Matches / Upcoming / Incognito vs Zomblers
Incognito vs Zomblers: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1
Our model gives Incognito a 58% chance to beat Zomblers at ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1. Limited data on this matchup, so the read stays close to the market. Bookmakers price Incognito at 1.71 and Zomblers at 1.97 (implied 54% vs 46%).
FormatBO3Form1-1 · 20-21PistolsIncognito 75%Likely mapsInferno · Ancient · Cache
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Incognito
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
M80#380-10-1
Incognito vs M80
May 2Lseries0-1Zomblers vs M80
May 3Lseries0-1
InControl0-28-3
Incognito vs InControl
Apr 29LInferno7-13Mirage5-13Zomblers vs InControl
May 2WMirage13-2Inferno13-10Apr 12WInferno13-8Mirage9-13Nuke13-6Mar 12LMirage9-13Dust217-19+2 earlier meetings
INSinsane players1-00-4
Incognito vs insane players
Apr 26Wseries1-0Firepower
roster ratingsIncognito · avg 1.18 · top +0.12
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Incognito vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapINCZOM
AnubisINC ban n/a0g 0%0-1
Incognito on Anubis
no recent maps
Zomblers on Anubis
L
Marsborne3–137mo agoNukeZOM ban 100%1-0 55%11-9
InfernoINC pick 50%1-1 56%9-7
AncientZOM pick n/a0g 62%8-5
Incognito on Ancient
no recent maps
Dust2INC ban n/a0g 41%7-10
Incognito on Dust2
no recent maps
MirageZOM ban 0%0-1 36%8-14
Cachedecider n/a0g n/a0g
Incognito on Cache
no recent maps
Zomblers on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: Incognito Nuke · Zomblers Anubis.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Zomblers51%to win the seriesiMap edgesInferno: Zomblers 52% toss-up · Ancient: Zomblers 50% toss-up · Cache: Zomblers 50% toss-upWhyZomblers hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesIncognito 49%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 24% · Zomblers 51%: 2-0 26%, 2-1 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Incognito 49%It’s nearly a coin-flip. Zomblers only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.51% Zomblers
Inferno
Incognito48%Zomblers52%
1-1record9-7
50%win56%
50%CT win58%
54%T win46%
75%pistol56%
100%convert89%
Ancient
Incognito50%Zomblers50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-0record8-5
–win62%
–CT win58%
–T win48%
–pistol62%
–convert88%
Cache
Incognito50%Zomblers50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-0record0-0
–win–
–CT win–
–T win–
–pistol–
–convert–
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
INCct
INCt
ZOMct
ZOMt
INCpistol
INCconv
INCeco
ZOMpistol
ZOMconv
ZOMeco
Infernopool
50%7/14
54%13/24
58%92/158
46%75/164
75%3/4
100%3/3
100%1/1
56%18/32
89%16/18
29%4/14
Ancientpool
n/a
n/a
58%74/127
48%67/141
n/a
n/a
n/a
62%16/26
88%14/16
20%2/10
Cachepool
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
25%1/4
17%2/12
n/a
n/a
n/a
50%1/2
0%0/1
0%0/1
Nukeban
100%12/12
33%1/3
57%111/195
50%99/197
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
63%25/40
84%21/25
13%2/15
Dust2ban
n/a
n/a
49%85/172
45%90/198
n/a
n/a
n/a
32%11/34
91%10/11
17%4/23
Mirageban
42%5/12
0%0/6
53%138/261
40%80/198
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
68%30/44
77%23/30
7%1/14
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Incognito wins more pistol rounds: 75% vs 59%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Incognito usually win the next round too (100% vs 88%). Lose the pistol → Incognito fight back to win the next round more often (100% vs 25%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Incognito
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/2 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 2 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/2 (100%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 2 maps they lost, 2 (100%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs InControlInfernoled 3 · lost 7-13vs InControlMirageled 3 · lost 5-13
Biggest comebackifrom 0 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni3 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs InControlInfernoled 3 · lost 7-13
Avg map margini8.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi0% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT0% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample
Zomblers
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i10/45 (22%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 45 maps they won, 10 (22%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 22% of their wins were comebacks, not 22% of all games.vs EMPIREDust2from 7 downvs MarsborneAncientfrom 6 downvs mouseMiragefrom 6 downvs EMPIRENukefrom 5 downvs regainMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/50 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 50 maps they lost, 17 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AetherMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs InControlMirageled 5 · lost 9-13vs regainInfernoled 5 · lost 9-13vs LAGInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13vs MarsborneNukeled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EMPIREDust2from 7 down · won 19-17
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AetherMirageled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs InControlNuke19-17vs VocaMirage16-14vs InControlDust216-13vs InControlDust217-19vs EMPIRENuke16-14
Incognito vs Zomblers FAQ
Who is favored to win Incognito vs Zomblers?
Incognito are favored with a 58% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Incognito vs Zomblers?
Bookmakers price Incognito at 1.71 and Zomblers at 1.97 (implied 54% vs 46%).
When do Incognito and Zomblers play?
Incognito vs Zomblers is scheduled for 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1.