Predictions
Confident picks
Today
Predictions / ENCE vs BOJONG · match preview
ENCE vs BOJONG: CS2 match prediction · Elisa BreakOut Series 2
ENCE
World #112 · 41-36
VS
2026-10-15 10:00 UTC
Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · Best of 1
BOJONG
World #219 · 1-8
Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · Best of 1
72%28%
71%
1.293.18Market · 1 books
29%The call · high confidence
ENCE are favoured: our model gives them 72% against BOJONG. Bookmakers lean ENCE at 71%. Strength slightly favours ENCE, record clearly favours ENCE, firepower clearly favours ENCE, head-to-head slightly favours ENCE.
Likely mapsNuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
ENCEpullBOJONG
Team strength1511
143361/39 ENC
Track record41–36
1–879/21 ENC
Recent formLWWLL
WLLLL56/44 ENC
Roster rating1.08
0.9879/21 ENC
Head-to-head1 maps
0 maps67/33 ENC
The market agrees: bookmakers imply 71% for ENCE (1.29 / 3.18) and we land at 72%, the same read. This read is 80% our own signal (167 maps of ENCE, 16 of BOJONG). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: ENCE leads 1–0.
Bottom line: ENCE to beat BOJONG, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsENCE · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.02iStar gap: the best player rates 0.02 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
BOJONG · avg 0.98 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
ENCE
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
KUUSAMO#1675-00-3
SINQU#2171-00-1
ENCE vs SINQU
Jul 30WCache13-9BOJONG vs SINQU
Jul 30LCache5-13
CSDIILIT4-00-2
BOJONG vs CSDIILIT
Apr 10LNuke3-13Mirage10-13Map lab
ENCE68%to win the map · most likely ENCE 1-0
If the veto goes
ENCE68%19-11vsBOJONG32%0-3
63%Win0%
59%CT54%
50%T25%
55%Pistol17%
91%Conv0%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
ENCENukeBOJONG
59%CT side54%
50%T side25%
55%Pistol17%
91%After win0%
22%After loss40%
Pistol rounds55% · 17% · ENCE win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol91% · 0% · ENCE keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol22% · 40% · BOJONG fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo1, ENCE vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapENCBOJ
AncientENC ban37%7-1267%2-1
AnubisBOJ ban55%11-90%0-1
Dust2ENC ban38%8-13n/a0g
ENCE on Dust2
L
MOUZ NXT9–134d agoL
Sangal5–1311d agoW
INFURITY13–1111d agoWSangal13–1012d agoL
ex-RUSTEC1–1315d agoLLavked13–1621d agoL
Illyrians10–1322d agoL
KAMUI3–1324d agoBOJONG on Dust2
no recent maps
InfernoBOJ ban53%9-80%0-2
MirageENC ban57%24-1825%1-3
CacheBOJ ban44%4-50%0-1
Each team's usual first ban: ENCE Dust2 · BOJONG Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
ENCE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/86 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 86 maps they won, 29 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs EntropyAncientfrom 7 downvs INFURITYNukefrom 6 downvs eLITenergyNukefrom 5 downvs fnaticAncientfrom 5 downvs 100 ThievesAnubisfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i30/81 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 81 maps they lost, 30 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs fnaticOverpassled 10 · lost 14-16vs WBTNukeled 8 · lost 8-13vs SangalCacheled 8 · lost 11-13vs illwillMirageled 7 · lost 13-16vs illwillAnubisled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EntropyAncientfrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs fnaticOverpassled 10 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs PARIVISIONAnubis20-22vs fnaticAncient19-17vs illwillMirage13-16vs CYBERSHOKEDust213-16vs fnaticOverpass14-16
BOJONG
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/3 (67%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 3 maps they won, 2 (67%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 67% of their wins were comebacks, not 67% of all games.vs Fire FluxAncientfrom 5 downvs MADMANMiragefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/11 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 11 maps they lost, 4 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Fire FluxAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13vs CSDIILITMirageled 4 · lost 10-13vs KUUSAMOMirageled 3 · lost 5-13vs LFO 7Ancientled 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Fire FluxAncientfrom 5 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Fire FluxAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini4.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi43% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT43% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs ENCEMirage12-16vs Fire FluxInferno13-16