrom 8 downvs LilmixMiragefrom 6 downvs Rune EatersAncientfrom 6 downvs BetclicCachefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i24/77 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 77 maps they lost, 24 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SINNERSDust2led 11 · lost 2-13vs QUAZARAnubisled 10 · lost 10-13vs CTRLMirageled 9 · lost 11-13vs HonvédInfernoled 8 · lost 11-13vs HEROIC AcademyInfernoled 6 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs CTRLAncientfrom 9 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni11 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SINNERSDust2led 11 · lost 2-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs FuzosOverpass16-13vs BUFF3D UPNuke16-13vs CTRLAncient16-14vs Rune EatersAnubis14-16vs HEROIC AcademyInferno14-16
Ryvex
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/4 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 4 maps they won, 1 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs PrivateerDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i0/1 (0%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 1 maps they lost, 0 (0%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.none in the sample
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PrivateerDust2from 4 down · won 25-22
Biggest lead blowni0 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.none in the sample
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs PrivateerDust225-22