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Rooster vs Ground Zero: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 1

Rooster
2026-08-28 09:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 1
Ground Zero
Our model gives Ground Zero a 63% chance to beat Rooster at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 1. Bookmakers price Rooster at 2.57 and Ground Zero at 1.43 (implied 36% vs 64%).
Rooster
2.57odds
Ground Zero
1.43odds
Our read37%
63%
Market36%
64%
median decimal odds · 1 bookBookmakerROOGROSweatbet 2.571.43
FormatBO3Form29-19 · 36-28Likely mapsDust2 · Nuke · Inferno
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Rooster

MARKandLARRYStompStomp13-21d ago2-0MindfreakUpsetUpset16d ago1-2AbyssalStompStomp2-1317d ago0-2FURYPistolsPist3/4ComebackCB623d ago2-0FinishersPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-024d ago2-0MindfreakUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT1mo ago0-2THUNDER dOWNUNDERStompStomp0-131mo ago0-2AbyssalPistolsPist2/2StompStomp13-21mo ago13-2Ground ZeroStompStomp2-132mo ago2-1DXAStompStomp1-132mo ago2-1Ground ZeroPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT2mo ago0-2DXAPistolsPist3/42mo ago2-0AbyssalPistolsPist5/63mo ago2-1MARKandLARRYPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-23mo ago2-0Last Bullet4mo ago0-2

Ground Zero

LFO 8PistolsPist3/4ComebackCB81d ago2-0AbyssalPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-114d ago2-0Mindfreak15d ago2-0AbyssalUpsetUpset16d ago0-2Mindfreak17d ago2-0AbyssalPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-021d ago2-0Time WavesPistolsPist0/4OvertimeOT22d ago2-0FlyQuest1mo ago0-2THUNDER dOWNUNDERUpsetUpsetPistolsPist5/61mo ago2-1Mindfreak1mo ago2-1THUNDER dOWNUNDERPistolsPist4/4Blew leadBL71mo ago0-2Arcade1mo ago2-1FlyQuest1mo ago0-2Arcade1mo ago13-7Lynn Vision2mo ago0-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
2mo ago Ground Zero1 : 2 Rooster!
⚠ Different lineup
Rooster
outju1ces
indamyo
Ground Zero
outtucks
invision
DFRAG Open Series 52mo ago Ground Zero2 : 0 Rooster!
⚠ Different lineup
Rooster
outju1ces
indamyo
Ground Zero
outtucks
invision
DFRAG Open Series 55mo ago Ground Zero2 : 0 Rooster!
⚠ Different lineup
Rooster
outju1ces
indamyo
Ground Zero
outpz
inhazr
ESL Challenger League Season 51 Oceania Cup 35mo ago Rooster1 : 2 Ground Zero!
⚠ Different lineup
Rooster
outju1ces
indamyo
Ground Zero
outpz
inhazr
ESL Challenger League Season 51 Oceania Cup 35mo ago Ground Zero1 : 2 Rooster!
⚠ Different lineup
Rooster
outju1ces
indamyo
Ground Zero
outdamyo, pz
inhazr, sliimey
ESL Challenger League Season 51 Oceania Cup 25mo ago Rooster0 : 2 Ground Zero!
⚠ Different lineup
Rooster
outju1ces
indamyo
Ground Zero
outdamyo, pz
inhazr, sliimey
ANZC Locals Brisbane 20265mo ago Ground Zero13 : 6 Rooster!
⚠ Different lineup
Rooster
outju1ces
indamyo
Ground Zero
outdamyo, pz
inhazr, sliimey
ANZC Locals Brisbane 20266mo ago Rooster0 : 2 Ground Zero!
⚠ Different lineup
Rooster
outju1ces
indamyo
Ground Zero
outdamyo, pz
inhazr, sliimey
DFRAG Wildcard LAN Season 16mo ago Ground Zero2 : 1 Rooster!
⚠ Different lineup
Rooster
outju1ces
indamyo
Ground Zero
outdamyo, pz
inhazr, sliimey
DFRAG Wildcard LAN Season 1
THUNDER dOWNUNDER#710-67-21
Rooster vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jul 17LAnubis4-13Nuke0-13Feb 8LOverpass6-13Nuke10-13Jan 31LAnubis4-13Nuke1-13
Ground Zero vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Jul 18WDust28-13Anubis13-10Nuke16-14Jul 18LDust210-13Anubis7-13May 3LDust27-13Anubis5-13
+8 earlier meetings
Mindfreak#1145-716-7
Rooster vs Mindfreak
Aug 11LInferno9-13Anubis13-6Mirage10-13Jul 17LNuke9-13Inferno14-16Mar 25WInferno13-11Anubis22-20
+2 earlier meetings
Ground Zero vs Mindfreak
Aug 12WInferno13-6Dust213-6Aug 10WNuke13-10Anubis13-4Jul 18WInferno9-13Anubis13-9Nuke13-7
+6 earlier meetings
Abyssal#1528-612-7
Rooster vs Abyssal
Aug 10LMirage2-13Dust26-13Jul 17WInferno13-2Jun 9WOverpass6-13Nuke13-7Mirage13-11
+4 earlier meetings
Ground Zero vs Abyssal
Aug 13WAncient13-1Anubis13-8Aug 11LAncient7-13Dust29-13Aug 6WMirage13-0Dust213-11
+5 earlier meetings
Arcade#1556-13-3
Rooster vs Arcade
Apr 7WDust213-10Nuke11-13Overpass13-10Mar 24WMirage13-8Overpass16-12Mar 21WNuke16-14Overpass16-13
Ground Zero vs Arcade
Jul 17WMirage10-13Dust213-6Nuke13-7Jul 17WDust213-7Mar 17LAncient9-13Dust216-19
Skele4-32-0
Rooster vs Skele
Apr 6WMirage13-8Dust213-5Apr 3WDust213-3Overpass13-11Feb 24Lseries0-1
+2 earlier meetings
Ground Zero vs Skele
Apr 27WMirage13-6Inferno13-7
MARKandLARRY4-14-0
Rooster vs MARKandLARRY
Aug 26WInferno13-2Anubis13-4Jun 8WMirage13-2Anubis13-10Apr 27Lseries0-1
Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 15WDust216-13Nuke13-4Apr 29WMirage13-3Nuke13-5
Underground2-14-1
Rooster vs Underground
Feb 7WNuke9-13Overpass13-10Dust213-8
Ground Zero vs Underground
Feb 23WAnubis13-6Mirage10-13Nuke13-3Feb 18WMirage16-13Dust213-8
Time Waves6-02-0
Rooster vs Time Waves
Apr 12WAnubis13-5Dust213-2Mar 16WNuke13-3Dust213-3Mar 12WInferno13-5Overpass13-5
Ground Zero vs Time Waves
Aug 5WInferno19-17Nuke13-3

Firepower

roster ratings

Rooster · avg 1.16 · top +0.32

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
damyo21.3278.387.8%44%1.48
chelleos1061.328573.5%36%1.3
rekonz1060.997572.3%55%1.09
SkulL1060.8571.870.4%46%1.01
ADK890.8458.171%48%0.93

Ground Zero · avg 1.16 · top +0.2

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
sliimey611.3386.377.5%57%1.36
hazr441.177.874.2%65%1.22
apocdud1400.977370.9%45%1.08
vision1161.0171.470%60%1.07
Omichella1460.9571.172.2%56%1.05

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Rooster vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Ground Zero habitually bans Overpass, Rooster's strongest maps (Overpass, Anubis, Dust2, Mirage all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Overpass 41/64), not an opponent read, so expect Rooster to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapROOGRO
AncientROO ban n/a0g 50%2-2
Rooster on Ancient
no recent maps
Ground Zero on Ancient
WLFO 813–101d agoWAbyssal13–114d agoLAbyssal7–1316d agoLArcade9–135mo ago
CacheGRO ban 100%1-0 n/a0g
Rooster on Cache
WFURY13–923d ago
Ground Zero on Cache
no recent maps
Dust2ROO pick 62%13-8 44%14-18
Rooster on Dust2
LAbyssal6–1317d agoWFinishers13–424d agoWDXA13–82mo agoLGround Zero13–162mo agoWDXA13–62mo agoLLast Bullet4–134mo agoWZEVS13–84mo agoWTime Waves13–25mo ago
Ground Zero on Dust2
WLFO 813–31d agoWMindfreak13–615d agoLAbyssal9–1316d agoWAbyssal13–1121d agoLFlyQuest6–131mo agoLTHUNDER dOWNUNDER8–131mo agoLTHUNDER dOWNUNDER10–131mo agoWArcade13–61mo ago
NukeGRO pick 29%6-15 66%21-11
Rooster on Nuke
LMindfreak9–131mo agoLTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–131mo agoLGround Zero2–132mo agoWAbyssal13–73mo agoLAlter Ego5–134mo agoLZEVS4–134mo agoLAbyssal5–134mo agoWAbyssal13–84mo ago
Ground Zero on Nuke
WMindfreak13–1017d agoWTime Waves13–322d agoWTHUNDER dOWNUNDER16–141mo agoWMindfreak13–71mo agoWArcade13–71mo agoLLynn Vision4–132mo agoWRooster13–22mo agoWMARKandLARRY13–42mo ago
MirageROO ban 62%8-5 55%12-10
Rooster on Mirage
LMindfreak10–1316d agoLAbyssal2–1317d agoWFURY13–923d agoWGround Zero13–112mo agoLGround Zero10–132mo agoWAbyssal13–113mo agoWMARKandLARRY13–23mo agoWDing Cuts13–84mo ago
Ground Zero on Mirage
WAbyssal13–021d agoLArcade10–131mo agoLRooster11–132mo agoWRooster13–102mo agoWDing Cuts13–93mo agoWMasked Regime13–63mo agoLKaleido2–133mo agoLTYLOO4–134mo ago
AnubisGRO ban 69%11-5 43%13-17
Rooster on Anubis
WMARKandLARRY13–41d agoWMindfreak13–616d agoWFinishers13–024d agoLTHUNDER dOWNUNDER4–131mo agoWGround Zero13–112mo agoWDXA13–52mo agoWMARKandLARRY13–103mo agoWTime Waves13–55mo ago
Ground Zero on Anubis
WAbyssal13–814d agoWMindfreak13–417d agoLFlyQuest5–131mo agoWTHUNDER dOWNUNDER13–101mo agoWMindfreak13–91mo agoLTHUNDER dOWNUNDER7–131mo agoLFlyQuest6–131mo agoLRooster11–132mo ago
Infernodecider 47%8-9 61%14-9
Rooster on Inferno
WMARKandLARRY13–21d agoLMindfreak9–1316d agoLMindfreak14–161mo agoWAbyssal13–21mo agoLDXA1–132mo agoWDXA13–112mo agoWZEVS13–74mo agoWWYDO13–114mo ago
Ground Zero on Inferno
WMindfreak13–615d agoWTime Waves19–1722d agoLMindfreak9–131mo agoLChinggis Warriors4–134mo agoLRare Atom3–134mo agoWAbyssal13–44mo agoWSkele13–74mo agoWRooster13–45mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Rooster Ancient · Ground Zero Ancient.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

Ground Zero65%to win the seriesiMap edgesDust2: Rooster 66% clear · Nuke: Ground Zero 81% clear · Inferno: Ground Zero 63%WhyGround Zero hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesRooster 35%: 2-1 23%, 2-0 13%  ·  Ground Zero 65%: 2-1 38%, 2-0 27%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Rooster 35%Ground Zero are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Ground Zero 2-1.65% Ground Zero
Dust2
Rooster66%
Ground Zero34%
13-8record14-18
62%win44%
58%CT win48%
52%T win49%
50%pistol44%
76%convert86%
Nuke
Rooster19%
Ground Zero81%
6-15record21-11
29%win66%
45%CT win60%
38%T win49%
36%pistol50%
73%convert88%
Inferno
Rooster37%
Ground Zero63%
8-9record14-9
47%win61%
45%CT win53%
54%T win49%
50%pistol48%
76%convert82%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
ROOct
ROOt
GROct
GROt
ROOpistol
ROOconv
ROOeco
GROpistol
GROconv
GROeco
Dust2pool
58%111/190
52%116/221
48%154/322
49%167/344
50%21/42
76%16/21
19%4/21
44%28/64
86%24/28
17%6/36
Nukepool
45%101/224
38%71/185
60%174/290
49%164/336
36%15/42
73%11/15
15%4/26
50%32/64
88%28/32
19%6/32
Infernopool
45%81/179
54%88/163
53%114/215
49%114/231
50%17/34
76%13/17
6%1/17
48%22/46
82%18/22
17%4/23
Ancientban
n/a
n/a
48%23/48
61%19/31
n/a
n/a
n/a
50%4/8
100%4/4
0%0/4
Cacheban
100%10/10
25%3/12
n/a
n/a
100%2/2
100%2/2
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mirageban
50%74/148
54%65/120
54%130/240
49%100/205
62%16/26
81%13/16
0%0/10
43%19/44
78%14/18
16%4/25
Anubisban
55%92/168
51%72/142
45%145/325
50%146/292
44%14/32
100%13/13
0%0/18
47%28/60
82%23/28
16%5/32
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (Rooster 45%, Ground Zero 47%). Nobody has an edge.
Win the pistol → Ground Zero usually win the next round too (85% vs 75%). Lose the pistol → Ground Zero fight back to win the next round more often (18% vs 14%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Rooster

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i16/60 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 60 maps they won, 16 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs ArcadeOverpassfrom 7 downvs MindfreakAnubisfrom 6 downvs AbyssalMiragefrom 6 downvs FURYCachefrom 6 downvs WYDOInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i13/46 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 46 maps they lost, 13 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MindfreakNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs ArcadeNukeled 5 · lost 11-13vs Ground ZeroDust2led 4 · lost 10-13vs AbyssalOverpassled 4 · lost 6-13vs Ground ZeroMirageled 4 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ArcadeOverpassfrom 7 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MindfreakNukeled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs Ground ZeroNuke14-16vs ArcadeNuke16-14vs ArcadeOverpass16-13vs ArcadeOverpass16-12vs MindfreakAnubis22-20

Ground Zero

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i25/77 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 77 maps they won, 25 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs 11minsDust2from 9 downvs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNukefrom 8 downvs LFO 8Ancientfrom 8 downvs THUNDER dOWNUNDERAnubisfrom 6 downvs UndergroundMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/69 (22%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 69 maps they lost, 15 (22%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AbyssalOverpassled 8 · lost 8-13vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERDust2led 7 · lost 10-13vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNukeled 5 · lost 20-22vs MindfreakInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERInfernoled 4 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs 11minsDust2from 9 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AbyssalOverpassled 8 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs UndergroundMirage16-13vs MindfreakMirage19-15vs RoosterNuke16-14vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERAnubis19-16vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNuke20-22

Rooster vs Ground Zero FAQ

Who is favored to win Rooster vs Ground Zero?

Ground Zero are favored with a 63% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Rooster vs Ground Zero?

Bookmakers price Rooster at 2.57 and Ground Zero at 1.43 (implied 36% vs 64%).

When do Rooster and Ground Zero play?

Rooster vs Ground Zero is scheduled for 2026-08-28 09:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 1.

Rooster vs Ground Zero Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER