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Predictions / DENDELE vs Voca · match preview
DENDELE vs Voca: CS2 match prediction · iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026
DENDELE
World #36 · 7-6
VS
2026-09-25 20:00 UTC
iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 · Best of 3
Voca
World #84 · 49-26
iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 · Best of 3
46%54%
71%
1.33.25Market · 2 books
29%The call
Voca are favoured: our model gives them 54% against DENDELE. Bookmakers lean DENDELE at 71%. Strength slightly favours Voca, record slightly favours Voca, form slightly favours DENDELE, firepower clearly favours Voca.
Likely mapsCache · Mirage · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
DENDELEpullVoca
Team strength1592
165663/37 VOC
Track record7–6
49–2657/43 VOC
Recent formWWWWL
LWWLW62/38 DEN
Roster rating1.1
1.1771/29 VOC
Bookmakers imply 71% for DENDELE (1.3 / 3.25); we land 25 points lower at 46%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 89% our own signal (34 maps of DENDELE, 169 of Voca).
Bottom line: Voca to beat DENDELE, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsDENDELE · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.23iStar gap: the best player rates 0.23 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Voca · avg 1.17 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
DENDELE
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
EYEBALLERS#491-20-1
DENDELE vs EYEBALLERS
Sep 2LAncient11-13Cache13-3Mirage9-13Voca vs EYEBALLERS
Mar 12LAncient10-13
Imperial#622-02-0
DENDELE vs Imperial
Sep 11WInferno13-3Nuke13-10Voca vs Imperial
Mar 23WDust213-4Mirage16-13
SAW#712-01-0
DENDELE vs SAW
Aug 7WInferno13-10Anubis13-10Voca vs SAW
Mar 12WMirage13-6Map lab
DENDELE50%to win the Bo3 · most likely Voca 2-1
If the veto goes
DENDELE 50%how the series ends50% Voca
19%2-012%
31%2-138%
DENDELE84%6-3vsVoca16%1-5
67%Win17%
44%CT57%
62%T25%
50%Pistol25%
89%Conv100%
DENDELE23%3-5vsVoca77%30-13
38%Win70%
46%CT60%
47%T56%
50%Pistol59%
75%Conv90%
DENDELE45%3-2vsVoca55%11-6
60%Win65%
84%CT60%
27%T54%
70%Pistol56%
67%Conv58%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
DENDELECacheVoca
44%CT side57%
62%T side25%
50%Pistol25%
89%After win100%
11%After loss0%
DENDELEMirageVoca
46%CT side60%
47%T side56%
50%Pistol59%
75%After win90%
38%After loss14%
DENDELENukeVoca
84%CT side60%
27%T side54%
70%Pistol56%
67%After win58%
0%After loss60%
Pistol rounds55% · 55% · level, no edge
After a won pistol78% · 82% · Voca keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol20% · 24% · Voca fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, DENDELE vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Voca habitually bans Inferno, DENDELE's strongest maps (Anubis, Cache, Nuke, Inferno all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 67/74), not an opponent read, so expect DENDELE to fight the veto for Cache.
MapDENVOC
Dust2DEN bann/a0g68%26-12
DENDELE on Dust2
no recent maps
InfernoVOC ban67%2-133%1-2
CacheDEN pick67%6-317%1-5
MirageVOC pick38%3-570%30-13
AncientDEN ban25%1-366%19-10
AnubisVOC ban80%4-133%3-6
Nukedecider60%3-265%11-6
Each team's usual first ban: DENDELE Dust2 · Voca Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
DENDELE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/19 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 19 maps they won, 5 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs ImperialNukefrom 6 downvs Turma do PagodeAncientfrom 5 downvs FaZeMiragefrom 3 downvs SAWInfernofrom 3 downvs Turma do PagodeMiragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/15 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 15 maps they lost, 5 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs JiJieHaoInfernoled 7 · lost 14-16vs AuroraMirageled 6 · lost 12-16vs SpiritAncientled 4 · lost 8-13vs EYEBALLERSAncientled 4 · lost 11-13vs FluxoMirageled 3 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ImperialNukefrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs JiJieHaoInfernoled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs FURIACache16-14vs JiJieHaoInferno14-16vs AuroraMirage12-16vs Turma do PagodeAncient16-12vs FluxoNuke13-16
Voca
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i24/103 (23%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 103 maps they won, 24 (23%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 23% of their wins were comebacks, not 23% of all games.vs NRGMiragefrom 7 downvs 3DMAXDust2from 6 downvs NuToriousMiragefrom 6 downvs New LegendsAncientfrom 6 downvs MarsborneOverpassfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/63 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 63 maps they lost, 18 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs RaveAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs M80Anubisled 6 · lost 14-16vs 3DMAXAncientled 5 · lost 16-19vs Overtake SectorAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13vs MarsborneNukeled 4 · lost 20-22
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NRGMiragefrom 7 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs RaveAncientled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini6.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi24% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT24% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs NRGDust214-16vs MarsborneOverpass16-14vs NRGMirage15-19vs ZomblersMirage14-16vs Johnny SpeedsMirage12-16