Predictions
Confident picks
Today
Predictions / PARIVISION vs BETBOOM · match preview
PARIVISION vs BETBOOM: CS2 match prediction · Thunderpick World Championship 2026
PARIVISION
World #11 · 33-31
VS
2026-10-15 13:30 UTC
Thunderpick World Championship 2026 · Best of 3 · ★★
BETBOOM
World #14 · 4-5
Thunderpick World Championship 2026 · Best of 3 · ★★
46%54%
50%
1.91.92Market · 13 books
50%The call
BETBOOM are favoured: our model gives them 54% against PARIVISION. Bookmakers lean PARIVISION at 50%. Strength slightly favours BETBOOM, record slightly favours BETBOOM, form slightly favours PARIVISION, firepower clearly favours BETBOOM.
Likely mapsDust2 · Anubis · Mirage
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
PARIVISIONpullBETBOOM
Team strength1595
162857/43 BET
Track record33–31
4–560/40 BET
Recent formLLWWL
LLLWL64/36 PAR
Roster rating1.04
1.0473/27 BET
Bookmakers imply 50% for PARIVISION (1.9 / 1.92); we land 4 points lower at 46%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 97% our own signal (151 maps of PARIVISION, 179 of BETBOOM).
Bottom line: BETBOOM to beat PARIVISION, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsPARIVISION · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
BETBOOM · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
FURIA#44-60-4
PARIVISION vs FURIA
Oct 5LAncient13-7Mirage5-13Inferno10-13Sep 9LAncient2-13Inferno11-13Feb 17LDust214-16Inferno16-14Mirage8-13+1 earlier meeting
Aurora#62-31-2
BETBOOM vs Aurora
Oct 5LMirage4-13Nuke13-7Anubis8-13
G2#85-41-2
MIBR#122-32-0
BETBOOM vs MIBR
Sep 10WMirage13-9Anubis16-14
Astralis#153-22-0
BETBOOM vs Astralis
Sep 9WAncient16-14Anubis13-8
9z#171-70-2
BIG#352-12-0
PARIVISION vs BIG
Jul 10WCache15-19Mirage13-5Ancient13-9BETBOOM vs BIG
Sep 8WCache13-8Nuke13-9Map lab
PARIVISION51%to win the Bo3 · most likely PARIVISION 2-1
If the veto goes
PARIVISION 51%how the series ends49% BETBOOM
24%2-026%
27%2-123%
PARIVISION54%24-17vsBETBOOM46%0-1
59%Win0%
49%CT25%
53%T56%
43%Pistol100%
74%Conv100%
PARIVISION44%4-4vsBETBOOM56%3-2
50%Win60%
53%CT44%
48%T58%
44%Pistol40%
86%Conv75%
PARIVISION54%13-19vsBETBOOM46%2-4
41%Win33%
55%CT46%
39%T42%
38%Pistol50%
83%Conv83%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
PARIVISIONDust2BETBOOM
49%CT side25%
53%T side56%
43%Pistol100%
74%After win100%
11%After loss–
PARIVISIONAnubisBETBOOM
53%CT side44%
48%T side58%
44%Pistol40%
86%After win75%
0%After loss17%
PARIVISIONMirageBETBOOM
55%CT side46%
39%T side42%
38%Pistol50%
83%After win83%
8%After loss17%
Pistol rounds41% · 50% · BETBOOM win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol79% · 83% · BETBOOM keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol8% · 17% · BETBOOM fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, PARIVISION vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapPARBET
NukePAR bann/a0g100%2-0
PARIVISION on Nuke
no recent maps
InfernoBET ban42%13-18n/a0g
PARIVISION on Inferno
L
Vitality2–136d agoL
Natus Vincere8–138d agoWG213–119d agoLFURIA10–1310d agoW
Legacy13–212d agoL
magic14–161mo agoLFURIA11–131mo agoW
TYLOO13–111mo agoBETBOOM on Inferno
no recent maps
Dust2PAR pick59%24-170%0-1
AnubisBET pick50%4-460%3-2
CachePAR ban25%1-367%2-1
AncientBET ban69%20-933%1-2
Miragedecider41%13-1933%2-4
Each team's usual first ban: PARIVISION Nuke · BETBOOM Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
PARIVISION
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i25/76 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 76 maps they won, 25 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs FaZeAncientfrom 7 downvs WildcardDust2from 7 downvs AstralisDust2from 6 downvs MonteDust2from 6 downvs FURIAAncientfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/75 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 75 maps they lost, 21 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs The MongolZMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs Natus VincereInfernoled 7 · lost 8-13vs The MongolZAncientled 6 · lost 9-13vs magicInfernoled 6 · lost 14-16vs VitalityInfernoled 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FaZeAncientfrom 7 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs The MongolZMirageled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs ENCEAnubis22-20vs Natus VincereAnubis19-16vs AstralisDust216-13vs FURIADust214-16vs FURIAInferno16-14
BETBOOM
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/10 (40%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 10 maps they won, 4 (40%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 40% of their wins were comebacks, not 40% of all games.vs MIBRAnubisfrom 6 downvs AstralisAnubisfrom 5 downvs M80Cachefrom 4 downvs MIBRMiragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/10 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 10 maps they lost, 4 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FURIACacheled 7 · lost 14-16vs 9zDust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs FURIAAncientled 5 · lost 10-13vs FURIAMirageled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MIBRAnubisfrom 6 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FURIACacheled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini4.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs AstralisAncient16-14vs MIBRAnubis16-14vs G2Anubis13-16vs FURIACache14-16vs M80Cache16-14