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Predictions / UNiTY vs Betclic · match preview
UNiTY vs Betclic: CS2 match prediction · Stake Ranked Episode 6 Closed Qualifier
UNiTY
World #86 · 55-49
VS
2026-10-22 14:00 UTC
Stake Ranked Episode 6 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
Betclic
World #58 · 44-42
Stake Ranked Episode 6 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
68%32%
38%
2.41.5Market · 4 books
62%The call
UNiTY are favoured: our model gives them 68% against Betclic. Bookmakers lean Betclic at 62%. Strength slightly favours UNiTY, firepower clearly favours UNiTY, head-to-head slightly favours UNiTY.
Likely mapsAncient · Anubis · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
UNiTYpullBetclic
Team strength1654
161359/41 UNI
Track record55–49
44–4252/48 UNI
Recent formWWWWW
WWLWW55/45 UNI
Roster rating1.15
1.193/7 UNI
Head-to-head2 maps
1 maps60/40 UNI
Bookmakers imply 38% for UNiTY (2.4 / 1.5); we land 30 points higher at 68%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 98% our own signal (237 maps of UNiTY, 197 of Betclic). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: UNiTY leads 1–0.
Bottom line: UNiTY to beat Betclic, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsUNiTY · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.03iStar gap: the best player rates 0.03 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Betclic · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
UNiTY
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
1win#141-20-2
UNiTY vs 1win
Jan 29LInferno13-4Ancient11-13Overpass4-13Betclic vs 1win
Jun 5LDust210-13Anubis4-13
Sangal#400-20-2
UNiTY vs Sangal
Mar 21LAncient9-13Mirage11-13Betclic vs Sangal
Oct 12LMirage5-13Anubis13-16
FOKUS#492-11-0
UNiTY vs FOKUS
Oct 21WMirage13-8Cache7-13Dust213-8Betclic vs FOKUS
Mar 8WNuke13-7
EYEBALLERS#541-02-2
UNiTY vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 12WMirage16-14
Metizport#591-41-0
Betclic vs Metizport
May 21WNuke13-2
INFINITE#782-04-2
UNiTY vs INFINITE
Oct 3WInferno13-11Mirage13-7
Johnny Speeds#810-25-5
UNiTY vs Johnny Speeds
Feb 14LAnubis5-13Overpass6-13Betclic vs Johnny Speeds
Aug 5WDust213-4Anubis13-1May 11LInferno14-16Anubis13-5Mirage5-13Mar 27LOverpass5-13Ancient12-16+1 earlier meeting
INOX Division#842-42-4
UNiTY vs INOX Division
Sep 2LAncient11-13Inferno9-13May 29WAnubis16-14Overpass13-1Apr 26LAncient8-13Nuke4-13Map lab
Betclic56%to win the Bo3 · most likely Betclic 2-1
If the veto goes
UNiTY 44%how the series ends56% Betclic
26%2-024%
18%2-132%
UNiTY56%30-28vsBetclic44%14-17
52%Win45%
55%CT52%
48%T43%
54%Pistol44%
84%Conv73%
UNiTY46%12-11vsBetclic54%21-16
52%Win57%
51%CT51%
49%T57%
43%Pistol59%
70%Conv82%
UNiTY36%7-7vsBetclic64%8-4
50%Win67%
49%CT55%
48%T50%
29%Pistol54%
88%Conv85%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
UNiTYAncientBetclic
55%CT side52%
48%T side43%
54%Pistol44%
84%After win73%
13%After loss14%
UNiTYAnubisBetclic
51%CT side51%
49%T side57%
43%Pistol59%
70%After win82%
32%After loss17%
UNiTYCacheBetclic
49%CT side55%
48%T side50%
29%Pistol54%
88%After win85%
15%After loss10%
Pistol rounds48% · 53% · Betclic win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol81% · 80% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol18% · 15% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, UNiTY vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Betclic habitually bans Inferno, UNiTY's strongest maps (Mirage, Inferno all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 70/85), not an opponent read, so expect UNiTY to fight the veto for Ancient.
MapUNIBET
NukeUNI ban0%0-456%24-19
InfernoBET ban64%25-140%0-4
AncientUNI pick52%30-2845%14-17
AnubisBET pick52%12-1157%21-16
Dust2UNI ban45%17-2159%13-9
MirageBET ban61%30-1948%14-15
Each team's usual first ban: UNiTY Nuke · Betclic Inferno.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
UNiTY
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i41/124 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 124 maps they won, 41 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs LavkedMiragefrom 8 downvs LeoAncientfrom 7 downvs ENCE AcademyMiragefrom 6 downvs AllianceAncientfrom 6 downvs PsychoFaceDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i41/111 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 111 maps they lost, 41 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 1winAncientled 9 · lost 11-13vs KOLESIEAncientled 7 · lost 8-13vs LavkedMirageled 7 · lost 10-13vs Fingers CrossedMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs AllianceOverpassled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LavkedMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 1winAncientled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 32Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 32 went to overtime.vs illwillInferno19-16vs illwillMirage19-17vs BetclicMirage16-14vs G2 AresOverpass17-19vs KOLESIEAncient19-17
Betclic
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i32/98 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 98 maps they won, 32 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs Eternal FireCachefrom 9 downvs EYEBALLERSAnubisfrom 6 downvs AMNukefrom 6 downvs GenOneNukefrom 5 downvs MINLATENukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i24/98 (24%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 98 maps they lost, 24 (24%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs EYEBALLERSAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13vs The Last ResortCacheled 6 · lost 11-13vs Eternal FireAnubisled 6 · lost 7-13vs BBLCacheled 6 · lost 9-13vs BIGAncientled 5 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Eternal FireCachefrom 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs EYEBALLERSAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs Fingers CrossedNuke12-16vs Fingers CrossedDust216-12vs GenOneNuke19-17vs UNiTYMirage14-16vs MOUZ NXTMirage16-13