Matches / Upcoming / Sashi vs Vexar
Sashi vs Vexar: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Exort Fiesta Series 1
Our model gives Sashi a 66% chance to beat Vexar at Exort Fiesta Series 1.
FormatBO3Form41-30 · 16-14PistolsSashi 53%Likely mapsInferno · Ancient · Anubis
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Sashi
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
HOTU#290-20-2
Sashi vs HOTU
May 19LNuke7-13Dust26-13Vexar vs HOTU
Jul 12LAncient3-13Mirage0-13
Phantom#553-20-2
Vexar vs Phantom
Jul 28LAncient11-13Nuke8-13EX-ex-RUBY#860-20-2
Sashi vs ex-RUBY
May 10LDust23-13Nuke9-13Vexar vs ex-RUBY
Jul 24LAncient6-13Mirage11-13LAVLavked#1182-01-2
Sashi vs Lavked
May 8WNuke13-8Inferno13-2Vexar vs Lavked
Aug 24LNuke9-13Ancient13-10Dust25-13Firepower
roster ratingsSashi · avg 1.12 · top +0.07
Vexar · avg 1.1 · top +0.13
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| obsward | 66 | 1.19 | 78.8 | 71.8% | 64% | 1.23 |
| ADntZ | 68 | 0.97 | 79.5 | 68.6% | 64% | 1.1 |
| Bottega666 | 25 | 0.99 | 71.4 | 69.2% | 43% | 1.09 |
| KarmaN | 58 | 1.01 | 72.4 | 67.9% | 48% | 1.07 |
| datet | 65 | 0.93 | 71.9 | 69% | 61% | 1.02 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Sashi vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Vexar habitually bans Cache, Sashi's strongest maps (Inferno, Anubis, Cache all ≥60%).
That's a standing habit (Cache 21/31), not an opponent read, so expect Sashi to fight the veto for Nuke.
MapSASVEX
MirageSAS ban 29%4-10 55%6-5
CacheVEX ban 63%5-3 n/a0g
Sashi on Cache
L
BIG5–1318d agoL
Virtus.pro4–1318d agoW
Partizan13–319d agoL
FOKUS11–1319d agoWPhantom13–623d agoW
SINNERS13–1125d agoW
Black Phoenix13–625d agoWJust Players13–526d agoVexar on Cache
no recent maps
InfernoSAS pick 76%13-4 86%6-1
AncientVEX pick 48%11-12 50%11-11
Dust2SAS ban 43%9-12 50%4-4
NukeVEX ban 59%20-14 33%3-6
Each team's usual first ban: Sashi Dust2 · Vexar Cache.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Sashi50%to win the seriesiMap edgesInferno: Vexar 56% toss-up · Ancient: Vexar 52% toss-up · Anubis: Sashi 58%WhyVexar are favoured on 2 of 3 maps, but only barely: the other maps are near 50/50 (Inferno & Ancient), so Sashi just need to steal one (~71% to grab at least one).OutcomesSashi 50%: 2-1 29%, 2-0 21% · Vexar 50%: 2-0 29%, 2-1 21%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Sashi 50%It’s nearly a coin-flip. Sashi only lead because their Anubis is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.50% Vexar
Inferno
Sashi44%Vexar56%
13-4record6-1
76%win86%
58%CT win64%
62%T win57%
71%pistol43%
83%convert83%
Ancient
Sashi48%Vexar52%
11-12record11-11
48%win50%
53%CT win51%
48%T win48%
48%pistol39%
86%convert88%
Anubis
Sashi58%Vexar42%
6-4record4-4
60%win50%
47%CT win43%
61%T win50%
35%pistol38%
100%convert83%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
SASct
SASt
VEXct
VEXt
SASpistol
SASconv
SASeco
VEXpistol
VEXconv
VEXeco
Infernopool
58%83/143
62%113/183
64%54/84
57%31/54
71%24/34
83%19/23
30%3/10
43%6/14
83%5/6
38%3/8
Ancientpool
53%130/247
48%115/238
51%99/196
48%118/247
48%22/46
86%19/22
25%6/24
39%17/44
88%15/17
15%4/27
Anubispool
47%55/118
61%63/104
43%33/76
50%47/94
35%7/20
100%7/7
38%5/13
38%6/16
83%5/6
0%0/10
Mirageban
50%77/154
39%56/144
52%58/112
49%54/110
54%15/28
67%10/15
23%3/13
41%9/22
89%8/9
8%1/12
Cacheban
59%35/59
52%50/96
n/a
n/a
56%9/16
78%7/9
57%4/7
n/a
n/a
n/a
Dust2ban
47%116/245
50%89/178
52%44/84
47%39/83
40%17/42
71%12/17
24%6/25
69%11/16
91%10/11
0%0/5
Nukeban
63%219/349
47%167/359
47%44/93
41%37/91
53%36/68
69%25/36
25%8/32
44%8/18
100%8/8
0%0/10
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Sashi wins more pistol rounds: 53% vs 39%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (87% vs 86%). Lose the pistol → Sashi fight back to win the next round more often (30% vs 16%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Sashi
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i25/77 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 77 maps they won, 25 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs LiquidNukefrom 6 downvs KOLESIEAncientfrom 6 downvs ECSTATICNukefrom 5 downvs OmegaAncientfrom 5 downvs fnaticInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/67 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 67 maps they lost, 17 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AMAncientled 9 · lost 14-16vs WalczakiInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs Nuclear TigeRESNukeled 6 · lost 7-13vs OmegaMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs PhantomMirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LiquidNukefrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AMAncientled 9 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs MASONICNuke16-12vs ECSTATICMirage13-16vs OmegaAncient19-16vs Lazer CatsNuke13-16vs fnaticAncient14-16
Vexar
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i10/34 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 34 maps they won, 10 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs LavkedAncientfrom 6 downvs Young TigeRESAncientfrom 4 downvs Young TigeRESAnubisfrom 4 downvs ZOTIXAnubisfrom 4 downvs Falcons ForceMiragefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/31 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 31 maps they lost, 14 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Falcons ForceAnubisled 6 · lost 20-22vs Basement BobsMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs HonvédAncientled 5 · lost 11-13vs Inner Circle AcademyAncientled 5 · lost 11-13vs ROUNDSNukeled 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LavkedAncientfrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Falcons ForceAnubisled 6 · lost 20-22
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs CYBERSHOKE ProspectsAnubis16-14vs NEW VISIONAncient16-13vs HonvédDust216-13vs Falcons ForceAnubis20-22
Sashi vs Vexar FAQ
Who is favored to win Sashi vs Vexar?
Sashi are favored with a 66% model win probability.
What are the betting odds for Sashi vs Vexar?
Match odds for Sashi vs Vexar aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.
When do Sashi and Vexar play?
Sashi vs Vexar is scheduled for 2026-08-27 11:00 UTC at Exort Fiesta Series 1.