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Predictions / LAG vs Zomblers · match preview
LAG vs Zomblers: CS2 match prediction · ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2
LAG
World #94 · 51-27
VS
2026-09-23 01:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2 · Best of 3
Zomblers
World #210 · 22-24
ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 2 · Best of 3
76%24%
The call · high confidence
LAG are favoured: our model gives them 76% against Zomblers. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours LAG, record slightly favours LAG, form slightly favours LAG, firepower clearly favours LAG, head-to-head clearly favours LAG.
Likely mapsInferno · Ancient · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
LAGpullZomblers
Team strength1589
150368/32 LAG
Track record51–27
22–2465/35 LAG
Recent formWLLWW
LLLWW67/33 LAG
Roster rating1.14
1.0679/21 LAG
Head-to-head4 maps
0 maps83/17 LAG
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 96% our own signal (180 maps of LAG, 107 of Zomblers). Head-to-head they've met 2 times: LAG leads 2–0.
Bottom line: LAG to beat Zomblers, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsLAG · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Zomblers · avg 1.06 · star gap +0.15iStar gap: the best player rates 0.15 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pose1doNN★ | 1.27 | 79 | 75.3% | 40% | 1.21 |
| CoolComs | 0.99 | 78.8 | 72.3% | 61% | 1.14 |
| FxRE | 0.95 | 69.8 | 72.4% | 48% | 1.05 |
| CAJUN | 0.78 | 71.9 | 68.5% | 51% | 0.96 |
| man327 | 0.84 | 62.3 | 72.1% | 48% | 0.93 |
Recent form
LAG
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents6mo ago
LAG2 : 0
Zomblers!8mo ago LAG2 : 0 Zomblers!
LAG2 : 0 Zomblers!⚠ Different lineup
LAG
outconsti, kmrn
inBwills, SLIGHT
Zomblers
outMellow
inman327
LAG2 : 0 Zomblers!⚠ Different lineup
LAG
outWolffe, consti, kmrn
inBwills, Cryptic, SLIGHT
Zomblers
outPol0, grape
inFxRE, man327
SportsBetExpert#698-102-1
LAG vs SportsBetExpert
Sep 18LMirage8-13Dust27-13Aug 31WAnubis16-13Nuke6-13Mirage7-13Dust213-2Aug 1LInferno6-13Dust213-9Nuke4-13+3 earlier meetings
Zomblers vs SportsBetExpert
Feb 7WAncient13-7Inferno7-13Dust213-10
Voca#840-21-6
Marsborne#910-61-4
FORFor Fun#1413-11-2
Zomblers vs For Fun
Sep 11LAncient13-8Inferno5-13Dust210-13
regain#1682-05-9
LAG vs regain
Sep 11WInferno13-8Dust213-3Zomblers vs regain
May 2WMirage13-11Ancient13-4Apr 28WMirage13-7Dust27-13Ancient13-10Apr 24LOverpass21-25Mirage9-13+3 earlier meetings
EMPIRE#1717-44-5
Chicken Coop#1914-00-2
Zomblers vs Chicken Coop
Aug 30LInferno5-13Nuke9-13FARFarmVille#1936-04-5
Zomblers vs FarmVille
Aug 28WDust213-11Inferno13-11Apr 14WAncient5-13Dust213-10Overpass13-5Apr 10LMirage8-13Dust28-13+1 earlier meeting
Map lab
LAG64%to win the Bo3 · most likely LAG 2-1
If the veto goes
LAG 64%how the series ends36% Zomblers
31%2-019%
33%2-118%
LAG64%31-17vsZomblers36%10-10
65%Win50%
54%CT54%
57%T45%
44%Pistol50%
86%Conv85%
LAG49%18-10vsZomblers51%10-5
64%Win67%
51%CT60%
60%T50%
43%Pistol63%
88%Conv89%
LAG65%19-8vsZomblers35%12-10
70%Win55%
57%CT57%
55%T49%
52%Pistol61%
93%Conv85%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
LAGInfernoZomblers
54%CT side54%
57%T side45%
44%Pistol50%
86%After win85%
33%After loss25%
LAGAncientZomblers
51%CT side60%
60%T side50%
43%Pistol63%
88%After win89%
28%After loss18%
LAGNukeZomblers
57%CT side57%
55%T side49%
52%Pistol61%
93%After win85%
27%After loss12%
Pistol rounds46% · 58% · Zomblers win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol88% · 86% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol30% · 19% · LAG fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, LAG vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapLAGZOM
MirageLAG ban48%11-1239%9-14
AnubisZOM ban45%5-60%0-2
InfernoLAG pick65%31-1750%10-10
AncientZOM pick64%18-1067%10-5
CacheLAG bann/a0gn/a0g
LAG on Cache
no recent maps
Zomblers on Cache
no recent maps
Dust2ZOM ban73%24-942%8-11
Each team's usual first ban: LAG Anubis · Zomblers Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
LAG
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i39/111 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 111 maps they won, 39 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs mouseDust2from 8 downvs Wanted GoonsDust2from 6 downvs SurgeDust2from 6 downvs Chicken CoopNukefrom 5 downvs FarmVilleInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i25/67 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 67 maps they lost, 25 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs mouseInfernoled 8 · lost 16-19vs BOSSNukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs BOSSNukeled 6 · lost 17-19vs WildcardMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs Fisher CollegeMirageled 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs mouseDust2from 8 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs mouseInfernoled 8 · lost 16-19
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs WildcardInferno13-16vs FarmVilleInferno19-16vs BOSSNuke17-19vs mouseDust216-14vs BOSSInferno16-14
Zomblers
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/51 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 51 maps they won, 13 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs EMPIREDust2from 7 downvs MarsborneAncientfrom 6 downvs mouseMiragefrom 6 downvs EMPIRENukefrom 5 downvs regainMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/56 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 56 maps they lost, 20 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Chicken CoopInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13vs AetherMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs InControlMirageled 5 · lost 9-13vs regainInfernoled 5 · lost 9-13vs LAGInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EMPIREDust2from 7 down · won 19-17
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Chicken CoopInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs InControlNuke19-17vs VocaMirage16-14vs InControlDust216-13vs InControlDust217-19vs EMPIRENuke16-14