Matches / Upcoming / Nemiga vs Black Phoenix
Nemiga vs Black Phoenix: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 7
Our model gives Nemiga a 69% chance to beat Black Phoenix at CCT 2026 Europe Series 7. Bookmakers price Nemiga at 1.38 and Black Phoenix at 2.73 (implied 66% vs 34%).
FormatBO3Form56-25 · 17-13PistolsNemiga 52%Likely mapsAnubis · Dust2 · Cache
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Nemiga
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Bushido Wildcats#730-22-1
Nemiga vs Bushido Wildcats
Jun 4Lseries0-2Black Phoenix vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 19WDust213-11Mirage4-13Nuke13-7
CYBERSHOKE#854-11-2
Black Phoenix vs CYBERSHOKE
Aug 8LCache13-10Nuke11-13Dust28-13EX-ex-RUBY#867-44-2
Nemiga vs ex-RUBY
May 29WOverpass16-12Mirage13-2May 13WOverpass13-8Mirage2-13Ancient16-13Apr 25WDust28-13Anubis13-6Inferno13-6+1 earlier meeting
Walczaki#955-42-1
Nemiga vs Walczaki
May 15WDust213-8Nuke8-13Ancient13-9May 10LDust216-14Nuke9-13Anubis7-13Apr 27WNuke13-9Ancient8-13Anubis16-13Black Phoenix vs Walczaki
Aug 7WCache25-23Anubis9-13
Rune Eaters#972-02-1
Nemiga vs Rune Eaters
Mar 13WDust213-8Overpass13-4Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters
Jul 22WDust213-7Mirage6-13Inferno13-7LAVLavked#1184-02-3
HAVU#1252-02-0
Nemiga vs HAVU
Mar 19WNuke16-14Overpass13-4Black Phoenix vs HAVU
Aug 24WNuke13-9Dust213-8Firepower
roster ratingsNemiga · avg 1.13 · top +0.11
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Nemiga vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Black Phoenix habitually bans Ancient, Nemiga's strongest maps (Ancient, Nuke, Overpass, Anubis all ≥60%).
That's a standing habit (Ancient 28/30), not an opponent read, so expect Nemiga to fight the veto for Anubis.
MapNEMBLA
InfernoNEM ban 100%1-0 63%5-3
AncientBLA ban 63%25-15 n/a0g
Nemiga on Ancient
L
GenOne8–1323d agoL
TDK9–1329d agoWK2813–91mo agoL
G28–131mo agoW
Tricked13–93mo agoWTDK13–103mo agoL
Nuclear TigeRES7–133mo agoWTDK13–83mo agoBlack Phoenix on Ancient
no recent maps
AnubisNEM pick 73%24-9 0%0-7
Dust2BLA pick 54%20-17 67%14-7
MirageNEM ban 56%15-12 38%5-8
NukeBLA ban 61%17-11 50%6-6
Cachedecider n/a0g 67%6-3
Nemiga on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: Nemiga Inferno · Black Phoenix Ancient.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Nemiga67%to win the seriesiMap edgesAnubis: Nemiga 95% clear · Dust2: Black Phoenix 62% · Cache: Nemiga 50% toss-upWhyNemiga hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesNemiga 67%: 2-0 37%, 2-1 30% · Black Phoenix 33%: 2-1 30%, 2-0 3%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Nemiga 67%Nemiga are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Nemiga 2-0.33% Black Phoenix
Anubis
Nemiga95%Black Phoenix5%
24-9record0-7
73%win0%
62%CT win38%
54%T win38%
53%pistol29%
79%convert25%
Dust2
Nemiga38%Black Phoenix62%
20-17record14-7
54%win67%
49%CT win58%
55%T win51%
51%pistol43%
84%convert83%
Cache
Nemiga50%Black Phoenix50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-0record6-3
–win67%
–CT win51%
–T win48%
–pistol56%
–convert60%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
NEMct
NEMt
BLAct
BLAt
NEMpistol
NEMconv
NEMeco
BLApistol
BLAconv
BLAeco
Anubispool
62%199/323
54%177/329
38%32/84
38%24/63
53%35/66
79%27/34
13%4/31
29%4/14
25%1/4
30%3/10
Dust2pool
49%191/386
55%216/390
58%103/178
51%128/249
51%38/74
84%32/38
22%8/36
43%18/42
83%15/18
13%3/24
Cachepool
n/a
n/a
51%54/106
48%41/85
n/a
n/a
n/a
56%10/18
60%6/10
0%0/8
Infernoban
71%5/7
67%8/12
58%50/86
49%42/86
100%2/2
100%2/2
n/a
69%11/16
82%9/11
0%0/5
Ancientban
56%233/419
51%222/436
n/a
n/a
48%38/80
79%30/38
21%9/42
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mirageban
52%155/296
50%120/242
45%70/156
48%62/129
59%32/54
84%27/32
14%3/22
42%11/26
91%10/11
7%1/15
Nukeban
54%181/336
48%124/260
63%82/131
39%49/126
54%30/56
80%24/30
8%2/26
54%13/24
100%13/13
9%1/11
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Nemiga wins more pistol rounds: 52% vs 43%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Nemiga usually win the next round too (82% vs 69%). Lose the pistol → Nemiga fight back to win the next round more often (18% vs 14%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Nemiga
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i31/123 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 123 maps they won, 31 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs OramondOverpassfrom 10 downvs BET-MAnubisfrom 7 downvs ex-RUBYAncientfrom 7 downvs 1winOverpassfrom 6 downvs GoodGame ClubOverpassfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/70 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 70 maps they lost, 18 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 1winMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs ARCREDAncientled 5 · lost 12-16vs WWDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs OmegaDust2led 4 · lost 11-13vs Eternal FireDust2led 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs OramondOverpassfrom 10 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 1winMirageled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 20Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 20 went to overtime.vs KOLESIEDust216-14vs ARCREDAncient12-16vs K27Anubis12-16vs mix52Nuke20-22vs GoodGame ClubOverpass16-14
Black Phoenix
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/36 (39%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 36 maps they won, 14 (39%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 39% of their wins were comebacks, not 39% of all games.vs WalczakiCachefrom 7 downvs CYBERSHOKECachefrom 7 downvs EnjoyMiragefrom 5 downvs ButterflyDust2from 4 downvs LavkedMiragefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i12/34 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 34 maps they lost, 12 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs LavkedMirageled 8 · lost 13-16vs CYBERSHOKEDust2led 7 · lost 8-13vs ButterflyNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs BebopNukeled 4 · lost 8-13vs ButterflyInfernoled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs WalczakiCachefrom 7 down · won 25-23
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs LavkedMirageled 8 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs LavkedMirage16-13vs WalczakiCache25-23vs ex-RUSTECInferno14-16vs LavkedMirage13-16
Nemiga vs Black Phoenix FAQ
Who is favored to win Nemiga vs Black Phoenix?
Nemiga are favored with a 69% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Nemiga vs Black Phoenix?
Bookmakers price Nemiga at 1.38 and Black Phoenix at 2.73 (implied 66% vs 34%).
When do Nemiga and Black Phoenix play?
Nemiga vs Black Phoenix is scheduled for 2026-08-27 11:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 7.