Matches / Upcoming / Phantom vs Leo
Phantom vs Leo: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 7
Our model gives Phantom a 70% chance to beat Leo at CCT 2026 Europe Series 7. Bookmakers price Phantom at 1.3 and Leo at 3.12 (implied 71% vs 29%).
FormatBO3Form49-48 · 41-41PistolsLeo 54%Likely mapsNuke · Dust2 · Cache
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Phantom
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents3mo ago
Phantom2 : 1
Leo!6mo ago Phantom1 : 2 Leo!
Phantom2 : 1 Leo!⚠ Different lineup
Phantom
outKunai, mwlky
incej0t, nicoodoz
Leo
outOneUn1que, amster, kL1o, leri511
inTarkky, aimy, drac, next1me
Phantom1 : 2 Leo!⚠ Different lineup
Phantom
outKunai, mwlky, mynio
inTMB, cej0t, nicoodoz
Leo
outMalkiss, OneUn1que, amster, kL1o, marat2k
inTarkky, aimy, drac, leen, next1me
100 Thieves#310-21-2
Phantom vs 100 Thieves
Jun 5LAncient7-13Dust29-13Leo vs 100 Thieves
Jun 18LNuke13-5Dust210-13Ancient12-16
fnatic#390-21-2
Phantom vs fnatic
Apr 30LAncient5-13Anubis13-16Leo vs fnatic
Apr 27LAncient4-13Mirage13-10Anubis10-13
GenOne#544-32-5
BRUTE#672-02-0
Phantom vs BRUTE
May 25WNuke13-8Mirage13-4Leo vs BRUTE
Apr 7WNuke13-7Dust213-3
ASTRAL#704-05-5
Leo vs ASTRAL
Jun 29LMirage10-13Dust25-13May 31LAncient13-3Dust26-13Anubis11-13Mar 23WDust213-8Anubis5-13Ancient13-9+1 earlier meeting
Bushido Wildcats#732-05-3
Phantom vs Bushido Wildcats
May 30WNuke16-14Mirage13-9
Metizport#750-20-2
Phantom vs Metizport
Apr 14LNuke9-13Overpass9-13Leo vs Metizport
Mar 3LDust210-13Nuke11-13EX-ex-RUBY#861-40-2
Leo vs ex-RUBY
Jan 30LAnubis8-13Nuke9-13Firepower
roster ratingsPhantom · avg 1.14 · top +0.11
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Phantom vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapPHALEO
InfernoPHA ban 100%4-0 46%6-7
MirageLEO ban 47%14-16 50%5-5
NukePHA pick 57%30-23 55%18-15
Dust2LEO pick 48%21-23 59%34-24
AnubisPHA ban 38%5-8 31%11-24
AncientLEO ban 45%22-27 49%17-18
Cachedecider 0%0-1 50%1-1
Phantom on Cache
L
Sashi6–1323d agoEach team's usual first ban: Phantom Inferno · Leo Mirage.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Leo56%to win the seriesiMap edgesNuke: Phantom 52% toss-up · Dust2: Leo 60% · Cache: Leo 53% toss-upWhyLeo hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesPhantom 44%: 2-1 24%, 2-0 21% · Leo 56%: 2-0 29%, 2-1 27%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Phantom 44%It’s nearly a coin-flip. Leo only lead because their Dust2 is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.56% Leo
Nuke
Phantom52%Leo48%
30-23record18-15
57%win55%
56%CT win55%
47%T win50%
50%pistol56%
81%convert81%
Dust2
Phantom40%Leo60%
21-23record34-24
48%win59%
53%CT win53%
47%T win53%
49%pistol53%
81%convert82%
Cache
Phantom47%Leo53%
0-1record1-1
0%win50%
25%CT win58%
43%T win54%
0%pistol50%
–convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
PHAct
PHAt
LEOct
LEOt
PHApistol
PHAconv
PHAeco
LEOpistol
LEOconv
LEOeco
Nukepool
56%298/533
47%282/604
55%190/347
50%165/331
50%53/106
81%43/53
15%8/53
56%37/66
81%30/37
14%4/29
Dust2pool
53%239/453
47%208/439
53%311/584
53%323/613
49%43/88
81%35/43
18%8/45
53%61/116
82%50/61
18%10/55
Cachepool
25%3/12
43%3/7
58%14/24
54%7/13
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
Infernoban
63%30/48
64%21/33
48%74/153
54%61/112
50%4/8
100%4/4
25%1/4
54%14/26
86%12/14
33%4/12
Mirageban
53%182/343
45%132/294
55%65/119
35%31/89
68%41/60
85%35/41
16%3/19
50%10/20
80%8/10
10%1/10
Anubisban
51%64/125
48%74/154
42%139/329
47%182/386
46%12/26
75%9/12
14%2/14
43%30/70
80%24/30
18%7/40
Ancientban
51%271/531
48%239/498
51%177/346
49%178/366
56%55/98
75%41/55
21%9/43
31%22/70
91%20/22
6%3/48
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Leo wins more pistol rounds: 54% vs 49%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (81% vs 82%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (16% vs 16%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Phantom
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i31/107 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 107 maps they won, 31 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs aAaDust2from 7 downvs HEROICNukefrom 7 downvs RUSTECMiragefrom 6 downvs Bushido WildcatsNukefrom 6 downvs WashingtonNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i39/108 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 108 maps they lost, 39 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FAVBETAncientled 9 · lost 14-16vs MASONICOverpassled 7 · lost 14-16vs CYBERSHOKEDust2led 7 · lost 26-28vs WashingtonOverpassled 6 · lost 11-13vs B8Mirageled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs aAaDust2from 7 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FAVBETAncientled 9 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi43% · 34Close maps (≤3) · OT43% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 34 went to overtime.vs HYPERSPIRITDust212-16vs FAVBETAnubis13-16vs MASONICOverpass14-16vs MASONICNuke14-16vs STATEOverpass13-16
Leo
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i24/95 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 95 maps they won, 24 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs Lazer CatsInfernofrom 6 downvs QWENTRYDust2from 6 downvs ASTRALDust2from 5 downvs AimhausDust2from 5 downvs ASTRALInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i31/96 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 96 maps they lost, 31 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Lazer CatsInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs WWAnubisled 6 · lost 14-16vs UrsaAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13vs MisaDust2led 6 · lost 13-16vs WWNukeled 5 · lost 17-19
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Lazer CatsInfernofrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Lazer CatsInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 20Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 20 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsAnubis14-16vs WWNuke17-19vs WWAnubis14-16vs BIGAnubis14-16vs Bushido WildcatsNuke19-16
Phantom vs Leo FAQ
Who is favored to win Phantom vs Leo?
Phantom are favored with a 70% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Phantom vs Leo?
Bookmakers price Phantom at 1.3 and Leo at 3.12 (implied 71% vs 29%).
When do Phantom and Leo play?
Phantom vs Leo is scheduled for 2026-08-28 14:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 7.