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Matches / Upcoming / Falcons Force vs BERG

Falcons Force vs BERG: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe

Falcons Force
World #159 · 13-19
VS
2026-09-09 17:30 UTC
ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · Best of 3
BERG
World #219 · 7-12
60%
Win probability
40%
60%
1.542.27Market · 3 booksBookmakerFALBERGGBet1.542.27Sweatbet 1.542.27Thunderpick Row1.542.27
40%
The call

Falcons Force are favoured: our model gives them 60% against BERG. Bookmakers lean Falcons Force at 60%. Firepower clearly favours Falcons Force.

Likely mapsMirage · Ancient · Inferno

Recent form

Falcons Force

ZOTIXComebackCB6OvertimeOT2d ago2-0VexarComebackCB6OvertimeOT12d ago1-2Endless Journey14d ago0-2ENCE16d ago0-2Honvéd18d ago2-1PermittaStompStomp13-219d ago2-1INOX Division1mo ago1-2Misa1mo ago2-0Bebop1mo ago2-1OLDBOYS PLBlew leadBL63mo ago0-2QUAZAROvertimeOT3mo ago0-2Misa3mo ago2-1brazylijski luzPistolsPist5/63mo ago1-2MANA4mo ago1-2SPARTAPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT4mo ago0-2

BERG

PrivateerOvertimeOT1d ago2-0mellrenOvertimeOT1d ago0-2XIPistolsPist5/6Blew leadBL72d ago2-1AzuolasPistolsPist6/68d ago1-2WBT8d ago1-2ENCE21d ago0-2Mai TaiStompStomp1-1322d ago0-2HAVU22d ago0-2los kogutosStompStomp2-13OvertimeOT26d ago1-2SINQU REHTIPistolsPist3/42mo ago2-0Leo2mo ago0-2AimhausPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-22mo ago2-066662mo ago13-11ASTRAL2mo ago5-13SINQU REHTIPistolsPist2/22mo ago13-7

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
ENCE#1250-20-2
Falcons Force vs ENCE
Aug 22LMirage10-13Inferno11-13
BERG vs ENCE
Aug 17LNuke5-13
AaB2-20-1
Falcons Force vs AaB
Apr 1WInferno4-13Ancient13-11Anubis13-8Mar 31LAncient10-13
BERG vs AaB
Mar 23LInferno13-16

Firepower

roster ratings

Falcons Force · avg 1.05 · top +0.09

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
grecu681.1270.571.5%40%1.14
NucleonZ700.9575.368.1%62%1.08
VENO670.917169.2%58%1.05
Tapewaare700.8568.468.8%62%1
clockzi470.8969.170.4%61%0.97

BERG · avg 1.04 · top +0.04

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
KiMaRR32181.672.3%55%1.08
Rezst350.9873.969.6%54%1.08
nopzy210.9474.567.2%64%1.08
Askan350.9771.168.7%43%1.04
kdaN210.8362.866.6%53%0.93

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Falcons Force vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapFALBER
Dust2FAL ban25%2-6n/a0g
Falcons Force on Dust2
LBebop3–131mo agoLMisa10–133mo agoLMANA7–134mo agoLSPARTA6–134mo agoWG2 Ares13–104mo agoWFamalicão13–34mo agoLMANA4–134mo agoLFamalicão12–164mo ago
BERG on Dust2
no recent maps
CacheBER ban80%4-1n/a0g
Falcons Force on Cache
LEndless Journey4–1314d agoWHonvéd13–818d agoWINOX Division13–111mo agoWMisa13–71mo agoWBebop13–61mo ago
BERG on Cache
no recent maps
MirageFAL pick56%9-743%3-4
Falcons Force on Mirage
LVexar11–1312d agoLENCE10–1316d agoWHonvéd13–1018d agoWPermitta13–219d agoWMisa13–91mo agoLOLDBOYS PL9–133mo agoWMisa13–53mo agoWbrazylijski luz13–53mo ago
BERG on Mirage
Lmellren14–161d agoWAzuolas13–68d agoLMai Tai9–1322d agoLHAVU6–1322d agoLlos kogutos7–1326d agoWSINQU REHTI13–72mo agoWAimhaus13–52mo ago
AncientBER pick40%6-944%4-5
Falcons Force on Ancient
WZOTIX13–92d agoLHonvéd11–1318d agoWPermitta13–819d agoLbrazylijski luz6–133mo agoWMANA13–104mo agoLSPARTA16–194mo agoLAM13–164mo agoWMANA13–44mo ago
BERG on Ancient
WPrivateer13–41d agoLmellren7–131d agoWXI13–32d agoLAzuolas10–138d agoWWBT13–118d agoLMai Tai1–1322d agoLHAVU11–1322d agoWlos kogutos16–1326d ago
NukeFAL ban0%0-930%3-7
Falcons Force on Nuke
LVexar11–1312d agoLEndless Journey11–1314d agoLINOX Division8–131mo agoLOLDBOYS PL10–133mo agoLQUAZAR8–133mo agoLbrazylijski luz10–133mo agoLAM5–134mo agoLSharks2–134mo ago
BERG on Nuke
WPrivateer16–121d agoLXI9–132d agoLAzuolas9–138d agoLWBT4–138d agoLENCE5–1321d agoLlos kogutos2–1326d agoLLeo5–132mo agoWAimhaus13–22mo ago
AnubisBER ban50%2-225%1-3
Falcons Force on Anubis
WVexar22–2012d agoLPermitta6–1319d agoLfnatic13–164mo agoWAaB13–85mo ago
BERG on Anubis
LWBT6–138d agoWSINQU REHTI13–52mo agoLASTRAL5–132mo agoLBIG Academy5–132mo ago
Infernodecider38%5-875%3-1
Falcons Force on Inferno
WZOTIX16–132d agoLENCE11–1316d agoLINOX Division11–131mo agoWBebop13–51mo agoLQUAZAR14–163mo agoWMisa13–63mo agoLB89–135mo agoLAaB4–135mo ago
BERG on Inferno
WXI13–42d agoW666613–112mo agoWExilium13–26mo agoLAaB13–166mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Falcons Force Overpass · BERG Dust2.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

BERG55%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: Falcons Force 61% · Ancient: BERG 54% toss-up · Inferno: BERG 67% clearWhyBERG hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesFalcons Force 45%: 2-0 28%, 2-1 17%  ·  BERG 55%: 2-1 34%, 2-0 21%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Falcons Force 45%It’s nearly a coin-flip. BERG only lead because their Inferno is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.55% BERG
Mirage
Falcons Force61%
BERG39%
9-7record3-4
56%win43%
54%CT win63%
52%T win34%
63%pistol50%
80%convert100%
Ancient
Falcons Force46%
BERG54%
6-9record4-5
40%win44%
46%CT win56%
52%T win42%
60%pistol67%
78%convert75%
Inferno
Falcons Force33%
BERG67%
5-8record3-1
38%win75%
54%CT win69%
47%T win60%
38%pistol75%
60%convert100%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
FALct
FALt
BERct
BERt
FALpistol
FALconv
FALeco
BERpistol
BERconv
BEReco
Miragepool
54%87/161
52%85/162
63%53/84
34%20/58
63%20/32
80%16/20
8%1/12
50%7/14
100%7/7
43%3/7
Ancientpool
46%71/154
52%88/170
56%44/78
42%45/106
60%18/30
78%14/18
36%4/11
67%12/18
75%9/12
0%0/6
Infernopool
54%72/133
47%70/150
69%22/32
60%29/48
38%10/26
60%6/10
38%6/16
75%6/8
100%6/6
50%1/2
Dust2ban
46%34/74
40%34/84
n/a
n/a
56%9/16
56%5/9
14%1/7
n/a
n/a
n/a
Cacheban
70%31/44
44%25/57
n/a
n/a
70%7/10
86%6/7
0%0/3
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nukeban
40%43/107
38%32/85
44%46/105
40%36/89
44%8/18
75%6/8
0%0/10
55%11/20
73%8/11
11%1/9
Anubisban
53%21/40
46%22/48
46%22/48
28%7/25
38%3/8
100%3/3
0%0/5
13%1/8
100%1/1
14%1/7
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
BERG wins more pistol rounds: 63% vs 55%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → BERG usually win the next round too (88% vs 75%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (28% vs 27%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Falcons Force

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i8/28 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 28 maps they won, 8 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs VexarAnubisfrom 6 downvs ZOTIXAncientfrom 6 downvs BebopCachefrom 4 downvs MisaCachefrom 4 downvs B8Miragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/42 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 42 maps they lost, 16 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AaBAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs SharksAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs OLDBOYS PLNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs FamalicãoDust2led 5 · lost 12-16vs fnaticAnubisled 5 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs VexarAnubisfrom 6 down · won 22-20
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AaBAncientled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi43% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT43% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs JiJieHaoInferno20-22vs FamalicãoDust212-16vs fnaticAnubis13-16vs AMAncient13-16vs SPARTAAncient16-19

BERG

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/14 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 14 maps they won, 4 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs PrivateerNukefrom 5 downvs WBTAncientfrom 4 downvs SINQU REHTIAnubisfrom 3 downvs PrivateerAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/21 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 21 maps they lost, 7 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs XINukeled 7 · lost 9-13vs Mai TaiMirageled 5 · lost 9-13vs mellrenMirageled 4 · lost 14-16vs los kogutosMirageled 3 · lost 7-13vs HAVUAncientled 3 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PrivateerNukefrom 5 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs XINukeled 7 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini6.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi23% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT23% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs AaBInferno13-16vs los kogutosAncient16-13vs mellrenMirage14-16vs PrivateerNuke16-12

Falcons Force vs BERG FAQ

Who is favored to win Falcons Force vs BERG?

Falcons Force are favored with a 60% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Falcons Force vs BERG?

Bookmakers price Falcons Force at 1.54 and BERG at 2.27 (implied 60% vs 40%).

When do Falcons Force and BERG play?

Falcons Force vs BERG is scheduled for 2026-09-09 17:30 UTC at ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe.

Falcons Force vs BERG Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER