Predictions
Confident picks
Today
Predictions / WBT vs Eternal Fire · match preview
WBT vs Eternal Fire: CS2 match prediction · Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier
WBT
World #63 · 23-15
VS
2026-09-25 09:00 UTC
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
Eternal Fire
World #48 · 53-35
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
26%74%
24%
3.811.23Market · 3 books
76%The call · high confidence
Eternal Fire are favoured: our model gives them 74% against WBT. Bookmakers lean Eternal Fire at 76%. Strength clearly favours Eternal Fire, form slightly favours Eternal Fire, firepower clearly favours Eternal Fire, head-to-head clearly favours Eternal Fire.
Likely mapsAnubis · Mirage · Dust2
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
WBTpullEternal Fire
Team strength1524
166377/23 ETE
Track record23–15
53–3554/46 ETE
Recent formLWWLW
WWWWW63/37 ETE
Roster rating1.12
1.1880/20 ETE
Head-to-head0 maps
2 maps75/25 ETE
The market agrees: bookmakers imply 24% for WBT (3.81 / 1.23) and we land at 26%, the same read. This read is 96% our own signal (90 maps of WBT, 204 of Eternal Fire). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: Eternal Fire leads 1–0.
Bottom line: Eternal Fire to beat WBT, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsWBT · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.18iStar gap: the best player rates 0.18 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DemQQ★ | 1.2 | 83.7 | 77.8% | 55% | 1.3 |
| s4ltovsk1yy | 1.12 | 66.1 | 75.9% | 37% | 1.14 |
| Smash | 0.96 | 78 | 73.7% | 48% | 1.11 |
| tyr1k | 1.02 | 73.5 | 71.9% | 57% | 1.07 |
| Psycho | 0.92 | 62.6 | 71.1% | 58% | 0.96 |
Eternal Fire · avg 1.18 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
WBT
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
CYBERSHOKE#890-23-1
WBT vs CYBERSHOKE
Jul 19LAncient11-13Dust22-13
LP#991-22-1
Eternal Fire vs LP
Sep 1WInferno13-6Cache10-13Mirage13-7
RBLS#1042-12-1
WBT vs RBLS
Sep 19WNuke10-13Dust213-10Anubis16-13Eternal Fire vs RBLS
Sep 17WAncient8-13Anubis13-9Dust213-4
Nice Try#1060-22-0
WBT vs Nice Try
Sep 17LInferno5-13Eternal Fire vs Nice Try
Sep 19WMirage13-11Cache16-13
ENCE#1142-04-0
WBT vs ENCE
Aug 16WNuke13-8Anubis13-6
MOUZ NXT#1452-10-2
WBT vs MOUZ NXT
Aug 2WCache11-13Anubis13-2Mirage13-2Eternal Fire vs MOUZ NXT
Jan 30LMirage8-13Nuke11-13Map lab
Eternal Fire51%to win the Bo3 · most likely Eternal Fire 2-0
If the veto goes
WBT 49%how the series ends51% Eternal Fire
20%2-030%
29%2-121%
WBT49%11-8vsEternal Fire51%10-7
58%Win59%
53%CT46%
55%T60%
55%Pistol56%
90%Conv79%
WBT42%7-8vsEternal Fire58%29-23
47%Win56%
52%CT55%
47%T45%
57%Pistol56%
94%Conv78%
WBT58%12-6vsEternal Fire42%26-19
67%Win58%
54%CT52%
55%T55%
44%Pistol46%
87%Conv85%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
WBTAnubisEternal Fire
53%CT side46%
55%T side60%
55%Pistol56%
90%After win79%
18%After loss13%
WBTMirageEternal Fire
52%CT side55%
47%T side45%
57%Pistol56%
94%After win78%
8%After loss30%
WBTDust2Eternal Fire
54%CT side52%
55%T side55%
44%Pistol46%
87%After win85%
20%After loss16%
Pistol rounds52% · 52% · level, no edge
After a won pistol91% · 81% · WBT keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol16% · 22% · Eternal Fire fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, WBT vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapWBTETE
InfernoWBT ban50%1-158%11-8
NukeETE ban56%5-446%6-7
AnubisWBT pick58%11-859%10-7
MirageETE pick47%7-856%29-23
CacheWBT ban14%1-658%7-5
AncientETE ban53%9-854%19-16
Each team's usual first ban: WBT Inferno · Eternal Fire Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
WBT
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i15/48 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 48 maps they won, 15 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs ENCENukefrom 8 downvs ArchOverpassfrom 6 downvs Inner Circle AcademyAnubisfrom 5 downvs SAW YoungstersMiragefrom 5 downvs Inner Circle AcademyDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/42 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 42 maps they lost, 17 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MisaAnubisled 10 · lost 6-13vs ex-Zero TenacityCacheled 10 · lost 3-13vs Nice TryInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13vs Virtus.proDust2led 7 · lost 6-13vs Eternal FireCacheled 7 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ENCENukefrom 8 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MisaAnubisled 10 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs Noir VerseNuke17-19vs MisaAnubis20-22vs LPHNuke16-13vs PermittaDust219-17vs Virtus.proAnubis16-13
Eternal Fire
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i46/115 (40%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 115 maps they won, 46 (40%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 40% of their wins were comebacks, not 40% of all games.vs K27Ancientfrom 8 downvs LilmixDust2from 7 downvs WBTCachefrom 7 downvs FAVBETOverpassfrom 6 downvs DramaInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i35/88 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 88 maps they lost, 35 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ARCREDDust2led 7 · lost 13-16vs Inner CircleAncientled 6 · lost 12-16vs BIG AcademyDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs HOTUCacheled 6 · lost 13-16vs OxujiAncientled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs K27Ancientfrom 8 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ARCREDDust2led 7 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs AcendOverpass16-14vs ARCREDDust213-16vs Inner CircleAncient12-16vs HYPERSPIRITMirage16-12vs FlyQuestMirage14-16