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Predictions / RED Canids Academy vs BESTIA Academy · match preview
RED Canids Academy vs BESTIA Academy: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 South America Series 8
RED Canids Academy
World #189 · 7-5
VS
2026-11-08 16:00 UTC
CCT 2026 South America Series 8 · Best of 3
BESTIA Academy
World #205 · 26-30
CCT 2026 South America Series 8 · Best of 3
71%29%
68%
1.332.89Market · 1 books
32%The call · high confidence
RED Canids Academy are favoured: our model gives them 71% against BESTIA Academy. Bookmakers lean RED Canids Academy at 68%. Strength slightly favours RED Canids Academy, record slightly favours RED Canids Academy, form clearly favours RED Canids Academy, firepower clearly favours RED Canids Academy, head-to-head clearly favours RED Canids Academy.
Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
RED Canids AcademypullBESTIA Academy
Team strength1531
146763/37 RED
Track record7–5
26–3063/37 RED
Recent formWLLWW
LLLLL83/17 RED
Roster rating1.15
1.1475/25 RED
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 RED
Bookmakers imply 68% for RED Canids Academy (1.33 / 2.89); we land 3 points higher at 71%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 86% our own signal (25 maps of RED Canids Academy, 123 of BESTIA Academy). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: RED Canids Academy leads 1–0.
Bottom line: RED Canids Academy to beat BESTIA Academy, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsRED Canids Academy · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.26iStar gap: the best player rates 0.26 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
BESTIA Academy · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
RED Canids Academy
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsBORBORRACHEIROS#1510-21-4
RED Canids Academy vs BORRACHEIROS
Oct 25LAnubis23-25Ancient8-13
Isurus#1774-10-2
BESTIA Academy vs Isurus
Jul 25LDust210-13Inferno8-13
DAMAJUANA#2352-04-0
RED Canids Academy vs DAMAJUANA
Nov 5WDust213-5Mirage13-4SEMSementes do Mal#2442-02-0
RED Canids Academy vs Sementes do Mal
Oct 14WAncient13-0Dust213-5BESTIA Academy vs Sementes do Mal
Sep 26WDust213-9Mirage13-11
paiN Academy2-02-0
RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy
Feb 27WMirage13-11Dust213-5BESTIA Academy vs paiN Academy
Jul 4WInferno13-7Mirage13-9Map lab
RED Canids Academy76%to win the Bo3 · most likely RED Canids Academy 2-0
If the veto goes
RED Canids Academy 76%how the series ends24% BESTIA Academy
58%2-05%
18%2-119%
RED Canids Academy71%4-1vsBESTIA Academy29%8-10
80%Win44%
67%CT52%
47%T48%
30%Pistol53%
67%Conv89%
RED Canids Academy82%5-0vsBESTIA Academy18%13-17
100%Win43%
61%CT50%
66%T48%
80%Pistol53%
100%Conv87%
RED Canids Academy49%2-1vsBESTIA Academy51%1-0
67%Win100%
58%CT67%
42%T45%
33%Pistol50%
100%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
RED Canids AcademyMirageBESTIA Academy
67%CT side52%
47%T side48%
30%Pistol53%
67%After win89%
29%After loss12%
RED Canids AcademyDust2BESTIA Academy
61%CT side50%
66%T side48%
80%Pistol53%
100%After win87%
0%After loss14%
RED Canids AcademyCacheBESTIA Academy
58%CT side67%
42%T side45%
33%Pistol50%
100%After win100%
0%After loss100%
Pistol rounds50% · 53% · BESTIA Academy win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol92% · 88% · RED Canids Academy keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol15% · 15% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, RED Canids Academy vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapREDBES
InfernoRED ban0%0-150%13-13
RED Canids Academy on Inferno
LIsurus6–138mo agoAnubisBES ban0%0-10%0-1
RED Canids Academy on Anubis
LBORRACHEIROS23–2514d agoBESTIA Academy on Anubis
L
ALKA9–131mo agoMirageRED pick80%4-144%8-10
RED Canids Academy on Mirage
WDAMAJUANA13–43d agoW
BESTIA Academy13–916d agoL
GameHunters8–137mo agoWIsurus13–88mo agoWpaiN Academy13–118mo ago
Dust2BES pick100%5-043%13-17
NukeRED ban100%1-045%9-11
RED Canids Academy on Nuke
WBESTIA Academy13–716d ago
AncientBES ban38%3-545%10-12
Cachedecider67%2-1100%1-0
BESTIA Academy on Cache
WDAMAJUANA13–102mo agoEach team's usual first ban: RED Canids Academy Inferno · BESTIA Academy Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
RED Canids Academy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i7/15 (47%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 15 maps they won, 7 (47%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 47% of their wins were comebacks, not 47% of all games.vs QUINTESSÊNCIADust2from 5 downvs paiN AcademyMiragefrom 4 downvs IsurusDust2from 4 downvs BESTIA AcademyMiragefrom 4 downvs IsurusCachefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/10 (20%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 10 maps they lost, 2 (20%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs QUINTESSÊNCIACacheled 7 · lost 6-13vs IsurusInfernoled 3 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs QUINTESSÊNCIADust2from 5 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs QUINTESSÊNCIACacheled 7 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini6.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi20% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT20% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs IsurusDust216-14vs IsurusCache19-16vs BORRACHEIROSAnubis23-25
BESTIA Academy
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i16/54 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 54 maps they won, 16 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs Low Cortisol BRMiragefrom 7 downvs Sementes do MalMiragefrom 6 downvs ALZONNukefrom 5 downvs ImperialDust2from 5 downvs Sementes do MalDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/67 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 67 maps they lost, 19 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Fake do BiruMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs ex-KRÜNukeled 6 · lost 17-19vs ZettaDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs UNO MILLEInfernoled 5 · lost 14-16vs ProcyonNukeled 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Low Cortisol BRMiragefrom 7 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Fake do BiruMirageled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 10Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 10 went to overtime.vs ProcyonDust216-12vs ALZONDust216-14vs CrashersNuke14-16vs UNO MILLEInferno14-16vs ALZONNuke19-16