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Predictions / Yawara vs your end · match preview
Yawara vs your end: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 South America Series 7
Yawara
World #157 · 35-41
VS
2026-10-22 19:00 UTC
CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · Best of 3
your end
World #224 · 4-5
CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · Best of 3
61%39%
67%
1.382.86Market · 8 books
33%The call
Yawara are favoured: our model gives them 61% against your end. Bookmakers lean Yawara at 67%. Strength slightly favours Yawara, record slightly favours Yawara, form slightly favours your end.
Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Ancient
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Yawarapullyour end
Team strength1496
146457/43 YAW
Track record35–41
4–557/43 YAW
Recent formLLWLW
WLWLL62/38 YOU
Roster rating1.03
1.0454/46 YAW
Bookmakers imply 67% for Yawara (1.38 / 2.86); we land 6 points lower at 61%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 84% our own signal (181 maps of Yawara, 23 of your end).
Bottom line: Yawara to beat your end, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsYawara · avg 1.03 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
your end · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.16iStar gap: the best player rates 0.16 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Yawara
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Turma do Pagode#1023-71-2
Yawara vs Turma do Pagode
Oct 3LCache9-13Ancient18-22Sep 27LAnubis5-13Ancient10-13Sep 7LCache9-13Ancient16-14Dust27-13+1 earlier meeting
your end vs Turma do Pagode
Sep 5LAnubis13-8Ancient4-13Dust26-13
Procyon#1122-00-2
Yawara vs Procyon
May 7WMirage13-6Dust213-5your end vs Procyon
Oct 18LAncient9-13Dust27-13
Grêmio#2144-10-2
your end vs Grêmio
Sep 24LCache7-13Ancient1-13Map lab
Yawara55%to win the Bo3 · most likely Yawara 2-0
If the veto goes
Yawara 55%how the series ends45% your end
31%2-015%
24%2-130%
Yawara75%23-16vsyour end25%0-4
59%Win0%
54%CT44%
49%T30%
40%Pistol38%
77%Conv100%
Yawara41%6-5vsyour end59%3-1
55%Win75%
55%CT53%
48%T63%
55%Pistol38%
58%Conv67%
Yawara45%16-20vsyour end55%4-4
44%Win50%
53%CT54%
46%T41%
44%Pistol31%
84%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
YawaraDust2your end
54%CT side44%
49%T side30%
40%Pistol38%
77%After win100%
19%After loss20%
YawaraInfernoyour end
55%CT side53%
48%T side63%
55%Pistol38%
58%After win67%
10%After loss0%
YawaraAncientyour end
53%CT side54%
46%T side41%
44%Pistol31%
84%After win100%
15%After loss9%
Pistol rounds44% · 34% · Yawara win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol77% · 91% · your end keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol16% · 10% · Yawara fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Yawara vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapYAWYOU
NukeYAW ban31%4-90%0-1
MirageYOU ban51%22-210%0-1
Dust2YAW pick59%23-160%0-4
InfernoYOU pick55%6-575%3-1
AnubisYAW ban46%11-1367%2-1
CacheYOU ban0%0-70%0-2
Each team's usual first ban: Yawara Nuke · your end Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Yawara
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i25/85 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 85 maps they won, 25 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs METANOIA WolvesDust2from 7 downvs Prison BreakersDust2from 6 downvs Keyd StarsDust2from 6 downvs UNO MILLEMiragefrom 6 downvs IsurusInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/96 (27%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 96 maps they lost, 26 (27%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 9 · lost 18-22vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 8 · lost 11-13vs Turma do PagodeAnubisled 8 · lost 5-13vs paiN AcademyDust2led 7 · lost 13-16vs ImperialDust2led 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs METANOIA WolvesDust2from 7 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 9 · lost 18-22
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs Prison BreakersDust216-14vs Bounty HuntersMirage16-14vs ImperialMirage14-16vs ImperialNuke17-19vs LPAncient14-16
your end
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/9 (56%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 9 maps they won, 5 (56%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 56% of their wins were comebacks, not 56% of all games.vs RUSHInfernofrom 9 downvs UnderworldAncientfrom 6 downvs ZettaAnubisfrom 6 downvs RUSHAncientfrom 5 downvs UnderworldInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i6/14 (43%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 14 maps they lost, 6 (43%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs GrêmioCacheled 6 · lost 7-13vs ProcyonDust2led 5 · lost 7-13vs UnderworldDust2led 4 · lost 11-13vs RUSHDust2led 4 · lost 7-13vs DAMAJUANACacheled 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs RUSHInfernofrom 9 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs GrêmioCacheled 6 · lost 7-13
Avg map margini6.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi9% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT9% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs ZettaInferno12-16