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Predictions / BESTIA Academy vs RED Canids Academy · match preview
BESTIA Academy vs RED Canids Academy: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 South America Series 7
BESTIA Academy
World #184 · 26-28
VS
2026-10-23 19:00 UTC
CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · Best of 3
RED Canids Academy
World #170 · 4-3
CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · Best of 3
48%52%
34%
2.681.38Market · 1 books
66%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 48–52. Bookmakers lean RED Canids Academy at 66%. Strength slightly favours RED Canids Academy, record slightly favours RED Canids Academy, form slightly favours RED Canids Academy, firepower clearly favours BESTIA Academy.
Likely mapsDust2 · Ancient · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
BESTIA AcademypullRED Canids Academy
Team strength1494
152958/42 RED
Track record26–28
4–362/38 RED
Recent formLLLWW
WWLLL69/31 RED
Roster rating1.07
1.1775/25 BES
Bookmakers imply 34% for BESTIA Academy (2.68 / 1.38); we land 14 points higher at 48%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 78% our own signal (118 maps of BESTIA Academy, 15 of RED Canids Academy).
Bottom line: RED Canids Academy to beat BESTIA Academy, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsBESTIA Academy · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
RED Canids Academy · avg 1.17 · star gap +0.31iStar gap: the best player rates 0.31 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
BESTIA Academy
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Isurus#2150-22-1
BESTIA Academy vs Isurus
Jul 25LDust210-13Inferno8-13RED Canids Academy vs Isurus
Mar 24WMirage13-8Inferno6-13Dust216-14SEMSementes do Mal#2472-02-0
BESTIA Academy vs Sementes do Mal
Sep 26WDust213-9Mirage13-11RED Canids Academy vs Sementes do Mal
Oct 14WAncient13-0Dust213-5
paiN Academy2-02-0
BESTIA Academy vs paiN Academy
Jul 4WInferno13-7Mirage13-9RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy
Feb 27WMirage13-11Dust213-5Map lab
RED Canids Academy62%to win the Bo3 · most likely RED Canids Academy 2-0
If the veto goes
BESTIA Academy 38%how the series ends62% RED Canids Academy
13%2-037%
25%2-125%
BESTIA Academy26%13-16vsRED Canids Academy74%4-0
45%Win100%
50%CT63%
48%T60%
55%Pistol88%
87%Conv100%
BESTIA Academy51%9-12vsRED Canids Academy49%2-3
43%Win40%
49%CT36%
47%T52%
50%Pistol70%
75%Conv83%
BESTIA Academy50%1-0vsRED Canids Academy50%1-0
100%Win100%
67%CT83%
45%T60%
50%Pistol50%
100%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
BESTIA AcademyDust2RED Canids Academy
50%CT side63%
48%T side60%
55%Pistol88%
87%After win100%
15%After loss0%
BESTIA AcademyAncientRED Canids Academy
49%CT side36%
47%T side52%
50%Pistol70%
75%After win83%
19%After loss0%
BESTIA AcademyCacheRED Canids Academy
67%CT side83%
45%T side60%
50%Pistol50%
100%After win100%
100%After loss0%
Pistol rounds53% · 75% · RED Canids Academy win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol83% · 93% · RED Canids Academy keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol19% · 0% · BESTIA Academy fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BESTIA Academy vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBESRED
AnubisBES ban0%0-1n/a0g
BESTIA Academy on Anubis
L
ALKA9–1315d agoRED Canids Academy on Anubis
no recent maps
InfernoRED ban50%13-130%0-1
BESTIA Academy on Inferno
L
Procyon5–1314d agoLProcyon6–1325d agoW
Zetta13–51mo agoW
DAMAJUANA13–82mo agoWBlitzkrieg13–32mo agoLBORRACHEIROS11–132mo agoLIsurus8–133mo agoW
Imperial13–83mo agoRED Canids Academy on Inferno
LIsurus6–137mo agoDust2BES pick45%13-16100%4-0
BESTIA Academy on Dust2
L
Galorys6–1319d agoWLow Cortisol BR13–221d agoWSementes do Mal13–926d agoLALKA7–132mo agoLIsurus10–133mo agoWImperial13–113mo agoLBORRACHEIROS7–133mo agoW
MAGICOS13–33mo agoRED Canids Academy on Dust2
WQUINTESSÊNCIA13–104d agoWSementes do Mal13–58d agoWIsurus16–147mo agoWpaiN Academy13–58mo agoAncientRED pick43%9-1240%2-3
BESTIA Academy on Ancient
LGalorys7–1319d agoWZetta13–31mo agoWBlitzkrieg13–12mo agoLALKA11–132mo agoLMAGICOS9–133mo agoL
LP2–134mo agoWMAGICOS13–114mo agoL
Yawara7–135mo agoRED Canids Academy on Ancient
WQUINTESSÊNCIA13–64d agoWSementes do Mal13–08d agoL
Bounty Hunters2–132mo agoL
GameHunters7–137mo agoL
9z4–137mo agoMirageBES ban50%8-867%2-1
NukeRED ban47%9-10n/a0g
BESTIA Academy on Nuke
LProcyon9–1314d agoLALKA6–1315d agoWProcyon13–925d agoLImperial5–132mo agoWBORRACHEIROS22–202mo agoW
GUARA13–43mo agoWProcyon13–55mo agoLex-KRÜ17–195mo agoRED Canids Academy on Nuke
no recent maps
Cachedecider100%1-0100%1-0
BESTIA Academy on Cache
WDAMAJUANA13–102mo agoRED Canids Academy on Cache
WBounty Hunters13–42mo agoEach team's usual first ban: BESTIA Academy Anubis · RED Canids Academy Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
BESTIA Academy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i16/53 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 53 maps they won, 16 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs Low Cortisol BRMiragefrom 7 downvs Sementes do MalMiragefrom 6 downvs ALZONNukefrom 5 downvs ImperialDust2from 5 downvs Sementes do MalDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/63 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 63 maps they lost, 16 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Fake do BiruMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs ex-KRÜNukeled 6 · lost 17-19vs UNO MILLEInfernoled 5 · lost 14-16vs ProcyonNukeled 5 · lost 9-13vs RED CanidsOverpassled 4 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Low Cortisol BRMiragefrom 7 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Fake do BiruMirageled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs ProcyonDust216-12vs ALZONDust216-14vs CrashersNuke14-16vs UNO MILLEInferno14-16vs ALZONNuke19-16
RED Canids Academy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/9 (44%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 9 maps they won, 4 (44%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 44% of their wins were comebacks, not 44% of all games.vs QUINTESSÊNCIADust2from 5 downvs paiN AcademyMiragefrom 4 downvs IsurusDust2from 4 downvs IsurusMiragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/6 (17%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 6 maps they lost, 1 (17%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs IsurusInfernoled 3 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs QUINTESSÊNCIADust2from 5 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni3 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs IsurusInfernoled 3 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi20% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT20% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs IsurusDust216-14