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Predictions / Rune Eaters vs FORZE Reload · match preview
Rune Eaters vs FORZE Reload: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 11
Rune Eaters
World #130 · 43-54
VS
2026-10-22 17:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · Best of 3
FORZE Reload
World #80 · 36-29
CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · Best of 3
32%68%
31%
2.941.33Market · 11 books
69%The call
FORZE Reload are favoured: our model gives them 68% against Rune Eaters. Bookmakers lean FORZE Reload at 69%. Strength clearly favours FORZE Reload, form slightly favours FORZE Reload, firepower clearly favours FORZE Reload.
Likely mapsDust2 · Cache · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Rune EaterspullFORZE Reload
Team strength1525
163472/28 FOR
Track record43–54
36–2955/45 FOR
Recent formLLLWW
LWWWL69/31 FOR
Roster rating1.1
1.1592/8 FOR
The market agrees: bookmakers imply 31% for Rune Eaters (2.94 / 1.33) and we land at 32%, the same read. This read is 97% our own signal (235 maps of Rune Eaters, 150 of FORZE Reload).
Bottom line: FORZE Reload to beat Rune Eaters, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsRune Eaters · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.12iStar gap: the best player rates 0.12 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| demente★ | 1.18 | 80.7 | 75.2% | 53% | 1.22 |
| her1tage | 0.98 | 73.9 | 71.2% | 58% | 1.09 |
| noni | 1.09 | 69.7 | 71% | 38% | 1.09 |
| forkyz | 0.94 | 76.2 | 70.7% | 55% | 1.08 |
| dukefissura | 0.88 | 71.2 | 68.1% | 63% | 1.01 |
FORZE Reload · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeCkBNk★ | 1.22 | 77.7 | 76.1% | 63% | 1.25 |
| YumsaN | 1.26 | 74.9 | 75.7% | 33% | 1.22 |
| KusMe | 1.01 | 74.3 | 72.7% | 55% | 1.12 |
| Lack1 | 1.02 | 71.8 | 71.3% | 57% | 1.09 |
| NickelBack | 0.88 | 74.9 | 78.9% | 42% | 1.09 |
Recent form
Rune Eaters
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Nemiga#240-20-2
Rune Eaters vs Nemiga
Mar 13LDust28-13Overpass4-13FORZE Reload vs Nemiga
Aug 22LNuke11-13Anubis9-13
Eternal Fire#432-42-1
Rune Eaters vs Eternal Fire
May 19LDust213-11Ancient5-13Mirage7-13Mar 5LAncient13-7Mirage11-13Overpass13-16FORZE Reload vs Eternal Fire
Jan 22WMirage8-13Ancient13-9Dust213-11
K27#460-20-2
Rune Eaters vs K27
Aug 23LDust210-13Ancient5-13FORZE Reload vs K27
Mar 3LAncient9-13Dust24-13
Nemesis#470-20-4
Rune Eaters vs Nemesis
Sep 24LDust28-13Inferno4-13
Black Phoenix#551-42-2
ex-RUSTEC#701-24-0
Rune Eaters vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 25LNuke13-6Mirage10-13Dust29-13
Omega#12010-110-2
Rune Eaters vs Omega
Sep 12LAncient5-13Dust213-10Inferno8-13Jul 25WInferno13-8Mirage13-3Jul 5LDust210-13Mirage14-16Nuke13-9Ancient13-8Inferno9-13+4 earlier meetings
FORZE Reload vs Omega
Feb 15LMirage11-13Ancient13-16
Acend#1311-20-2
Rune Eaters vs Acend
Mar 9LInferno9-13Dust213-11Ancient10-13FORZE Reload vs Acend
Jan 22LAncient9-13Overpass4-13Map lab
FORZE Reload73%to win the Bo3 · most likely FORZE Reload 2-0
If the veto goes
Rune Eaters 27%how the series ends73% FORZE Reload
9%2-047%
18%2-127%
Rune Eaters40%32-30vsFORZE Reload60%21-13
52%Win62%
53%CT55%
52%T50%
51%Pistol56%
86%Conv89%
Rune Eaters21%4-4vsFORZE Reload79%10-2
50%Win83%
49%CT64%
52%T57%
50%Pistol63%
75%Conv93%
Rune Eaters40%18-29vsFORZE Reload60%13-14
38%Win48%
49%CT48%
47%T50%
49%Pistol44%
91%Conv79%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
Rune EatersDust2FORZE Reload
53%CT side55%
52%T side50%
51%Pistol56%
86%After win89%
15%After loss21%
Rune EatersCacheFORZE Reload
49%CT side64%
52%T side57%
50%Pistol63%
75%After win93%
25%After loss56%
Rune EatersAncientFORZE Reload
49%CT side48%
47%T side50%
49%Pistol44%
91%After win79%
15%After loss13%
Pistol rounds50% · 53% · FORZE Reload win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol87% · 87% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol15% · 22% · FORZE Reload fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Rune Eaters vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapRUNFOR
NukeRUN ban41%7-1061%14-9
InfernoFOR ban40%10-150%0-1
Rune Eaters on Inferno
L
HYPERSPIRIT4–136d agoL
PCIFIC11–138d agoW
Bushido Wildcats13–1022d agoLNemesis4–1328d agoLOmega8–131mo agoL
SPARTA8–132mo agoWOmega13–83mo agoW
DEPO13–93mo agoFORZE Reload on Inferno
LBebop8–138mo agoDust2RUN pick52%32-3062%21-13
CacheFOR pick50%4-483%10-2
AnubisRUN ban70%7-362%8-5
MirageFOR ban60%33-2246%13-15
Ancientdecider38%18-2948%13-14
Each team's usual first ban: Rune Eaters Nuke · FORZE Reload Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Rune Eaters
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i35/112 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 112 maps they won, 35 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs G2 AresAncientfrom 8 downvs ex-MANAAncientfrom 7 downvs AcendDust2from 6 downvs OmegaInfernofrom 6 downvs HashirasDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i41/119 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 119 maps they lost, 41 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HYPERSPIRITInfernoled 9 · lost 4-13vs BebopMirageled 8 · lost 14-16vs MASONICDust2led 8 · lost 12-16vs NOVAQMirageled 8 · lost 5-13vs BRUTEOverpassled 7 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs G2 AresAncientfrom 8 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HYPERSPIRITInfernoled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 31Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 31 went to overtime.vs HashirasDust219-17vs zajezdzaczeInferno16-13vs Eternal FireOverpass13-16vs ex-Fingers CrossedNuke16-14vs The Last ResortAnubis16-14
FORZE Reload
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/81 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 81 maps they won, 29 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs WHITEBIRDAncientfrom 7 downvs FAVBETAnubisfrom 6 downvs UPGRADEDust2from 6 downvs ARCREDNukefrom 5 downvs MASONICAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i28/69 (41%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 69 maps they lost, 28 (41%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs UPGRADEAnubisled 8 · lost 11-13vs ex-Zero TenacityNukeled 7 · lost 13-16vs UrsaMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs NemigaNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs ColorDust2led 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs WHITEBIRDAncientfrom 7 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs UPGRADEAnubisled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 24Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 24 went to overtime.vs MASONICTrain13-16vs STATENuke16-12vs ARCREDNuke19-17vs los kogutosAnubis16-14vs MASONICAncient28-26