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Predictions / WBT vs BOJONG · match preview
WBT vs BOJONG: CS2 match prediction · Elisa BreakOut Series 2
WBT
World #108 · 24-18
VS
2026-10-15 16:00 UTC
Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · Best of 1
BOJONG
World #219 · 1-8
Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · Best of 1
72%28%
77%
1.194.02Market · 1 books
23%The call · high confidence
WBT are favoured: our model gives them 72% against BOJONG. Bookmakers lean WBT at 77%. Strength slightly favours WBT, record clearly favours WBT, firepower clearly favours WBT.
Likely mapsMirage
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
WBTpullBOJONG
Team strength1499
143359/41 WBT
Track record24–18
1–879/21 WBT
Recent formLWLLL
WLLLL54/46 BOJ
Roster rating1.09
0.9891/9 WBT
Bookmakers imply 77% for WBT (1.19 / 4.02); we land 5 points lower at 72%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 80% our own signal (98 maps of WBT, 16 of BOJONG).
Bottom line: WBT to beat BOJONG, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsWBT · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DemQQ★ | 1.13 | 79.3 | 77% | 53% | 1.26 |
| Smash | 0.97 | 78.9 | 72.7% | 50% | 1.13 |
| s4ltovsk1yy | 1.09 | 65.4 | 74.4% | 34% | 1.09 |
| tyr1k | 0.96 | 74.3 | 70.8% | 57% | 1.04 |
| Psycho | 0.87 | 62.1 | 69.2% | 57% | 0.93 |
BOJONG · avg 0.98 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
WBT
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Fire Flux#1030-21-2
WBT vs Fire Flux
Jun 20LMirage10-13Dust24-13BOJONG vs Fire Flux
Sep 5LAncient13-8Anubis10-13Inferno13-16
ENCE#1122-00-1
WBT vs ENCE
Aug 16WNuke13-8Anubis13-6BOJONG vs ENCE
Jul 30LMirage12-16Map lab
WBT59%to win the map · most likely WBT 1-0
If the veto goes
WBT59%7-8vsBOJONG41%1-3
47%Win25%
52%CT54%
47%T37%
57%Pistol50%
94%Conv75%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
WBTMirageBOJONG
52%CT side54%
47%T side37%
57%Pistol50%
94%After win75%
8%After loss0%
Pistol rounds57% · 50% · WBT win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol94% · 75% · WBT keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol8% · 0% · WBT fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo1, WBT vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
BOJONG habitually bans Dust2, WBT's strongest maps (Dust2, Overpass all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Dust2 8/10), not an opponent read, so expect WBT to fight the veto for Anubis.
MapWBTBOJ
InfernoWBT ban50%1-10%0-2
Dust2BOJ ban65%13-7n/a0g
CacheWBT ban13%1-70%0-1
AnubisBOJ ban50%11-110%0-1
AncientWBT ban53%10-967%2-1
NukeBOJ ban56%5-40%0-3
Miragedecider47%7-825%1-3
Each team's usual first ban: WBT Inferno · BOJONG Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
WBT
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i16/50 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 50 maps they won, 16 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs ENCENukefrom 8 downvs ArchOverpassfrom 6 downvs Inner Circle AcademyAnubisfrom 5 downvs SAW YoungstersMiragefrom 5 downvs Inner Circle AcademyDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/48 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 48 maps they lost, 19 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MisaAnubisled 10 · lost 6-13vs ex-Zero TenacityCacheled 10 · lost 3-13vs Nice TryInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13vs Virtus.proDust2led 7 · lost 6-13vs Eternal FireCacheled 7 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ENCENukefrom 8 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MisaAnubisled 10 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs Noir VerseNuke17-19vs MisaAnubis20-22vs LPHNuke16-13vs PermittaDust219-17vs Virtus.proAnubis16-13
BOJONG
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/3 (67%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 3 maps they won, 2 (67%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 67% of their wins were comebacks, not 67% of all games.vs Fire FluxAncientfrom 5 downvs MADMANMiragefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/11 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 11 maps they lost, 4 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Fire FluxAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13vs CSDIILITMirageled 4 · lost 10-13vs KUUSAMOMirageled 3 · lost 5-13vs LFO 7Ancientled 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Fire FluxAncientfrom 5 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Fire FluxAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini4.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi43% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT43% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs ENCEMirage12-16vs Fire FluxInferno13-16