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Predictions / Voca vs ROUNDS · match preview
Voca vs ROUNDS: CS2 match prediction · Elisa BreakOut Series 2
Voca
World #58 · 54-30
VS
2026-10-16 16:00 UTC
Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · Best of 1
ROUNDS
World #231 · 6-17
Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · Best of 1
84%16%
The call · high confidence
Voca are favoured: our model gives them 84% against ROUNDS. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours Voca, record clearly favours Voca, form clearly favours Voca, firepower clearly favours Voca.
Likely mapsNuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
VocapullROUNDS
Team strength1633
139979/21 VOC
Track record54–30
6–1777/23 VOC
Recent formLWWLW
LLLLL83/17 VOC
Roster rating1.16
0.9296/4 VOC
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 91% our own signal (182 maps of Voca, 45 of ROUNDS).
Bottom line: Voca to beat ROUNDS, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsVoca · avg 1.16 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
ROUNDS · avg 0.92 · star gap +0.13iStar gap: the best player rates 0.13 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Voca
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
SAW#611-01-0
Voca vs SAW
Mar 12WMirage13-6ROUNDS vs SAW
May 1WMirage19-17
BC.Game#681-30-1
ROUNDS vs BC.Game
Jul 31LCache5-13Map lab
Voca81%to win the map · most likely Voca 1-0
If the veto goes
Voca81%12-6vsROUNDS19%3-8
67%Win27%
60%CT56%
55%T44%
58%Pistol59%
62%Conv85%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
VocaNukeROUNDS
60%CT side56%
55%T side44%
58%Pistol59%
62%After win85%
60%After loss22%
Pistol rounds58% · 59% · level, no edge
After a won pistol62% · 85% · ROUNDS keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol60% · 22% · Voca fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo1, Voca vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
ROUNDS habitually bans Dust2, Voca's strongest maps (Ancient, Mirage, Dust2, Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Dust2 16/24), not an opponent read, so expect Voca to fight the veto for Mirage.
MapVOCROU
InfernoVOC ban33%1-240%2-3
Dust2ROU ban65%26-140%0-4
AnubisVOC ban33%3-60%0-1
MirageROU ban70%31-1310%1-9
AncientVOC ban64%23-1350%4-4
CacheROU ban13%1-70%0-2
Each team's usual first ban: Voca Inferno · ROUNDS Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Voca
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i26/109 (24%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 109 maps they won, 26 (24%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 24% of their wins were comebacks, not 24% of all games.vs NRGMiragefrom 7 downvs 3DMAXDust2from 6 downvs NuToriousMiragefrom 6 downvs New LegendsAncientfrom 6 downvs MarsborneOverpassfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/70 (27%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 70 maps they lost, 19 (27%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs RaveAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs M80Anubisled 6 · lost 14-16vs 3DMAXAncientled 5 · lost 16-19vs M80Ancientled 5 · lost 11-13vs Overtake SectorAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NRGMiragefrom 7 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs RaveAncientled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini6.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs NRGDust214-16vs MarsborneOverpass16-14vs NRGMirage15-19vs ZomblersMirage14-16vs Johnny SpeedsMirage12-16
ROUNDS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/10 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 10 maps they won, 3 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs VexarNukefrom 5 downvs SAWMiragefrom 4 downvs ENRAGEAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/31 (48%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 31 maps they lost, 15 (48%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Fire FluxAnubisled 11 · lost 2-13vs BC.GameCacheled 8 · lost 5-13vs NEXORAMirageled 7 · lost 9-13vs TrainwrecksNukeled 6 · lost 14-16vs Fire FluxMirageled 6 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs VexarNukefrom 5 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni11 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Fire FluxAnubisled 11 · lost 2-13
Avg map margini6.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi24% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT24% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs SAWMirage19-17vs TrainwrecksNuke14-16vs HAVUNuke13-16vs RaccoonsNuke16-19vs Fire FluxAncient16-14