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Predictions / FUT vs TYLOO · match preview
FUT vs TYLOO: CS2 match prediction · PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
FUT
World #10 · 34-24
VS
2026-10-24 07:00 UTC
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
TYLOO
World #35 · 45-22
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 · Best of 3 · ★
58%42%
79%
1.174.4Market · 6 books
21%The call
FUT are favoured: our model gives them 58% against TYLOO. Bookmakers lean FUT at 79%. Record slightly favours TYLOO, form slightly favours FUT, firepower clearly favours TYLOO, head-to-head clearly favours FUT.
Likely mapsMirage · Cache · Anubis
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
FUTpullTYLOO
Team strength1649
164551/49 FUT
Track record34–24
45–2261/39 TYL
Recent formLWWLL
LLLWW64/36 FUT
Roster rating1.11
1.1774/26 TYL
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 FUT
Bookmakers imply 79% for FUT (1.17 / 4.4); we land 21 points lower at 58%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 97% our own signal (145 maps of FUT, 140 of TYLOO). Head-to-head they've met 2 times: FUT leads 2–0.
Bottom line: FUT to beat TYLOO, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsFUT · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
TYLOO · avg 1.17 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
FURIA#36-50-2
FUT vs FURIA
Aug 22WAncient13-11Nuke6-13Dust216-13Feb 15LMirage13-9Overpass18-22Anubis9-13Jan 31WMirage13-11Dust213-6+1 earlier meeting
TYLOO vs FURIA
Mar 18LMirage8-13Overpass11-13
MOUZ#48-51-0
FUT vs MOUZ
Aug 21WDust216-13Ancient13-5Aug 14WAncient13-6Nuke12-16Mirage13-11Jun 14WAncient13-11Nuke10-13Mirage13-7+2 earlier meetings
TYLOO vs MOUZ
May 20WInferno13-7
Legacy#72-20-4
PARIVISION#133-21-2
Astralis#169-91-0
FUT vs Astralis
Apr 30LMirage5-13Nuke10-13Apr 11WAncient13-5Mirage13-5Nuke14-16Dust213-3Mar 15LDust213-8Ancient4-13Overpass12-16+4 earlier meetings
TYLOO vs Astralis
Jun 7WNuke13-6
M80#182-11-2
FUT vs M80
Mar 1WAnubis10-13Mirage13-5Ancient13-5TYLOO vs M80
Oct 5LMirage13-10Cache7-13Anubis8-13
B8#217-30-1
FUT vs B8
Jun 13WDust210-13Mirage13-9Ancient13-11Jun 6WAncient13-11May 13LAncient7-13Overpass11-13+2 earlier meetings
TYLOO vs B8
Jun 2LMirage6-13
paiN#321-22-2
FUT vs paiN
May 12LNuke8-13Overpass13-10Dust211-13Map lab
TYLOO54%to win the Bo3 · most likely TYLOO 2-0
If the veto goes
FUT 46%how the series ends54% TYLOO
21%2-029%
25%2-125%
FUT43%25-9vsTYLOO57%30-8
74%Win79%
66%CT64%
46%T60%
50%Pistol63%
79%Conv90%
FUT49%1-0vsTYLOO51%4-1
100%Win80%
64%CT77%
50%T43%
100%Pistol60%
100%Conv100%
FUT51%6-8vsTYLOO49%2-3
43%Win40%
47%CT60%
61%T42%
57%Pistol50%
69%Conv60%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
FUTMirageTYLOO
66%CT side64%
46%T side60%
50%Pistol63%
79%After win90%
26%After loss14%
FUTCacheTYLOO
64%CT side77%
50%T side43%
100%Pistol60%
100%After win100%
–After loss25%
FUTAnubisTYLOO
47%CT side60%
61%T side42%
57%Pistol50%
69%After win60%
17%After loss20%
Pistol rounds53% · 61% · TYLOO win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol77% · 88% · TYLOO keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol24% · 16% · FUT fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, FUT vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapFUTTYL
InfernoFUT bann/a0g62%18-11
FUT on Inferno
no recent maps
Dust2TYL ban43%12-16n/a0g
FUT on Dust2
L
Vitality8–132mo agoL
Lynn Vision10–132mo agoLLegacy11–132mo agoWFURIA16–132mo agoWMOUZ16–132mo agoL
3DMAX11–133mo agoL
SINNERS6–133mo agoL
BetBoom7–134mo agoTYLOO on Dust2
no recent maps
MirageFUT pick74%25-979%30-8
CacheTYL pick100%1-080%4-1
NukeFUT ban38%6-1062%13-8
AncientTYL ban64%21-1259%17-12
Each team's usual first ban: FUT Inferno · TYLOO Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
FUT
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i30/80 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 80 maps they won, 30 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs NRGAncientfrom 7 downvs MOUZDust2from 6 downvs SpiritCachefrom 6 downvs LegacyAncientfrom 5 downvs G2Miragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i29/65 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 65 maps they lost, 29 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MOUZOverpassled 9 · lost 14-16vs EYEBALLERSAnubisled 8 · lost 10-13vs 3DMAXAnubisled 7 · lost 13-16vs AuroraAnubisled 6 · lost 13-16vs AstralisNukeled 6 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NRGAncientfrom 7 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MOUZOverpassled 9 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs BIG AcademyOverpass14-16vs 3DMAXAncient16-13vs 3DMAXAnubis13-16vs AuroraAnubis13-16vs FURIAOverpass18-22
TYLOO
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i28/91 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 91 maps they won, 28 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs MorningstarAncientfrom 6 downvs SemperFiMiragefrom 6 downvs 9zMiragefrom 6 downvs NEXVOIDCachefrom 6 downvs FengDaNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/48 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 48 maps they lost, 15 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AllianceAncientled 8 · lost 11-13vs Lynn VisionInfernoled 7 · lost 10-13vs Chinggis WarriorsNukeled 5 · lost 9-13vs SemperFiAncientled 4 · lost 11-13vs Lynn VisionNukeled 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MorningstarAncientfrom 6 down · won 25-22
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AllianceAncientled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 10Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 10 went to overtime.vs Rare AtomInferno19-17vs Lynn VisionNuke16-12vs MorningstarAncient25-22vs FalconsInferno16-14vs URMirage16-13