RED Canids Academy are favoured: our model gives them 67% against DAMAJUANA. No odds yet. Strength clearly favours RED Canids Academy, record clearly favours RED Canids Academy, form slightly favours RED Canids Academy, firepower clearly favours RED Canids Academy.
Likely mapsCache · Ancient · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
DAMAJUANApullRED Canids Academy
Team strength1389
152176/24 RED
Track record4–17
6–575/25 RED
Recent formLLLWL
LLWWW67/33 RED
Roster rating0.87
1.1184/16 RED
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 84% our own signal (49 maps of DAMAJUANA, 23 of RED Canids Academy).
Bottom line: RED Canids Academy to beat DAMAJUANA, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratings
DAMAJUANA · avg 0.87 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
RED Canids Academy · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.26iStar gap: the best player rates 0.26 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
RED Canids Academy64%to win the Bo3 · most likely RED Canids Academy 2-0
If the veto goes
DAMAJUANA 36%how the series ends64% RED Canids Academy
13%2-035%
23%2-129%
Map 1CacheDAMAJUANA pick
DAMAJUANA54%5-2vsRED Canids Academy46%2-1
71%Win67%
56%CT58%
60%T42%
50%Pistol33%
86%Conv100%
Map 2AncientRED Canids Ac… pick
DAMAJUANA25%1-8vsRED Canids Academy75%3-5
11%Win38%
46%CT48%
28%T43%
39%Pistol56%
86%Conv88%
Map 3Nukedecider
DAMAJUANA44%1-4vsRED Canids Academy56%1-0
20%Win100%
22%CT75%
42%T50%
30%Pistol0%
67%Conv–
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns
CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
DAMAJUANACacheRED Canids Academy
56%CT side58%
60%T side42%
50%Pistol33%
86%After win100%
14%After loss0%
DAMAJUANAAncientRED Canids Academy
46%CT side48%
28%T side43%
39%Pistol56%
86%After win88%
0%After loss14%
DAMAJUANANukeRED Canids Academy
22%CT side75%
42%T side50%
30%Pistol0%
67%After win–
14%After loss50%
Pistol rounds40% · 46% · RED Canids Academy win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol82% · 90% · RED Canids Academy keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol8% · 15% · RED Canids Academy fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, DAMAJUANA vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.