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Predictions / Ninjas in Pyjamas vs UNiTY · match preview
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs UNiTY: CS2 match prediction · Stake Ranked Episode 6
Ninjas in Pyjamas
World #23 · 50-40
VS
2026-11-17 16:00 UTC
Stake Ranked Episode 6 · Best of 3
UNiTY
World #75 · 57-50
Stake Ranked Episode 6 · Best of 3
60%40%
86%
1.076.8Market · 1 books
14%The call
Ninjas in Pyjamas are favoured: our model gives them 60% against UNiTY. Bookmakers lean Ninjas in Pyjamas at 86%. Strength slightly favours Ninjas in Pyjamas, firepower clearly favours UNiTY.
Likely mapsAncient · Mirage · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Ninjas in PyjamaspullUNiTY
Team strength1702
165061/39 NIN
Track record50–40
57–5052/48 NIN
Recent formWWWLL
LWWWW54/46 NIN
Roster rating1.13
1.1472/28 UNI
Bookmakers imply 86% for Ninjas in Pyjamas (1.07 / 6.8); we land 26 points lower at 60%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 98% our own signal (203 maps of Ninjas in Pyjamas, 245 of UNiTY).
Bottom line: Ninjas in Pyjamas to beat UNiTY, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsNinjas in Pyjamas · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| adamb★ | 1.12 | 73.3 | 75% | 54% | 1.17 |
| xKacpersky | 1.04 | 82.1 | 72.7% | 54% | 1.17 |
| stavn | 1.23 | 75.7 | 73.2% | 31% | 1.16 |
| Krimbo | 1.05 | 71.2 | 73% | 54% | 1.11 |
| sjuush | 0.99 | 69.7 | 71.1% | 56% | 1.06 |
UNiTY · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.03iStar gap: the best player rates 0.03 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Ninjas in Pyjamas
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
1win#161-21-2
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs 1win
Sep 11LDust29-13Ancient13-9Mirage9-13UNiTY vs 1win
Jan 29LInferno13-4Ancient11-13Overpass4-13
Alliance#352-11-3
Sangal#412-20-2
UNiTY vs Sangal
Mar 21LAncient9-13Mirage11-13
FOKUS#540-22-1
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs FOKUS
Sep 9LCache11-13Mirage10-13UNiTY vs FOKUS
Oct 21WMirage13-8Cache7-13Dust213-8
Betclic#562-14-2
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Betclic
Oct 12WAncient13-3Cache11-13Nuke13-5
EYEBALLERS#610-11-0
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EYEBALLERS
Mar 12LMirage5-13UNiTY vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 12WMirage16-14
Nuclear TigeRES#622-01-6
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Nuclear TigeRES
Sep 5WDust213-11Mirage13-8
Metizport#671-01-4
Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Metizport
Sep 17WNuke13-8Map lab
UNiTY58%to win the Bo3 · most likely UNiTY 2-0
If the veto goes
Ninjas in Pyjamas 42%how the series ends58% UNiTY
19%2-031%
22%2-127%
Ninjas in Pyjamas49%22-20vsUNiTY51%32-28
52%Win53%
55%CT55%
49%T48%
51%Pistol53%
88%Conv84%
Ninjas in Pyjamas39%17-18vsUNiTY61%30-20
49%Win60%
60%CT55%
43%T48%
61%Pistol52%
84%Conv75%
Ninjas in Pyjamas45%7-10vsUNiTY55%7-8
41%Win47%
49%CT47%
52%T48%
53%Pistol27%
83%Conv88%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
Ninjas in PyjamasAncientUNiTY
55%CT side55%
49%T side48%
51%Pistol53%
88%After win84%
15%After loss13%
Ninjas in PyjamasMirageUNiTY
60%CT side55%
43%T side48%
61%Pistol52%
84%After win75%
12%After loss21%
Ninjas in PyjamasCacheUNiTY
49%CT side47%
52%T side48%
53%Pistol27%
83%After win88%
13%After loss14%
Pistol rounds55% · 50% · Ninjas in Pyjamas win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol86% · 81% · Ninjas in Pyjamas keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol13% · 16% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Ninjas in Pyjamas vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
UNiTY habitually bans Nuke, Ninjas in Pyjamas's strongest maps (Nuke, Inferno all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Nuke 92/108), not an opponent read, so expect Ninjas in Pyjamas to fight the veto for Nuke.
MapNINUNI
InfernoNIN ban64%9-563%25-15
NukeUNI ban75%36-120%0-4
AncientNIN pick52%22-2053%32-28
MirageUNI pick49%17-1860%30-20
Dust2NIN ban38%9-1548%19-21
AnubisUNI ban50%8-850%12-12
Cachedecider41%7-1047%7-8
Each team's usual first ban: Ninjas in Pyjamas Inferno · UNiTY Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Ninjas in Pyjamas
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i39/110 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 110 maps they won, 39 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs EchoNukefrom 7 downvs HEROICCachefrom 7 downvs M1X KSDust2from 6 downvs MonteNukefrom 6 downvs fnaticMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i37/92 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 92 maps they lost, 37 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HEROICMirageled 8 · lost 12-16vs GamerLegionDust2led 8 · lost 8-13vs FalconsDust2led 7 · lost 6-13vs MonteAnubisled 6 · lost 14-16vs LegacyAncientled 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EchoNukefrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HEROICMirageled 8 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 30Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 30 went to overtime.vs LiquidAncient13-16vs BC.GameDust214-16vs M1X KSOverpass13-16vs GamerLegionMirage12-16vs 100 ThievesAncient12-16
UNiTY
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i42/128 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 128 maps they won, 42 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs LavkedMiragefrom 8 downvs LeoAncientfrom 7 downvs ENCE AcademyMiragefrom 6 downvs AllianceAncientfrom 6 downvs PsychoFaceDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i44/115 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 115 maps they lost, 44 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 1winAncientled 9 · lost 11-13vs KOLESIEAncientled 7 · lost 8-13vs LavkedMirageled 7 · lost 10-13vs BetclicCacheled 7 · lost 6-13vs Fingers CrossedMirageled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LavkedMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 1winAncientled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 33Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 33 went to overtime.vs illwillInferno19-16vs illwillMirage19-17vs BetclicMirage16-14vs G2 AresOverpass17-19vs KOLESIEAncient19-17