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OG vs ex-Zero Tenacity: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 7

OG
2026-08-28 11:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 7
ex-Zero Tenacity
Our model gives OG a 52% chance to beat ex-Zero Tenacity at CCT 2026 Europe Series 7. Bookmakers price OG at 1.5 and ex-Zero Tenacity at 2.31 (implied 61% vs 39%).
OG
1.5odds
ex-Zero Tenacity
2.31odds
Our read52%
48%
Market61%
39%
median decimal odds · 1 bookBookmakerOGEX-Sweatbet 1.52.31
FormatBO3Form24-21 · 46-54PistolsOG 63%Likely mapsInferno · Dust2 · Nuke
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

OG

MetizportBlew leadBL9OvertimeOT7d ago1-2SPARTAPistolsPist5/6StompStomp13-17d ago2-1The Last ResortPistolsPist4/4StompStomp13-28d ago2-0EACPistolsPist3/49d ago2-0Permitta9d ago2-1LavkedUpsetUpset12d ago0-2Fire FluxPistolsPist5/612d ago2-1BAKS13d ago0-2PrivateerPistolsPist3/413d ago2-0BC.Game18d ago0-2Vael19d ago2-0Echo19d ago1-2VaelPistolsPist4/4StompStomp13-120d ago2-0SpiritOvertimeOT1mo ago1-2BetclicUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT2mo ago1-2

ex-Zero Tenacity

HonvédOvertimeOT1d ago2-0HYPERSPIRITUpsetUpset1d ago1-2Black PhoenixPistolsPist4/42d ago2-0CYBERSHOKE Prospects3d ago1-2Just Players4d ago2-1GenOneUpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/45d ago2-0MASONICPistolsPist3/46d ago2-0benched godsBlew leadBL6StompStomp1-137d ago0-2EnjoyPistolsPist4/48d ago2-0G2 AresPistolsPist3/48d ago2-0VexarOvertimeOT9d ago2-0ex-RUSTECPistolsPist3/49d ago2-0Inner Circle AcademyUpsetUpset10d ago0-2brazylijski luz3mo ago1-2BIG Academy3mo ago2-1

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
BIG#211-01-4
OG vs BIG
Mar 29WOverpass13-11
ex-Zero Tenacity vs BIG
Apr 5LOverpass6-13Mirage13-6Nuke11-13Mar 18LOverpass7-13Nuke6-13
Nemesis#372-11-2
OG vs Nemesis
Feb 11WInferno13-7Ancient20-22Nuke19-17
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Nemesis
Mar 17LInferno13-9Nuke9-13Mirage8-13
fnatic#390-21-2
OG vs fnatic
Feb 10LInferno6-13Dust29-13
ex-Zero Tenacity vs fnatic
May 18LInferno12-16Anubis13-7Dust214-16
Just Players#892-03-5
OG vs Just Players
May 30WMirage16-14Overpass13-9
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Just Players
Aug 23WMirage5-13Nuke13-6Dust213-9May 26LAnubis14-16Nuke13-2Mirage4-13May 15LMirage10-13Nuke6-13
The Last Resort#1032-00-2
OG vs The Last Resort
Aug 19WNuke13-10Dust213-2
ex-Zero Tenacity vs The Last Resort
Apr 23LInferno7-13Overpass10-13
Lavked#1180-23-2
OG vs Lavked
Aug 15LAncient11-13Dust29-13
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Lavked
May 20LDust219-15Mirage7-13Nuke8-13May 1WDust213-6Nuke13-7
ALGO1-23-2
OG vs ALGO
Apr 1LNuke13-9Overpass17-19Ancient10-13
ex-Zero Tenacity vs ALGO
May 23WInferno13-8Anubis13-5Feb 14LDust213-10Overpass11-13Nuke7-13
Rebels1-02-1
OG vs Rebels
May 21WNuke13-6
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Rebels
Jun 2WOverpass13-8Dust25-13Nuke13-5

Firepower

roster ratings

OG · avg 1.1 · top +0.11

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
adamb921.1478.475.1%54%1.21
spooke921.0779.272.1%62%1.15
bodyy790.9675.971%63%1.07
cadiaN921.117171.5%32%1.07
pr1metapz540.960.772%58%1

ex-Zero Tenacity · avg 1.13 · top +0.01

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Cjoffo2421.0870.572%64%1.14
Kind02301.077972.1%48%1.14
brutmonster2331.1375.670.2%37%1.14
Dragon681.0781.571.7%53%1.13
VLDN251.0572.474.3%52%1.11

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, OG vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapOGEX-
AnubisOG ban n/a0g 38%8-13
OG on Anubis
no recent maps
ex-Zero Tenacity on Anubis
WHYPERSPIRIT13–71d agoLCYBERSHOKE Prospects4–133d agoLbenched gods1–137d agoLInner Circle Academy7–1310d agoLJust Players14–163mo agoWLeo13–73mo agoWALGO13–53mo agoLSAW8–133mo ago
AncientEX- ban 50%8-8 n/a0g
OG on Ancient
WMetizport13–77d agoWPermitta13–109d agoLLavked11–1312d agoWVael13–419d agoWVael13–620d agoLSpirit16–191mo agoLBetclic7–133mo agoLALGO10–135mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Ancient
no recent maps
InfernoOG pick 56%9-7 60%25-17
OG on Inferno
LMetizport14–167d agoWEAC13–79d agoLFire Flux7–1312d agoLBAKS11–1313d agoLBC.Game8–1318d agoWTDK13–83mo agoWEAC13–93mo agoLBESTIA8–135mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Inferno
LHYPERSPIRIT11–131d agoWGenOne13–55d agoWEnjoy13–78d agoLBIG Academy8–133mo agoWaAa13–33mo agoLaAa10–133mo agoLASTRAL8–133mo agoLCYBERSHOKE Prospects2–133mo ago
Dust2EX- pick 61%11-7 52%29-27
OG on Dust2
WSPARTA16–137d agoWThe Last Resort13–28d agoWPermitta13–119d agoLLavked9–1312d agoWFire Flux13–512d agoWPrivateer13–313d agoWVael13–1019d agoWVael13–120d ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Dust2
WBlack Phoenix13–112d agoLCYBERSHOKE Prospects10–133d agoWJust Players13–94d agoWGenOne13–75d agoLbenched gods8–137d agoWG2 Ares13–58d agoWbrazylijski luz13–73mo agoWBIG Academy13–73mo ago
CacheOG ban 0%0-3 86%6-1
OG on Cache
LBC.Game9–1318d agoLEcho5–1319d agoLSpirit4–131mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Cache
WHonvéd16–131d agoLHYPERSPIRIT9–131d agoWBlack Phoenix13–32d agoWCYBERSHOKE Prospects13–33d agoWMASONIC13–96d agoWEnjoy13–108d agoWex-RUSTEC13–59d ago
MirageEX- ban 50%5-5 41%16-23
OG on Mirage
WSPARTA13–17d agoWEAC13–79d agoWFire Flux13–512d agoLBAKS6–1313d agoWPrivateer13–513d agoLEcho7–1319d agoLBetclic16–192mo agoWJust Players16–143mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Mirage
WHonvéd13–71d agoLJust Players5–134d agoWG2 Ares13–78d agoWex-RUSTEC13–89d agoLbrazylijski luz7–133mo agoWillwill13–103mo agoWUrsa13–113mo agoLTNC11–133mo ago
Nukedecider 43%6-8 52%26-24
OG on Nuke
LMetizport11–137d agoLSPARTA3–137d agoWThe Last Resort13–108d agoLPermitta8–139d agoWEcho13–819d agoLBetclic10–132mo agoLFOKUS6–132mo agoLEAC6–133mo ago
ex-Zero Tenacity on Nuke
WJust Players13–64d agoWMASONIC13–66d agoLInner Circle Academy8–1310d agoLbrazylijski luz6–133mo agoWaAa13–83mo agoWillwill13–93mo agoWRebels13–53mo agoLUrsa3–133mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: OG Anubis · ex-Zero Tenacity Ancient.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

ex-Zero Tenacity52%to win the seriesiMap edgesInferno: ex-Zero Tenacity 54% toss-up · Dust2: OG 58% · Nuke: ex-Zero Tenacity 58%Whyex-Zero Tenacity hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesOG 48%: 2-0 27%, 2-1 21%  ·  ex-Zero Tenacity 52%: 2-1 29%, 2-0 22%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
OG 48%It’s nearly a coin-flip. ex-Zero Tenacity only lead because their Nuke is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.52% ex-Zero Tenacity
Inferno
OG46%
ex-Zero Tenacity54%
9-7record25-17
56%win60%
52%CT win53%
53%T win54%
53%pistol57%
81%convert85%
Dust2
OG58%
ex-Zero Tenacity42%
11-7record29-27
61%win52%
59%CT win52%
53%T win51%
67%pistol52%
79%convert79%
Nuke
OG42%
ex-Zero Tenacity58%
6-8record26-24
43%win52%
47%CT win55%
45%T win48%
68%pistol56%
58%convert79%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
OGct
OGt
EX-ct
EX-t
OGpistol
OGconv
OGeco
EX-pistol
EX-conv
EX-eco
Infernopool
52%75/143
53%98/184
53%205/386
54%258/478
53%17/32
81%13/16
40%6/15
57%48/84
85%41/48
33%12/36
Dust2pool
59%110/185
53%99/188
52%290/555
51%299/582
67%24/36
79%19/24
0%0/12
52%58/112
79%46/58
15%8/54
Nukepool
47%68/145
45%67/149
55%260/470
48%247/516
68%19/28
58%11/19
0%0/9
56%56/100
79%44/56
30%13/44
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
40%85/215
52%111/212
n/a
n/a
n/a
45%19/42
79%15/19
9%2/23
Ancientban
61%115/189
45%67/148
n/a
n/a
50%16/32
94%15/16
38%6/16
n/a
n/a
n/a
Cacheban
26%6/23
35%12/34
59%34/58
63%52/83
50%3/6
33%1/3
0%0/3
64%9/14
89%8/9
0%0/5
Mirageban
64%70/109
40%36/91
49%213/431
43%165/387
45%9/20
78%7/9
36%4/11
38%30/78
77%23/30
21%10/48
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
OG wins more pistol rounds: 63% vs 55%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → ex-Zero Tenacity usually win the next round too (81% vs 73%). Lose the pistol → ex-Zero Tenacity fight back to win the next round more often (25% vs 17%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

OG

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i9/48 (19%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 48 maps they won, 9 (19%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 19% of their wins were comebacks, not 19% of all games.vs LiquidAncientfrom 7 downvs 9INEInfernofrom 6 downvs PhantomNukefrom 5 downvs EACMiragefrom 5 downvs BIGOverpassfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/44 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 44 maps they lost, 20 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MetizportInfernoled 9 · lost 14-16vs NemesisAncientled 8 · lost 20-22vs Fire FluxInfernoled 5 · lost 7-13vs LavkedDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs FUTMirageled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LiquidAncientfrom 7 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MetizportInfernoled 9 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs NemesisAncient20-22vs NemesisNuke19-17vs LiquidDust223-25vs ALGOOverpass17-19vs 9INEInferno19-15

ex-Zero Tenacity

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i36/116 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 116 maps they won, 36 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs STATEInfernofrom 7 downvs KOLESIEDust2from 7 downvs HEROIC AcademyMiragefrom 6 downvs LavkedDust2from 6 downvs ASTRALAnubisfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i41/123 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 123 maps they lost, 41 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs STATEOverpassled 6 · lost 13-16vs HashirasInfernoled 6 · lost 10-13vs HAVUNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs Subtop De FranceDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs benched godsDust2led 6 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs STATEInfernofrom 7 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs STATEOverpassled 6 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsInferno16-14vs los kogutosNuke14-16vs ex-RUBYAnubis16-19vs ASTRALAnubis16-14vs STATEOverpass13-16

OG vs ex-Zero Tenacity FAQ

Who is favored to win OG vs ex-Zero Tenacity?

OG are favored with a 52% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for OG vs ex-Zero Tenacity?

Bookmakers price OG at 1.5 and ex-Zero Tenacity at 2.31 (implied 61% vs 39%).

When do OG and ex-Zero Tenacity play?

OG vs ex-Zero Tenacity is scheduled for 2026-08-28 11:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 7.

OG vs ex-Zero Tenacity Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER