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Predictions / SINNERS vs Eternal Fire · match preview
SINNERS vs Eternal Fire: CS2 match prediction · Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7
SINNERS
World #45 · 57-43
VS
2026-10-22 16:00 UTC
Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · Best of 3 · ★
Eternal Fire
World #43 · 67-41
Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · Best of 3 · ★
49%51%
47%
1.961.75Market · 8 books
53%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 49–51. Bookmakers lean Eternal Fire at 53%. Head-to-head slightly favours Eternal Fire.
Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
SINNERSpullEternal Fire
Team strength1657
166752/48 ETE
Track record57–43
67–4153/47 ETE
Recent formWWWLLWWWLL50/50
Roster rating1.11
1.1553/47 SIN
Head-to-head0 maps
1 maps67/33 ETE
The market agrees: bookmakers imply 47% for SINNERS (1.96 / 1.75) and we land at 49%, the same read. This read is 98% our own signal (214 maps of SINNERS, 246 of Eternal Fire). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: Eternal Fire leads 1–0.
Bottom line: Eternal Fire to beat SINNERS, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsSINNERS · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| stressarN★ | 1.15 | 77.8 | 75% | 53% | 1.17 |
| MoDo | 1.25 | 70.1 | 74.5% | 33% | 1.12 |
| kisserek | 1 | 78.1 | 72.8% | 55% | 1.11 |
| SHOCK | 1.03 | 70.1 | 73.1% | 57% | 1.09 |
| beastik | 0.93 | 72.8 | 71.7% | 57% | 1.05 |
Eternal Fire · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
SINNERS
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
1win#142-13-6
Ninjas in Pyjamas#194-50-2
SINNERS vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Oct 3LCache13-9Mirage10-13Nuke9-13Sep 26LAncient13-10Cache7-13Inferno0-13Sep 9WDust213-3Nuke11-13Ancient13-7Eternal Fire vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Oct 3LDust24-13Inferno11-13
Nemiga#243-43-2
HEROIC#252-13-3
SINNERS vs HEROIC
Oct 21WMirage13-8Nuke8-13Dust213-5
magic#261-20-2
SINNERS vs magic
Feb 3LAncient10-13Mirage13-7Dust28-13Eternal Fire vs magic
May 2LMirage2-13Dust24-13
100 Thieves#331-02-4
SINNERS vs 100 Thieves
Oct 2WMirage13-5Eternal Fire vs 100 Thieves
Oct 2LAnubis12-16Aug 24WAncient13-9Dust27-13Mirage13-10Feb 27LInferno11-13Dust29-13
fnatic#342-02-1
SINNERS vs fnatic
Feb 12WDust213-10Overpass13-3Eternal Fire vs fnatic
May 27WAnubis13-3Dust26-13Overpass22-20
BIG#372-20-2
Eternal Fire vs BIG
Aug 9LMirage10-13Inferno8-13Map lab
Eternal Fire57%to win the Bo3 · most likely Eternal Fire 2-1
If the veto goes
SINNERS 43%how the series ends57% Eternal Fire
29%2-021%
14%2-136%
SINNERS59%28-18vsEternal Fire41%30-28
61%Win52%
57%CT54%
52%T45%
55%Pistol54%
82%Conv79%
SINNERS50%27-18vsEternal Fire50%33-22
60%Win60%
51%CT53%
55%T54%
53%Pistol46%
81%Conv86%
SINNERS28%7-10vsEternal Fire72%14-7
41%Win67%
49%CT58%
46%T50%
47%Pistol55%
69%Conv78%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
SINNERSMirageEternal Fire
57%CT side54%
52%T side45%
55%Pistol54%
82%After win79%
22%After loss28%
SINNERSDust2Eternal Fire
51%CT side53%
55%T side54%
53%Pistol46%
81%After win86%
20%After loss14%
SINNERSCacheEternal Fire
49%CT side58%
46%T side50%
47%Pistol55%
69%After win78%
22%After loss21%
Pistol rounds53% · 51% · level, no edge
After a won pistol80% · 82% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol21% · 21% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, SINNERS vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapSINETE
AnubisSIN bann/a0g56%14-11
SINNERS on Anubis
no recent maps
NukeETE ban37%11-1946%6-7
MirageSIN pick61%28-1852%30-28
Dust2ETE pick60%27-1860%33-22
InfernoSIN ban44%11-1457%12-9
AncientETE ban59%22-1560%25-17
Each team's usual first ban: SINNERS Anubis · Eternal Fire Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
SINNERS
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i33/117 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 117 maps they won, 33 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs The Last ResortDust2from 11 downvs JiJieHaoDust2from 7 downvs 1winDust2from 6 downvs ECSTATICMiragefrom 6 downvs Rune EatersDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i31/97 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 97 maps they lost, 31 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NemesisCacheled 11 · lost 2-13vs Black PhoenixMirageled 10 · lost 3-13vs BET-MDust2led 9 · lost 4-13vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 8 · lost 17-19vs TrickedMirageled 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The Last ResortDust2from 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni11 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NemesisCacheled 11 · lost 2-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 25Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 25 went to overtime.vs GenOneNuke14-16vs AcendAncient16-14vs GamerLegionMirage19-16vs GamerLegionInferno14-16vs ECSTATICAncient22-20
Eternal Fire
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i56/141 (40%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 141 maps they won, 56 (40%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 40% of their wins were comebacks, not 40% of all games.vs K27Ancientfrom 8 downvs LilmixDust2from 7 downvs WBTCachefrom 7 downvs JiJieHaoAnubisfrom 7 downvs FAVBETOverpassfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i41/104 (39%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 104 maps they lost, 41 (39%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BetclicCacheled 9 · lost 4-13vs ARCREDDust2led 7 · lost 13-16vs Inner CircleAncientled 6 · lost 12-16vs BIG AcademyDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs HOTUCacheled 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs K27Ancientfrom 8 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BetclicCacheled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 30Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 30 went to overtime.vs AcendOverpass16-14vs ARCREDDust213-16vs Inner CircleAncient12-16vs HYPERSPIRITMirage16-12vs FlyQuestMirage14-16