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Predictions / WBT vs EAC · match preview
WBT vs EAC: CS2 match prediction · Elisa BreakOut Series 2
Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · Best of 1
52%48%
46%
2.011.69Market · 1 books
54%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 52–48. Bookmakers lean EAC at 54%. Form slightly favours WBT.
Likely mapsMirage
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
WBTpullEAC
Team strength1499
151152/48 EAC
Track record24–18
29–3454/46 WBT
Recent formLWLLL
LLLWL60/40 WBT
Roster rating1.09
1.153/47 WBT
Bookmakers imply 46% for WBT (2.01 / 1.69); we land 6 points higher at 52%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 96% our own signal (98 maps of WBT, 147 of EAC).
Bottom line: WBT to beat EAC, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsWBT · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DemQQ★ | 1.13 | 79.3 | 77% | 53% | 1.26 |
| Smash | 0.97 | 78.9 | 72.7% | 50% | 1.13 |
| s4ltovsk1yy | 1.09 | 65.4 | 74.4% | 34% | 1.09 |
| tyr1k | 0.96 | 74.3 | 70.8% | 57% | 1.04 |
| Psycho | 0.87 | 62.1 | 69.2% | 57% | 0.93 |
EAC · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
WBT
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
ex-Zero Tenacity#560-22-3
WBT vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Aug 27LCache3-13Anubis10-13
SAW#612-20-4
INFINITE#712-02-0
WBT vs INFINITE
Oct 9WDust213-9Ancient13-6EAC vs INFINITE
Jun 23WNuke13-5Mirage13-8
QUAZAR#962-10-2
WBT vs QUAZAR
Mar 23WOverpass8-13Dust213-4Mirage13-11EAC vs QUAZAR
Aug 27LNuke10-13Mirage9-13
Misa#1156-12-1
LAVLavked#1220-26-1
Noir Verse#1242-32-1
EAC vs Noir Verse
Jun 13WAncient13-10Nuke6-13Mirage16-14
PURE#1260-20-2
WBT vs PURE
Oct 9LAncient9-13Anubis9-13EAC vs PURE
Oct 8LInferno8-13Anubis4-13Map lab
EAC53%to win the map · most likely EAC 1-0
If the veto goes
WBT47%7-8vsEAC53%18-18
47%Win50%
52%CT49%
47%T53%
57%Pistol53%
94%Conv84%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
WBTMirageEAC
52%CT side49%
47%T side53%
57%Pistol53%
94%After win84%
8%After loss24%
Pistol rounds57% · 53% · WBT win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol94% · 84% · WBT keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol8% · 24% · EAC fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo1, WBT vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
EAC habitually bans Dust2, WBT's strongest maps (Dust2, Overpass all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Dust2 60/63), not an opponent read, so expect WBT to fight the veto for Anubis.
MapWBTEAC
InfernoWBT ban50%1-120%3-12
Dust2EAC ban65%13-70%0-1
CacheWBT ban13%1-773%8-3
AnubisEAC ban50%11-1139%7-11
NukeWBT ban56%5-442%11-15
AncientEAC ban53%10-952%13-12
Each team's usual first ban: WBT Inferno · EAC Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
WBT
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i16/50 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 50 maps they won, 16 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs ENCENukefrom 8 downvs ArchOverpassfrom 6 downvs Inner Circle AcademyAnubisfrom 5 downvs SAW YoungstersMiragefrom 5 downvs Inner Circle AcademyDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/48 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 48 maps they lost, 19 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MisaAnubisled 10 · lost 6-13vs ex-Zero TenacityCacheled 10 · lost 3-13vs Nice TryInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13vs Virtus.proDust2led 7 · lost 6-13vs Eternal FireCacheled 7 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ENCENukefrom 8 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MisaAnubisled 10 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs Noir VerseNuke17-19vs MisaAnubis20-22vs LPHNuke16-13vs PermittaDust219-17vs Virtus.proAnubis16-13
EAC
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i23/65 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 65 maps they won, 23 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs ex-MANAMiragefrom 8 downvs BASEMENT BOYSAncientfrom 7 downvs HashirasOverpassfrom 6 downvs ex-MANAAncientfrom 6 downvs BASEMENT BOYSNukefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/76 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 76 maps they lost, 27 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs magicAncientled 8 · lost 7-13vs fnaticCacheled 6 · lost 13-16vs ALGONukeled 5 · lost 9-13vs magicMirageled 5 · lost 6-13vs OGMirageled 5 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ex-MANAMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs magicAncientled 8 · lost 7-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 20Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 20 went to overtime.vs megoshortAncient14-16vs Rune EatersAncient12-16vs HashirasOverpass16-12vs Noir VerseMirage16-14vs MetizportNuke26-28