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Predictions / FarmVille vs LAG · match preview
FarmVille vs LAG: CS2 match prediction · CROSSFIRE Season 6
FAR
FarmVille
World #193 · 20-22
VS
2026-09-20 00:00 UTC
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
LAG
World #94 · 51-27
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
24%76%
30%
3.091.33Market · 7 books
70%The call · high confidence
LAG are favoured: our model gives them 76% against FarmVille. Bookmakers lean LAG at 70%. Strength clearly favours LAG, record slightly favours LAG, form slightly favours LAG, firepower clearly favours LAG, head-to-head clearly favours LAG.
Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
FarmVillepullLAG
Team strength1477
158973/27 LAG
Track record20–22
51–2764/36 LAG
Recent formLLLWW
WLLWW67/33 LAG
Roster rating1.08
1.1490/10 LAG
Head-to-head0 maps
6 maps87/13 LAG
Bookmakers imply 30% for FarmVille (3.09 / 1.33); we land 6 points lower at 24%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 96% our own signal (95 maps of FarmVille, 180 of LAG). Head-to-head they've met 3 times: LAG leads 3–0.
Bottom line: LAG to beat FarmVille, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsFarmVille · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.15iStar gap: the best player rates 0.15 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
LAG · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
FarmVille
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents6mo agoFAR FarmVille0 : 2
LAG!7mo agoFAR FarmVille0 : 2 LAG!7mo agoFAR FarmVille0 : 2 LAG!
LAG!⚠ Different lineup
FarmVille
outUmar, cJ dA K1nG, sava9e
inKmZ, Signal, Slugy
LAG
outconsti, kmrn
inBwills, SLIGHT
LAG!⚠ Different lineup
FarmVille
outUmar, cJ dA K1nG, sava9e
inKmZ, Signal, Slugy
LAG
outWolffe, consti, kmrn
inBwills, Cryptic, SLIGHT
LAG!⚠ Different lineup
FarmVille
outHAMBOOGA, Umar, cJ dA K1nG, sava9e
inKmZ, Signal, Slugy, calamity
LAG
outWolffe, consti, kmrn
inBwills, Cryptic, SLIGHT
Wildcard#400-23-5
FarmVille vs Wildcard
Apr 30LDust22-13Mirage7-13
SportsBetExpert#690-28-10
FarmVille vs SportsBetExpert
Sep 11LDust26-13Inferno8-13LAG vs SportsBetExpert
Sep 18LMirage8-13Dust27-13Aug 31WAnubis16-13Nuke6-13Mirage7-13Dust213-2Aug 1LInferno6-13Dust213-9Nuke4-13+3 earlier meetings
Voca#840-20-2
FarmVille vs Voca
Aug 27LMirage9-13Cache11-13LAG vs Voca
Feb 28LDust25-13Overpass3-13
Marsborne#910-10-6
FarmVille vs Marsborne
Sep 4Lseries6-13
Overtake Sector#1470-24-1
FarmVille vs Overtake Sector
Sep 12LCache14-16Ancient14-16
regain#1685-42-0
FarmVille vs regain
Sep 5WMirage13-10May 1LInferno13-6Ancient5-13Dust214-16Apr 9LInferno19-16Ancient10-13Anubis10-13+1 earlier meeting
LAG vs regain
Sep 11WInferno13-8Dust213-3
Iowa Stormboar#1701-24-1
FarmVille vs Iowa Stormboar
Sep 18LCache13-4Mirage5-13Dust24-13
EMPIRE#1712-17-4
FarmVille vs EMPIRE
Apr 8WDust213-6Anubis13-2Inferno16-19LAG vs EMPIRE
Apr 26WMirage13-9Inferno11-13Nuke13-10Apr 25WMirage6-13Inferno13-10Dust213-4Apr 2LInferno13-9Anubis9-13Overpass10-13+1 earlier meeting
Map lab
LAG67%to win the Bo3 · most likely LAG 2-0
If the veto goes
FarmVille 33%how the series ends67% LAG
11%2-045%
22%2-122%
FarmVille37%14-9vsLAG63%24-9
61%Win73%
52%CT58%
52%T57%
54%Pistol55%
88%Conv94%
FarmVille29%9-13vsLAG71%31-17
41%Win65%
50%CT54%
49%T57%
55%Pistol44%
75%Conv86%
FarmVille50%2-2thinLAG50%0-0
50%Win–
63%CT–
52%T–
75%Pistol–
100%Conv–
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
FarmVilleDust2LAG
52%CT side58%
52%T side57%
54%Pistol55%
88%After win94%
24%After loss30%
FarmVilleInfernoLAG
50%CT side54%
49%T side57%
55%Pistol44%
75%After win86%
30%After loss33%
FarmVilleCacheLAG
63%CT side–
52%T side–
75%Pistol–
100%After win–
0%After loss–
Pistol rounds56% · 48% · FarmVille win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol84% · 90% · LAG keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol26% · 32% · LAG fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, FarmVille vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapFARLAG
NukeFAR bann/a0g70%19-8
MirageLAG ban54%7-648%11-12
Dust2FAR pick61%14-973%24-9
InfernoLAG pick41%9-1365%31-17
AncientFAR ban44%7-964%18-10
AnubisLAG ban50%3-345%5-6
Cachedecider50%2-2n/a0g
FarmVille on Cache
WIowa Stormboar13–41d agoLOvertake Sector14–167d agoW
Villainous13–813d agoLVoca11–1323d agoLAG on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: FarmVille Nuke · LAG Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
FarmVille
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/44 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 44 maps they won, 17 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs Club 333Dust2from 8 downvs regainInfernofrom 5 downvs Reign AboveAnubisfrom 5 downvs ZomblersInfernofrom 4 downvs Fisher CollegeAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/46 (46%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 46 maps they lost, 21 (46%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs regainDust2led 10 · lost 14-16vs Fisher CollegeMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs regainAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs AetherInfernoled 5 · lost 16-19vs LAGInfernoled 5 · lost 16-19
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Club 333Dust2from 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs regainDust2led 10 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi47% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT47% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs SakuraAncient14-16vs AetherInferno16-19vs LAGInferno16-19vs Outfit 49Inferno13-16vs F5Overpass17-19
LAG
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i39/111 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 111 maps they won, 39 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs mouseDust2from 8 downvs Wanted GoonsDust2from 6 downvs SurgeDust2from 6 downvs Chicken CoopNukefrom 5 downvs FarmVilleInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i25/67 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 67 maps they lost, 25 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs mouseInfernoled 8 · lost 16-19vs BOSSNukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs BOSSNukeled 6 · lost 17-19vs WildcardMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs Fisher CollegeMirageled 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs mouseDust2from 8 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs mouseInfernoled 8 · lost 16-19
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs WildcardInferno13-16vs FarmVilleInferno19-16vs BOSSNuke17-19vs mouseDust216-14vs BOSSInferno16-14