Matches / Upcoming / Leo vs SPARTA
Leo vs SPARTA: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 8
Leo
World #117 · 43-44
VS
2026-09-09 17:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · Best of 3
SPARTA
World #– · 47-50
38%62%
26%
3.61.26Market · 13 books
74%The call
SPARTA are favoured: our model gives them 62% against Leo. Bookmakers lean SPARTA at 74%. Strength slightly favours SPARTA, form slightly favours SPARTA, head-to-head slightly favours SPARTA.
Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Cache
Recent form
Leo
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents18d ago
SPARTA2 : 0
Leo!3mo ago SPARTA1 : 2 Leo!
SPARTA2 : 0 Leo!⚠ Different lineup
SPARTA
outsugaR
ininterz
SPARTA1 : 2 Leo!⚠ Different lineup
Leo
outOneUn1que, amster, kL1o, rendysky
inTarkky, aimy, drac, next1me
SPARTA
outDjon8, k4nfuz
inglowiing, interz
BIG#240-20-2
Leo vs BIG
Mar 3LAnubis14-16Inferno7-13SPARTA vs BIG
Apr 26LMirage11-13Ancient17-19
HOTU#271-20-2
Leo vs HOTU
Mar 13LDust29-13Ancient13-6Nuke20-22SPARTA vs HOTU
Aug 31LDust25-13Cache8-13
fnatic#371-22-3
Leo vs fnatic
Apr 27LAncient4-13Mirage13-10Anubis10-13
1win#380-21-2
Leo vs 1win
Jan 31LInferno9-13Ancient8-13SPARTA vs 1win
Aug 28LMirage5-13Dust213-4Ancient4-13
Nuclear TigeRES#452-03-3
Leo vs Nuclear TigeRES
Feb 18WDust219-16Ancient13-5
GenOne#552-57-6
Metizport#700-21-2
Leo vs Metizport
Mar 3LDust210-13Nuke11-13SPARTA vs Metizport
Aug 18LMirage10-13Nuke13-6Inferno6-13
ASTRAL#715-52-0
Leo vs ASTRAL
Jun 29LMirage10-13Dust25-13May 31LAncient13-3Dust26-13Anubis11-13Mar 23WDust213-8Anubis5-13Ancient13-9+1 earlier meeting
SPARTA vs ASTRAL
Feb 25WAncient13-9Mirage13-10Firepower
roster ratingsLeo · avg 1.09 · top +0.12
SPARTA · avg 1.13 · top +0.11
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| interz | 2 | 1.14 | 83.8 | 86.1% | 62% | 1.24 |
| glowiing | 49 | 1.08 | 83.5 | 74.7% | 55% | 1.16 |
| TRAVIS | 212 | 1.09 | 74.4 | 73.3% | 58% | 1.15 |
| El1an | 212 | 1.23 | 77.2 | 72.1% | 28% | 1.14 |
| NickelBack | 212 | 0.82 | 67.5 | 69.9% | 50% | 0.97 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Leo vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapLEOSPA
MirageLEO ban45%5-650%21-21
AnubisSPA ban32%12-2540%2-3
Dust2LEO pick58%34-2563%44-26
InfernoSPA pick46%6-755%11-9
NukeLEO ban58%21-1549%17-18
AncientSPA ban46%18-2136%14-25
Each team's usual first ban: Leo Mirage · SPARTA Anubis.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
SPARTA59%to win the seriesiMap edgesDust2: SPARTA 55% toss-up · Inferno: SPARTA 58% · Cache: SPARTA 55% toss-upWhySPARTA hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesLeo 41%: 2-1 22%, 2-0 19% · SPARTA 59%: 2-0 32%, 2-1 27%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Leo 41%It’s nearly a coin-flip. SPARTA only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.59% SPARTA
Dust2
Leo45%SPARTA55%
34-25record44-26
58%win63%
53%CT win56%
53%T win54%
52%pistol51%
82%convert83%
Inferno
Leo42%SPARTA58%
6-7record11-9
46%win55%
48%CT win52%
54%T win49%
54%pistol60%
86%convert71%
Cache
Leo45%SPARTA55%
1-2record6-6
33%win50%
51%CT win50%
52%T win47%
50%pistol67%
100%convert88%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
LEOct
LEOt
SPAct
SPAt
LEOpistol
LEOconv
LEOeco
SPApistol
SPAconv
SPAeco
Dust2pool
53%315/596
53%327/622
56%368/662
54%420/773
52%61/118
82%50/61
18%10/57
51%71/140
83%59/71
30%21/69
Infernopool
48%74/153
54%61/112
52%112/214
49%92/189
54%14/26
86%12/14
33%4/12
60%24/40
71%17/24
19%3/16
Cachepool
51%18/35
52%13/25
50%62/123
47%57/121
50%3/6
100%3/3
33%1/3
67%16/24
88%14/16
0%0/8
Mirageban
53%69/131
36%35/98
57%255/449
42%173/411
50%11/22
82%9/11
9%1/11
40%34/84
79%27/34
22%11/50
Anubisban
42%150/353
47%194/410
56%28/50
37%22/60
45%33/74
82%27/33
17%7/41
50%5/10
60%3/5
40%2/5
Nukeban
57%213/374
49%181/367
58%215/371
41%149/367
57%41/72
80%33/41
13%4/31
54%38/70
76%29/38
31%10/32
Ancientban
50%193/385
47%184/394
44%185/420
42%145/346
32%25/78
88%22/25
8%4/52
44%34/78
76%26/34
14%6/43
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (Leo 52%, SPARTA 54%). Nobody has an edge.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (83% vs 81%). Lose the pistol → SPARTA fight back to win the next round more often (26% vs 21%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Leo
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i26/100 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 100 maps they won, 26 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs PhantomNukefrom 7 downvs Lazer CatsInfernofrom 6 downvs QWENTRYDust2from 6 downvs ASTRALDust2from 5 downvs AimhausDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i33/103 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 103 maps they lost, 33 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Lazer CatsInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs WWAnubisled 6 · lost 14-16vs UrsaAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13vs PhantomAnubisled 6 · lost 11-13vs MisaDust2led 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PhantomNukefrom 7 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Lazer CatsInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsAnubis14-16vs WWNuke17-19vs WWAnubis14-16vs BIGAnubis14-16vs Bushido WildcatsNuke19-16
SPARTA
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i45/126 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 126 maps they won, 45 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs GenOneDust2from 7 downvs Bushido WildcatsAncientfrom 7 downvs LavkedInfernofrom 6 downvs ex-RUBYOverpassfrom 6 downvs GenOneOverpassfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i32/115 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 115 maps they lost, 32 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bushido WildcatsAnubisled 9 · lost 9-13vs INOX DivisionOverpassled 8 · lost 10-13vs ex-Young NinjasDust2led 7 · lost 6-13vs TDKDust2led 6 · lost 13-16vs LavkedAncientled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GenOneDust2from 7 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bushido WildcatsAnubisled 9 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 24Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 24 went to overtime.vs MOUZ NXTNuke19-17vs TDKDust217-19vs TDKOverpass16-14vs TDKDust213-16vs BIGAncient17-19
Leo vs SPARTA FAQ
Who is favored to win Leo vs SPARTA?
SPARTA are favored with a 62% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Leo vs SPARTA?
Bookmakers price Leo at 3.6 and SPARTA at 1.26 (implied 26% vs 74%).
When do Leo and SPARTA play?
Leo vs SPARTA is scheduled for 2026-09-09 17:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 8.