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Predictions / MARKandLARRY vs LFO 8 · match preview
MARKandLARRY vs LFO 8: CS2 match prediction · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2
MARLFO
MARKandLARRY
World #– · 5-9
VS
2026-09-22 09:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2 · Best of 3
LFO 8
World #186 · 3-4
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2 · Best of 3
56%44%
The call
MARKandLARRY are favoured: our model gives them 56% against LFO 8. No odds yet. Form slightly favours LFO 8, firepower slightly favours LFO 8, head-to-head clearly favours MARKandLARRY.
Likely mapsInferno · Ancient · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
MARKandLARRYpullLFO 8
Team strength1474
149855/45 LFO
Track record5–9
3–456/44 LFO
Recent formLWLLL
LWWWL65/35 LFO
Roster rating1.03
1.0466/34 LFO
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 MAR
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 81% our own signal (32 maps of MARKandLARRY, 17 of LFO 8). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: MARKandLARRY leads 1–0.
Bottom line: MARKandLARRY to beat LFO 8, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsMARKandLARRY · avg 1.03 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| foggers★ | 0.99 | 79.1 | 74.8% | 56% | 1.13 |
| sav | 0.83 | 66.4 | 68.3% | 61% | 1.03 |
| BRACE | 0.86 | 74.6 | 63.7% | 61% | 1.01 |
| zeph | 0.86 | 74.3 | 67.3% | 58% | 1.01 |
| yourwombat | 0.99 | 66.6 | 64.9% | 33% | 0.98 |
LFO 8 · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.22iStar gap: the best player rates 0.22 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
MARKandLARRY
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Ground Zero#1190-40-2
LFO 8 vs Ground Zero
Aug 26LAncient10-13Dust23-13
Mindfreak#1840-42-0
LFO 8 vs Mindfreak
Sep 11WAncient13-10Inferno13-4Map lab
LFO 863%to win the Bo3 · most likely LFO 8 2-0
If the veto goes
MARKandLARRY 38%how the series ends63% LFO 8
13%2-038%
25%2-125%
MARKandLARRY25%1-6vsLFO 875%3-1
14%Win75%
39%CT56%
37%T46%
36%Pistol38%
80%Conv100%
MARKandLARRY50%0-0thinLFO 850%1-2
–Win33%
–CT24%
–T61%
–Pistol50%
–Conv33%
MARKandLARRY50%0-0thinLFO 850%2-1
–Win67%
–CT58%
–T44%
–Pistol67%
–Conv75%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
MARKandLARRYInfernoLFO 8
39%CT side56%
37%T side46%
36%Pistol38%
80%After win100%
33%After loss0%
MARKandLARRYAncientLFO 8
–CT side24%
–T side61%
–Pistol50%
–After win33%
–After loss0%
MARKandLARRYCacheLFO 8
–CT side58%
–T side44%
–Pistol67%
–After win75%
–After loss0%
Pistol rounds36% · 50% · LFO 8 win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol80% · 70% · MARKandLARRY keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol33% · 0% · MARKandLARRY fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, MARKandLARRY vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMARLFO
AnubisMAR ban25%1-3n/a0g
LFO 8 on Anubis
no recent maps
MirageLFO ban57%4-30%0-1
InfernoMAR pick14%1-675%3-1
AncientLFO pickn/a0g33%1-2
MARKandLARRY on Ancient
no recent maps
NukeMAR ban57%4-350%2-2
Dust2LFO ban40%2-30%0-2
Cachedecidern/a0g67%2-1
MARKandLARRY on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: MARKandLARRY Ancient · LFO 8 Mirage.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
MARKandLARRY
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/13 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 13 maps they won, 5 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs DXAAnubisfrom 4 downvs BBBMBCBSMiragefrom 3 downvs VantageNukefrom 3 downvs LFO 8Nukefrom 3 downvs RoosterDust2from 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i6/19 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 19 maps they lost, 6 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MindfreakDust2led 7 · lost 17-19vs MindfreakNukeled 6 · lost 9-13vs RoosterInfernoled 5 · lost 8-13vs FURYDust2led 4 · lost 10-13vs Ground ZeroDust2led 3 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs DXAAnubisfrom 4 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MindfreakDust2led 7 · lost 17-19
Avg map margini6.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi22% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT22% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs MindfreakDust217-19vs Ground ZeroDust213-16vs DXAAnubis16-13vs RoosterDust216-12
LFO 8
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/8 (50%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 8 maps they won, 4 (50%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 50% of their wins were comebacks, not 50% of all games.vs madlikewizardsCachefrom 4 downvs FinishersInfernofrom 4 downvs FinishersCachefrom 4 downvs BGNS OrangeInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/9 (22%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 9 maps they lost, 2 (22%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Ground ZeroAncientled 8 · lost 10-13vs MARKandLARRYNukeled 3 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs madlikewizardsCachefrom 4 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Ground ZeroAncientled 8 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi24% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT24% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs FinishersInferno16-14vs FinishersCache16-12