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Predictions / Zomblers vs NuTorious · match preview
Zomblers vs NuTorious: CS2 match prediction · CROSSFIRE Season 6
Zomblers
World #210 · 23-24
VS
2026-09-23 00:00 UTC
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
NuTorious
World #214 · 8-19
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
72%28%
54%
1.72Market · 3 books
46%The call · high confidence
Zomblers are favoured: our model gives them 72% against NuTorious. Bookmakers lean Zomblers at 54%. Strength slightly favours Zomblers, record slightly favours Zomblers, firepower slightly favours Zomblers, head-to-head clearly favours Zomblers.
Likely mapsInferno · Mirage · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
ZomblerspullNuTorious
Team strength1518
143867/33 ZOM
Track record23–24
8–1964/36 ZOM
Recent formWLLLW
WLLWL53/47 NUT
Roster rating1.06
1.0964/36 ZOM
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 ZOM
Bookmakers imply 54% for Zomblers (1.7 / 2); we land 18 points higher at 72%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 93% our own signal (109 maps of Zomblers, 55 of NuTorious). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: Zomblers leads 1–0.
Bottom line: Zomblers to beat NuTorious, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsZomblers · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.15iStar gap: the best player rates 0.15 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pose1doNN★ | 1.27 | 78.9 | 75.4% | 40% | 1.21 |
| CoolComs | 0.99 | 79.1 | 72.4% | 61% | 1.14 |
| FxRE | 0.97 | 70 | 72.8% | 48% | 1.06 |
| CAJUN | 0.78 | 72 | 68.5% | 52% | 0.96 |
| twigs | 0.89 | 65.2 | 82.8% | 37% | 0.93 |
NuTorious · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.39iStar gap: the best player rates 0.39 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Zomblers
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
SportsBetExpert#692-10-2
Zomblers vs SportsBetExpert
Feb 7WAncient13-7Inferno7-13Dust213-10NuTorious vs SportsBetExpert
Aug 30LInferno7-13Anubis10-13
Voca#841-60-2
Zomblers vs Voca
May 3LDust24-13Mirage4-13Apr 30LDust211-13Overpass8-13Feb 18LAncient9-13Mirage16-14Dust27-13NuTorious vs Voca
Jul 10LAncient5-13Mirage10-13
LAG#940-40-4
regain#1685-91-2
Zomblers vs regain
May 2WMirage13-11Ancient13-4Apr 28WMirage13-7Dust27-13Ancient13-10Apr 24LOverpass21-25Mirage9-13+3 earlier meetings
NuTorious vs regain
Sep 6LMirage16-13Inferno6-13Ancient16-19
Wanted Goons#2170-20-1
Zomblers vs Wanted Goons
Mar 23LAncient7-13Nuke18-22NuTorious vs Wanted Goons
Aug 30LAncient8-13
Fisher College2-30-2
NuTorious vs Fisher College
Apr 25LAncient3-13Nuke5-13
Reign Above2-01-2
Zomblers vs Reign Above
Apr 4WAncient13-8Nuke13-3NuTorious vs Reign Above
Mar 22LMirage5-13Nuke13-9Ancient11-13Map lab
Zomblers78%to win the Bo3 · most likely Zomblers 2-1
If the veto goes
Zomblers 78%how the series ends22% NuTorious
28%2-015%
50%2-17%
Zomblers77%11-10vsNuTorious23%2-8
52%Win20%
53%CT54%
46%T36%
50%Pistol35%
86%Conv86%
Zomblers37%9-14vsNuTorious63%7-6
39%Win54%
54%CT59%
42%T43%
70%Pistol35%
78%Conv78%
Zomblers87%10-5vsNuTorious13%2-10
67%Win17%
60%CT48%
50%T40%
63%Pistol25%
89%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
ZomblersInfernoNuTorious
53%CT side54%
46%T side36%
50%Pistol35%
86%After win86%
29%After loss23%
ZomblersMirageNuTorious
54%CT side59%
42%T side43%
70%Pistol35%
78%After win78%
7%After loss29%
ZomblersAncientNuTorious
60%CT side48%
50%T side40%
63%Pistol25%
89%After win100%
18%After loss17%
Pistol rounds61% · 31% · Zomblers win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol83% · 86% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol20% · 23% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Zomblers vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapZOMNUT
AnubisZOM ban0%0-20%0-2
Dust2NUT ban45%9-1167%2-1
InfernoZOM pick52%11-1020%2-8
MirageNUT pick39%9-1454%7-6
CacheZOM bann/a0g50%2-2
Zomblers on Cache
no recent maps
NukeNUT ban55%12-1036%4-7
Ancientdecider67%10-517%2-10
Each team's usual first ban: Zomblers Anubis · NuTorious Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Zomblers
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/53 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 53 maps they won, 14 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs EMPIREDust2from 7 downvs MarsborneAncientfrom 6 downvs mouseMiragefrom 6 downvs EMPIRENukefrom 5 downvs regainMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/56 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 56 maps they lost, 20 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Chicken CoopInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13vs AetherMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs InControlMirageled 5 · lost 9-13vs regainInfernoled 5 · lost 9-13vs LAGInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EMPIREDust2from 7 down · won 19-17
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Chicken CoopInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs InControlNuke19-17vs VocaMirage16-14vs InControlDust216-13vs InControlDust217-19vs EMPIRENuke16-14
NuTorious
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i8/19 (42%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 19 maps they won, 8 (42%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 42% of their wins were comebacks, not 42% of all games.vs regainMiragefrom 8 downvs Full HouseDust2from 6 downvs Arctic AceCachefrom 6 downvs Full HouseNukefrom 5 downvs DETONATEInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i9/36 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 36 maps they lost, 9 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Overtake SectorMirageled 10 · lost 5-13vs BOSSAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs VocaMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs Wanted GoonsAncientled 5 · lost 8-13vs LAGNukeled 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs regainMiragefrom 8 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Overtake SectorMirageled 10 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs ZomblersInferno19-22vs NRGAncient13-16vs VillainousInferno21-25vs DETONATECache14-16vs Beyond LimitsInferno13-16