6yuBoJlbl are favoured: our model gives them 62% against Azuolas. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours 6yuBoJlbl, record slightly favours 6yuBoJlbl, firepower clearly favours 6yuBoJlbl.
Likely mapsMirage · Ancient · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Azuolaspull6yuBoJlbl
Team strength1417
151470/30 6YU
Track record9–21
6–667/33 6YU
Recent formWLLWW
WLLWL53/47 AZU
Roster rating1.05
1.0475/25 6YU
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 88% our own signal (71 maps of Azuolas, 32 of 6yuBoJlbl).
Bottom line: 6yuBoJlbl to beat Azuolas, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratings
Azuolas · avg 1.05 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
6yuBoJlbl · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
6yuBoJlbl70%to win the Bo3 · most likely 6yuBoJlbl 2-0
If the veto goes
Azuolas 30%how the series ends70% 6yuBoJlbl
5%2-048%
25%2-122%
Map 1MirageAzuolas pick
Azuolas12%7-12vs6yuBoJlbl88%8-1
37%Win89%
52%CT63%
42%T57%
53%Pistol67%
90%Conv58%
Map 2Ancient6yuBoJlbl pick
Azuolas45%5-9vs6yuBoJlbl55%2-3
36%Win40%
50%CT44%
46%T52%
39%Pistol30%
91%Conv100%
Map 3Nukedecider
Azuolas53%5-11vs6yuBoJlbl47%0-2
31%Win0%
52%CT33%
39%T41%
34%Pistol0%
100%Conv–
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns
CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
AzuolasMirage6yuBoJlbl
52%CT side63%
42%T side57%
53%Pistol67%
90%After win58%
17%After loss17%
AzuolasAncient6yuBoJlbl
50%CT side44%
46%T side52%
39%Pistol30%
91%After win100%
18%After loss14%
AzuolasNuke6yuBoJlbl
52%CT side33%
39%T side41%
34%Pistol0%
100%After win–
29%After loss0%
Pistol rounds43% · 47% · 6yuBoJlbl win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol93% · 67% · Azuolas keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol21% · 12% · Azuolas fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Azuolas vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.